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Jan 7, 2022 26 tweets 10 min read Read on X
A THREAD about the #Hypernormalisation of Britain.

In his 2016 documentary film, HyperNormalisation, Adam Curtis explains that by the 1980s, Soviet leaders had realised that their vision for a socialist society had failed. They could not predict accurately and could not...1/n
...micromanage everything. However, they were so involved the system they had built that they could not think of any alternatives. So instead, they pretended that things were getting better as they traveled along the road to a socialist utopia. Aleksi Yurchak...2/n
...the Leningrad-born professor of anthropology at Berkeley, explained what it was like to live through this period in his book, 'Everything Was Forever, Until It Was No More: The Last Soviet Generation'. He wrote that the citizenry knew the leaders were lying; however, the...3/n
...people were themselves trapped in the system, and were therefore unable to imagine anything better. So they pretended to believe the pretending politicians. Society became fake, and Yurchak called this pretence 'HyperNormalisation'. In Britain today, we also know that...4/n
...something isn't right with everything. This feeling was probably sparked in the mid-2000s, when it became clear that our leaders had dragged the country into a bloody war in Iraq on a lie. Shortly after, the global financial system collapsed. Nation states saved the...5/n
...world economy from collapse by pumping vast sums of money into the banking system to repair their ruined balance sheets. Nobody went to jail for this potentially world-shattering catastrophe, just as nobody was punished for Iraq. And those reforms that were undertaken...6/n
...trimmed around the edges rather than questioning the assumptions upon which the systems were built. And then, George Osbourne and David Cameron imposed austerity on Britain, which they said was necessary to maintain the confidence of the markets. Nobody in power...7/n
...bothered to ask whether *we* should still have confidence in the *markets* -- a question every man and woman on the street was asking. It was as though, faced with two calamitous events that made it obvious that their understanding of reality was wrong, the politicians...8/n
...the media, the civil service, the financiers and the think tanks, simply ignored them and continued, like the Soviet Leaders, as though everything was fine. Now, we see such events everywhere and all the time. Nobody, left or right, thinks the government got...9/n
...its response to the pandemic right. It was clear that they were bumbling and bluffing the whole way. The migrant crisis on the South Coast continues even as the head of Border Force says he hates borders. Grooming gangs, which rape and press into sex slavery our...10/n
...most vulnerable daughters, remain at large in our cities. Drugtaking has reached epidemic levels, with the relatively tiny number of prosecutions making little difference. Knife crime and gang culture menaces the law abiding and wastes the potential...11/n
...of countless young men from poor backgrounds. Homelessness can be seen everywhere, and our country has recently been rocked by two child murders. Our leaders seem not only powerless to deal with any of this, but oblivious to it all. Yet, these are mere events. What most...12/n
...of us realise is that our whole structure of national management is broken. Our standard of living is only maintained by the acceptance of ever-greater levels of debt (state and personal). Even then, young middle class people find themselves unable to afford to buy a...13/n
...home, and as prices rise, it dawns on them that they are unlikely to be ever able to afford one. The working class shouldn't even bother dreaming. Our industry, which once provided decent, productive jobs, has disappeared. So much so that we cannot even manufacture...14/n
...PPE or glass vials for vaccines anymore. The British concept of 'fairness' has been replaced (in law) with the alien notion of 'equality', which itself moves toward 'equity', and has manifestly unfair, strange and damaging effects throughout society and its organisation. 15/n
Our education and training system is failing to the extent that universities must be forced to accept state school leavers for undergraduate degrees, and that we are reliant on foreigners to do basic skilled jobs like plumbing, building, HGV driving and even waiting tables...16/n
Children are considerably more likely to have a TV in their bedrooms than a father in the house. 50% of marriages are likely to end in divorce. And yet we know that being raised by two parents is a key metric for childhood, and thence adult, outcomes. Meanwhile, 50 years...17/n
...ago, being wealthy meant a bigger house, a fancier car and a holiday to a more distant destination. Now, it means living in a completely different world, detached from the existence of the rest of us. The response of our political parties has been Hypernormal. The...18/n
...mainstream left has made a weird and unholy alliance with big business and the holders of capital -- first, to encourage the type of individualism and self expression (diversity) that precludes the class solidarity needed for change; secondly, to encourage the...19/n
...importation of cheap migrant labour to hold down wages; and thirdly, to encourage Californian megacorporations to take increasing control over our political discourse. The mainstream right's response has been equally Hypernormal. Their argument for leaving the deepest...20/n
...and most successful free trade bloc in the world seems to have been that it would allow us to do more free trade. It has no concept that people voted for #Brexit (and them) because of the excesses of free trade and free movement of capital. It wails about the effects...21/n
...of 'diversity', and yet it shows no sign, with an 80-seat majority, of taking on the Blair-era Human Rights Act and Equality Act that make reform in this direction near impossible. It talks about family values, but further weakens marriage through legislation. It offers...22/n
...fighting talk on open borders, but takes none of the steps needed to stem the flow on the South Coast. Both main parties are just moving ahead as normal. No matter what they say, their actions are in fact those of people who believe the system should continue as it is...23/n
And We The People are so caught up in this system that despite seeing with our own eyes that something is wrong everywhere, we keep voting for the same outcome. We fear what might happen if we don't (the other side will get in) and lack the imagination to see an alternative. 24/n
But to paraphrase Aleksi Yurchak, Hypernormalisation is forever until it is no more. If we don't ourselves create a decent alternative soon, somebody charismatic well arrive and tell us a seductive story of a great future. But it won't be liberal, conservative, democratic or free
This thread is being widely shared again, so I thought I'd point you all to an excellent short film adaptation the talented @essdeewickett made of it. I was delighted with the result, and I think it's worth watching. Like and share to help Mr Wickett.

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More from @admcollingwood

Nov 8
What have our catastrophic Ukraine policy, @RoryStewartUK's handwringing about the 'values' involved in the US election, and Labour's dangerous support for the losing side in that election got in common?

The Adolescent Mindset: A Thread about the ruination of Britain.

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The negative side of adolescent behaviour is often characterised by lack of emotional control; swings between hubristic triumphalism and hysterical hopelessness; callowness and certitude at the same time; lack of responsibility; thoughtless risk taking; and a tendency to...

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Oct 25
Some plants, when attacked by insects that eat their leaves, secret a scent that attracts the predators of the attacking insects. I can't help but think that something similar has happened in politics over the last 25 years. In the 20th Century, politics in the Anglo...

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Oct 23
A bombshell report, by renowned investigative reporter @mtaibbi and former US Senate investigator @thackerpd, could have serious political and diplomatic ramifications for the UK. This thread explains why, and lists the questions that must be asked of the government.

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Messrs Taibbi and Thacker allege that a whistleblower has provided them with documents which show that a charity closely linked to Sir Keir Starmer's election svengali and current Chief of Staff, Morgan McSweeney, has written plans to "kill Elon Musk's Twitter," "trigger... 2/n Image
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...EU and UK regulatory action," and build closer links with the Biden-Harris Administration. The charity, called Centre for Countering Digital Hate (CCDH), was co-founded by Mr McSweeney, who also founded 'Labour Together', which became known as a 'party within a party'...

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Oct 14
Some thoughts on slavery and reparations.

The saddest thing, I think, about the return of the question of whether Britain should pay reparations for the practice of slavery, now centred on the foreign secretary David Lammy, is the way that such a heinous and sickening...

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...practice has been politicised. It is, when one thinks for even a moment about what went on in the trans-Atlantic slave trade, and the scale of suffering involved, hugely affecting and a stain on our national story. Yet the tone of the debate somehow inures us to the...

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...details of this horror. Nevertheless, it is understandable that Britons are angered by the tone and form of the demands. It is implied that Britain should pay reparations absent of any broadly accepted legal framework, or even international norms, to deal with such...

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Read 18 tweets
Sep 23
Has anybody tried using X to post fiction? Here's an attempt: a geopolitical future history. Let's see how much engagement/reposts it gets. I've named it after based on a recent panel discussion led by @DavidSacks (see authors note).

2049: Mearsheimer's American Nightmare
It was a hot and humid day in June when the Doomsday Clock hit one minute to twenty four hundred. We are undoubtedly even closer to midnight now, but the Institute of Atomic Energy in Beijing has not yet announced an update, and it is that day in June which sticks in the memory – when the Communist Party Central Committee released a statement which made it clear that humanity was on the eve of destruction again, just 23 years since the near miss in Ukraine.

The media here in Britain have largely regurgitated the Beijing view that a revanchist United States is fomenting the crisis in an effort to recapture its lost empire. Perhaps so, but by removing context and history from Washington’s actions, we are left with nothing but a story of a warmongering imperialist American President leading a propagandised people toward war. Such morality tales are seldom good explanations for great power relations.

As is often the case, the seeds of the present crisis were sowed by the last. With hindsight, it would have been wise to have listened to Henry Kissinger. On 24 May 2022, the ancient former US Secretary of State told the Davos World Economic Forum that negotiations between the West and Russia over Ukraine needed "to begin in the next two months before it creates upheavals and tensions that will not be easily overcome.”

Yet nobody then was close to ready for concessions, and the geopolitical consequences are now well known. First, Russia was driven into the arms of China. While previously the Kremlin had pursued a policy of cautious interaction with Beijing, it was now forced into a much closer relationship.

In effect, Beijing got the deal of the century. It instantly solved its Malacca problem, gaining overland access to almost limitless energy, natural resources and food. It also got its hands on Russian military technology in areas such as jet engines, air defence and submarines. Meanwhile, Russia gained a route through sanctions, geared its economy to a region with far more rapid growth than Europe, and linked itself to a country fast moving up the technology and value added manufacturing ladder.

Perhaps as importantly, China now benefited from a Russia implacably opposed to the US-led Western Bloc. In the decade after the Ukraine Crisis, Moscow was hugely active in expanding and strengthening BRICS and the SCO into counterweights to the G7, currying favour with the Global South, and generally making mischief in Iran, Saudi Arabia, Afghanistan, the broader MENA region, Pakistan, Africa and Latin America, all of which tied down small parcels of US resources and focus that might have been directed at China.

Secondly, Europe was hard hit by the war. Cutting itself off from the most economically rational source of energy, Russian pipeline gas, had led to grinding, slow-motion deindustrialisation and falling living standards. Strikes, protests and rising support for ever more extremist parties destabilised European politics and further worsened the investment outlook.

The American economy was doing better, but socially and politically it was even worse. The 2024 presidential election, between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump, was somehow even more fractious than the 2020 campaign. Lawyers were more important than stump speeches and debates. The election did not finish on 5 November 2024; instead, it switched from vote gathering to lawfare, and thence to constitutional crisis.

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First, the two teams attempted to disqualify the other side’s mail-in ballots, including efforts to have the already strained US Postal Service disrupted to prevent them arriving on time. In the first sign that social order was breaking down, key individuals in various segments of the vote counting apparatus required police protection.

Secondly, on 8 December, both sides appointed their own rival Electoral College electors in key swing states, refusing to accept the legitimacy of the other side’s. On 14 December, the electoral college met without any sense of which set of electors could transmit the legitimate votes to Congress.

On 6 January, amid protests, counter protests, riots, looting and the presence of the National Guard, Kamala Harris, the President of the Senate, started the count of electoral college votes before a joint session of Congress. She quickly disqualified Arizona, where Mr. Trump had won by only a few thousand votes, on the basis that there was no agreement on which set of electors were valid. In a dramatic scene that is now one of the most viewed political events ever on WeChat, Speaker Mike Johnson immediately expelled all lawmakers from the House, preventing the count from proceeding. Without a declared winner, Speaker Johnson himself would be inaugurated as President.

One week later, with protests swelling and becoming increasingly violent, President Biden, looking frail and unwell, addressed the nation to invoke the Insurrection Act in a shambling live announcement that inspired no unity and provided no sense that anybody was in control. As three people – Trump, Harris and Johnson – prepared to be inaugurated on 20 January, rumours swirled that the police, intelligence community and military had started taking sides. With civil order having broken down, the US stock markets, which had lost some 45% since the New Year, were closed.

Meanwhile, China quietly completed mobilisation.

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Read 7 tweets
Sep 13
For all those not worried about this, I want to help you to think as your opponent -- an important part of diplomacy. Imagine that during the Iraq War 2003-11, China or Russia had provided Iraqi militias with advanced weaponry, plus intelligence, plus targeting...

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...information to attack and kill our troops. How would we have responded? What would the media and political pressure on our leaders to respond have been? Now imagine Russia and China decide that they'll give the Iraqi militias the weapons and targeting to strike Britain...

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...itself. Britain says that this would constitute an act of war (especially since nobody believes the Iraqi militias are doing the intel and targeting needed to fire the weapons themselves), and Moscow or Beijing responded that the invasion of Iraq was illegal, that the...

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Read 11 tweets

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