Thread by @phl43

I did the same thing for other European countries and France is not an outlier. There are some where there were more excess mortality in 2021 than 2020, but even in those, it was usually negative. Vaccines aren't killing young people and, for the most part, neither is COVID-19 🤷‍♂️

https://twitter.com/phl43/status/1479211511772024853

It's different in some Central and Eastern European countries, but from the timing of the increase in excess deaths, it's obvious that it's because of COVID-19 and not vaccination, since it matches that of COVID-19 waves but not that of vaccine uptake.

In fact, the difference is almost certainly in large part the result of the fact that vaccine uptake was much lower in those countries than in Western Europe, although the effect is probably driven by the higher end of that age group since COVID-19 kills very few people below 40.

People are inferring that vaccines kill many people because thousands of deaths were reported to pharmacovigilance, but if you vaccinate hundreds of millions, quite a few of them — mostly old people with preexisting conditions — are going to die shortly after just by chance 🤷‍♂️

So there is nothing even remotely surprising about this and it doesn't show what people think it shows. This kind of analysis is complete garbage and is just embarrassing.

https://twitter.com/phl43/status/1478749605110108166

Again, I think there is a legitimate debate to be had about the cost/benefit profile of vaccination for young people and in any case I strongly oppose mandates, but vaccines aren't dangerous. You can oppose mandates without peddling obvious bullshit.