I quite agree with Sam: there was the belief that Brexit would magically deliver a low-regulation paradise. But there is not only no democratic consensus for that, there is also the looming question whether that paradise actually exists /1
Quite a few of those proposals (see the TIGRR Report) are written at a rather high level of abstraction, conveying vision rather than how to get there. There is a lack of thought-through detail. /2
As you can see from the merry bundling together of the idea of not regulating and having the common law deal with stuff, while simultaneously being a world-admired standard-setting regulator whose regulations are not exported (we don‘t do that), but copied everywhere.
And I am not saying that regulation cannot be done better. But saying we‘ll do better is the easy part. Actually doing it better (and getting democratic consent) is hard, detail-oriented work.
(If you need any evidence, count the better regulation programs worldwide if you dare. I’m not counting the US idea that for every new regulation one old one has to go. That is more a sign of helplessness than of good regulatory practices)
As I proposed a metric for evaluating booster campaigns to @spignal and didn‘t want to be the lazy guy not actually doing the analysis, I did a very preliminary one. And there‘s a story - just not the one people seem to want to find (short thread)
@spignal Booster campaigns are time dependent on full vaccination. Accordingly, to see whether boosters are on track, it would seem appropriate to look at the time lag between full vaccination and booster.
I looked at when different countries reached the percentage of full vaccination they now have boostered. The later they did, the better the booster campaign.
A small thread on comparing covid numbers across borders - and why it has become more difficult rather than easier (thread)
First up: how many cases are there. The number of choice is the incidence rate. Cases per 100,000 on a 7-day average (or something along those lines). /2
Asymptomatic cases have meant that these numbers can differ with the number of tests (and this fact in and of itself can also be used as an excuse). However, you can compensate to some extent with the positivity rate of tests. But can you still? /3
Short explainer: what do I mean by successful Brexit (thread)
1) The UK has left the EU. As someone teaching trade: putting up trade barriers to your largest market will leave you poorer than before. But the UK has left the EU nonetheless. Period.
2) But in that reality you can choose good and bad policies - more and less successful ones. A successful Brexit for me means choosing good policies.
If the byelection can change the mode of argument in UK politics away from Brexifying everything - it would be a significant victory for everyone. But I fear it will be dismissed as about the PM /1
The current mode of British politics is that if you have a proposal- say about recycling -someone will inevitably wonder what the EU would do and from then on your proposal will not be about recycling. It will be either a great victory for British liberty or submission to slavery
In fact, if you want your proposal to succeed you have to get ahead of the game and make sure your proposal will become the Britain-affirming-freedom-striking-successfully-into-the-world-world-beating-2021 Act.
Everybody, please tone down on the vaccine comparisons. And please, please - none of the superlatives (thread)
It is true that Germany boostered a LOT of people today. It is also true that the UK has boostered more of the population. But it is also true that German vaccinations are not as old as the UK ones. Where does that leave us? /1
In a territory where things are complex. We should try to identify mistakes and correct them. We should work on improving. Hither and thither. The boombastic statements - they simply do not apply. Except... /2
Freeports are in the news again. When discussing them keep in mind that 'freeport' is not really a clearly defined term. What they do and how they work is entirely up to the regulation surrounding the concrete model /1
As a customs simplification tool freeports are no longer the miracle tool they once were or seemed to be. Because there are simpler tools available in modern custom law. But freeports can be made to do other things (remember: not clearly defined) /2
As a concrete example for the UK model tax benefits come to mind. Companies will have to look at that. /3