Open cheque book for developers with risks and costs transferred to consumers with future promises on savings ... makes PFI look like a great deal. As Sir Ian Byatt said on Thames Tunnel "paid out every penny in excessive dividends and left Londoners to pick up the bill" ->
So,

1) yes, we need more nuclear.
2) yes, we could do with rebuilding some monopoly funded by consumers (aka tax payers) to do this. Let's call it the CEGB.
3) no, we don't need some half cocked financial instrument pushed through at a time where people are worried about bills.
I particularly dislike the whole "With global gas prices at record highs, we need to " ... what's the first thing they teach you on basic security training about scams? They seek to create pressure, an urgent need, for you to follow their path.

From a minister? Poor behaviour.
X : Why use the model?
Me : RAB (regulated asset base) is basically a way of consumers (i.e. taxpayers) taking all the financial risk whilst developers take all the profit. It's used for reasons of ideology i.e. to avoid the appearance of state funding of an effort.
X : Given gas prices, don't you think ...
Me : ... we are talking nuclear power. It's not like you whip out your credit card and Amazon delivers a plant tomorrow (with free postage for prime users). Tyically, it can take 10-15 years before they are generating.
I'm all in favour of the use of nuclear power. In the early 90s (when I worked in the environmental field), I used to argue for its use and get it "in the neck" from all sides - fossil fuel and environmental activists. But, co-ordinating electricity provision does need a CEGB ...
... the ideology of the "market" does us no favours.

On a seperate but related note - "China’s ‘artificial sun’ hits new high in clean energy boost" - scmp.com/news/china/sci… ... anyone got the background on this?
The thing about China is you know it will not only deliver on but exceed its climate promises whilst in Europe ... we seem more interested in rewritting the rules and re-defining gas / oil as green ...

independent.co.uk/climate-change…

ipe.com/news/ec-drafts…

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More from @swardley

6 Jan
The whole "let omicron rip through the population" style argument starts to make a bit more sense if the play is a delta and other variant replacement by a more contagious but milder omicron which conveys wider immunity.
Except ,,, Deadly Omicron should not be called mild, warns WHO - bbc.co.uk/news/world-599… ... maybe not such a good idea after all.

What exactly was wrong with going for zero covid? I never understood why we didn't adopt that approach rather than pursue a path to endemic.
Read 6 tweets
6 Jan
Maybe it's just me but I love the honesty in Matt Damon's advert on the future of Cryptoland and how misfortune favours those without privilege - "Earth will become a third world planet, everyone is hustling in some way to just get by" -
Obviously, it's very visionary because it's discussiing version 3.0 or crytpo3 because as we all know version 2.0 is an island - - wth version 1.0 being a somewhat lame online experience.
Personally, I would have pushed it further and talked about Cryptoland 4.0 or Crypto4 where all future descendants of silicon valley VCs live on starships whilst the rest of the earth has undergone genocide but that was the plot of a truly vile film known as Wall-E
Read 10 tweets
5 Jan
X : What do you think about outlawing wood burners?
Me : Domestic?
X : Yep.
Me : Burning wood kills some people. Burning fossil kills the planet. Come talk again when you've outlawed coal, gas and oil first.
X : Did you see the EC is talking about natural gas being green?
Me : The EC was always a shill for corporate lobbying. I'm surprised they're not arguing green coal as well - ipe.com/news/ec-drafts… ... on the upside nuclear is at least green in comparison to fossil fuels.
X : You don't like the EU?
Me : I like the EP (and representation by MEPs) but I've never liked the EC. Unfortunately the power to initiate law resides with the EC ... that was always wrong. It's why you have groups like DiEM25 trying to make the EU more democratic.
Read 6 tweets
5 Jan
X : The car you drive is a deathtrap?Me : No. The car I used to drive had problems. I tend to use things, repair them and keep them going long beyond where they should. I'm not very good with cars, so I don't do that anymore. My car is 7 years old, so it's almost brand new.
X : Do you do that with everything?
Me : Three major decision points for me in buying any good are 1) environmental cost 2) how easy to repair 3) size and history of market in aftersales components.
X : What about extended warranty?
Me : I tend to look at the aftersales market.
X : What if it's something new?
Me : I look at the history of the company in providing aftersales components for repair.
X : If the company is new?
Me : Then I tend to assume it will break, I might not be able to repair it easily and the company will disappear.
Read 31 tweets
3 Jan
X : Are you positive or negative about 2022?
Me : Hmmm ... depends upon what topic. I'm mostly neutral. Some good, some bad etc. Why?
X : You seem quite negative.
Me : No. As I said back in 2014, I'm mostly negative about 2025 to 2030. At this moment, I view things as manageable. Image
X : Peace, war and wonder?
Me : An old model, the original pre-dates my mapping work (2005) but I was only able to explain it once I had mapping in place - blog.gardeviance.org/2012/01/moving… ... it started as an observation that I couldn't explain but once I had context ... well.
X : Do you have other models?
Me : Lots. I'm very slow and cautious. It takes a long time to run experiments i.e. my population studies are paced a decade apart. It'll take another two before I'm truly confident. Bacteria are so much easier to work on compared to corporations. ImageImage
Read 6 tweets
3 Jan
What an effective zero covid policy looks like - aljazeera.com/news/2022/1/2/… and how you keep deaths to less than 5 per 1M rather than 2,000+ per 1M whilst recovering the economy and restoring "normality".
"Strict controls have been astonishingly effective so far" - theguardian.com/world/2022/jan… ... but the question is always how long can such a system be maintained? Long enough to create effective mitigation through vaccines? Longer?
In a country (UK) which seems to be aiming to be "the first major economy in the world to transition from pandemic to endemic" - standard.co.uk/news/uk/covid-… i.e. COVID to be a continual state of affair with re-occuring outbreaks of variants ...
Read 7 tweets

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