"Upholding the leadership of the Party, 'stability overrides everything' and 'development as the absolute criterion' are the 3 main lessons of CN's reform. Tokayev is fluent in CN, so it should be easier for him to learn from CN's experience" - military columnist Chen Feng.
1/6
Writing for nationalist platform Guancha, Chen believes that the upheaval in Kazakhstan has peaked, and so, it's time for it, as well as other central Asian countries and former Soviet republics, to draw lessons in order to avoid a new wave of challenges.
Excerpt:
"While Tokayev's political standing remains unclear, the upheaval demonstrates one thing: when small and medium-sized countries try to strike a balance between the major powers, they're playing with fire. Playing with fire does not always imply self-immolation;
3/
"but when major powers stoke the flames, small and medium-sized countries that play with fire are essentially committing self-immolation. In the 90s and even the early 00s, Nazarbayev was not under much risk.
4/
"However, over the last decade, hostilities between the West and Russia have grown, while enmity between the West and China has reached a breaking point. At that stage, Kazakhstan's fate was already sealed; all it tool is one gust of wind and a bonfire turned into a steppe fire.5
"Other Central Asian -stans, as well as Mongolia and Belarus, would do well to take a page from Kazakhstan's book."
6/6
Link: user.guancha.cn/main/content?i…

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More from @GeringTuvia

11 Jan
For the first time, foreign ministers from KSA, Kuwait, Oman, and Bahrain, as well as GCC-General arrived in Beijing on a five-day visit through Friday. SISU's Middle East Studies Institute's Prof. Ding Long breaks down what it means.
Key points:
1/13 Image
- Trade and development: It marks the further alignment of development strategies and creates broad prospects for the development of bilateral relations. In 2021, the trade volume between China and the Gulf states will exceed the 200$ billion for the first time.
2/
- BRI: China is the only major country capable and willing to assist the Gulf countries in improving their infrastructure, industrialization, and economic transformation. Cont'd->
3/
Read 13 tweets
9 Jan
"What we need is less clichés, less political jargon, and more targeted storytelling" - distinguished Fudan University professor and CCP member Zhang Weiwei believes that the international community wishes to emulate China's success story, but that China must tell it better.
1/5
"*whimsically* I've been speaking with Vietnamese Party School scholars, who told me privately that ‘we are actually following your lead, generally half a year later than you; if we think you did well, we will propose a similar slogan, with different words but similar substance’.
"That's true for the entire non-Western world; people are very interested in us - be it Brazil or India - they're all following China's success very closely because they've tried the Western model for so long and have failed miserably. Now China's success gives them great hope
2/
Read 7 tweets
9 Jan
"2022 is not likely to be a good year for Sino-US relations... We live in a major country that is on the rise; its path is certain. But the rest of the world is far more unpredictable" - Jin Canrong of Renmin University sees a shadow, predicts another year of winter.
1/11 ImageImage
Professor Jin Canrong of Renmin University, a US expert and influential pundit on foreign affairs, recently delivered the keynote address at a major event focused on the future of Sino-US relations in 2022.
2/
Jin says he is not a fan of prognostications; despite his belief in China's clear development path and political stability, he considers the external environment extremely volatile. And yet, he identifies the following trends as being critical to grasping Sino-US relations:
3/
Read 10 tweets
7 Jan
"The rise of China will unavoidably reshape the theory of human rights"- Prof Jiang Shigong of Peking U Law School sees trade and human rights in contemporary discourse as a reflection of two different visions for the international global order, one American and one Chinese.
1/9
Jiang is a well-known legal theorist and anti-liberal advocate, famous for translating and promoting the political theories of Hitler's court juror, Carl Schmitt. I encourage you to look through his previous works, which were introduced on this platform by China Twitter peers.
2/
The US inherited and reshaped the British empire after WWII, says Jiang, to create its own global order, which dominates emerging economies under the guise of free and fair trade on the one hand and neoliberal ideologies on the other.
3/
Read 11 tweets
7 Jan
"When we say that China-Russia relations are 'not an alliance, but better than an alliance,' we don't mean that the two are allied per se, but rather that political mutual trust between them is growing far more than it was during the Sino-Soviet alliance" - Yu Hongjun
1/6
30 years ago, on December 25, 1991, Mikhail Gorbachev announced his resignation, signaling the beginning of the Soviet Union's demise. To mark the occasion, Guancha sat down with Eastern Europe scholar Yu Hongjun.
2/
Yu is a former Chinese ambassador to Uzbekistan and Vice President of the Chinese People's Association for Peace and Disarmament. They discuss how the events of three decades ago have shaped Russian leadership today, as well as the development of the former Soviet republics.
3/
Read 6 tweets
7 Jan
"The US has been attempting to infiltrate Kazakhstan, and some NGOs have served as outposts for this effort" - retiree editor-in-chief of the Global Times, Hu Xijin, believes KZ's situation is already resembling a "color revolution" and is rapidly deteriorating.
Excerpts:
1/9
"Old Hu believes that China will continue to be a strong supporter of Kazakhstan's efforts to stabilize the situation by itself. KZ is a close neighbor of both Russia and China, and both countries are concerned about its stability.
2/
"Nazarbayev had had a positive attitude toward developing relations with the US, with the intention of balancing the influence of China and Russia. At the same time, he'd kept a close eye on Washington. Despite this, a color revolution is felt across KZ.
3/
Read 10 tweets

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