Is a “Just Transition” away from fossil fuels towards a decarbonized energy system technology specific? The basket of available & scalable technologies: Wind, Solar & Nuclear each come with characteristics that determine wages, levels of unionization & security of employment.🧵1/
When #GreenNewDealers imagine the jobs of a clean energy transition, they often nostalgically harken back to the post war era when generations of blue collar workers could support families on a single income in a unionized workplace & afford to send their kids to college. 2/
This was the reality of many blue collar jobs before the neoliberal era crushed the labour movement. As a result, much of Western manufacturing was offshored, leading to a cut throat race to the bottom for wages & working conditions. 3/
With the availability of new hydroelectric and geothermal sites limited by geography, we are left with wind, solar & nuclear as the potentially scalable tools for a clean energy transition. We must examine their characteristics & potential of delivering a just transition. 4/
New Left thinkers, like @SethDKlein, imagine a return to world war two levels of western manufacturing & production, to churn out the millions of solar panels & hundreds of thousands of wind turbines needed to achieve a net zero future. 5/
The reality is that there is no significant Western manufacturing sector for wind & solar. Despite our best efforts, we have been unable to compete with countries like China and Vietnam precisely because of their low labour standards & dirt cheap coal powered electricity. 6/
Wind & solar jobs in North America largely consist of low skilled labour, installing foreign made solar panels to frames & erecting “offshored” wind turbines. The jobs consist almost entirely of installation and decommissioning every 20-30 years. 7/
Employment is therefore not tied to a local community. Workers instead move from one facility to another unable to anchor their families in a stable community. There are no parking lots outside of a wind or solar farm. These are the energy worker equivalent of “Carnie” jobs. 8/
Progressives can fantasize all they like, but low skilled, transient labour with a foreign supply chain cannot negotiate itself the dignified wages and secure employment that they aspire to as part of a just transition. 9/
The union movement wins concessions through the threat of withholding its labour. Workerless facilities like wind & solar farms do not offer that opportunity. Unfortunately, a transition to wind & solar is just another race to the bottom for western energy workers. 10/
In addition, as progressives that purport to care about international human rights, we should be concerned about a just transition for workers internationally. There are credible allegations of forced labour within the solar supply chain. 11/
Forty percent of the world's polysilicon, the base ingredient for solar panels, comes from western China where a dystopian security state imprisons & exploits the labour of a significant portion of the Uyghur ethnic majority. 12/
In contrast, where I live in Canada. CANDU nuclear with its proven track record of deep decarbonisation, is from uranium mine to power plant 96% made in Canada mostly by unionized labour. 13/
As a society, every dollar we spend on CANDU stays within the Canadian economy supporting permanent, intergenerational jobs tied to prosperous local communities. 14/
In contrast to wind & solar facilities, nuclear plants provide high paying, intergenerational skilled jobs rooted in a local community. Nuclear jobs are one of the last bastions of industrial work the Green New Dealers allude to in their call for a #justtransition. 15/
Because nuclear requires large local workforces of highly skilled labour for construction and operation it is not vulnerable to offshoring. Supply chains are localized and money invested in the sector remains in country and helps local communities to prosper. 16/
In Canada, nuclear workers provided 90% of the energy required for the Ontario coal phaseout, North America’s greatest greenhouse gas reduction. Ccoal workers were seamlessly transitioned into high quality jobs in nuclear facilities, a textbook template for a just transition.17/
It's time that Green New Dealers re-examine their allegiance to the 300 billion/year largely privatized wind & solar industry & reconsider publicly owned nuclear as the deep decarbonization technology that offers fossil fuel workers the best opportunity for just transition. 18/
I was recently featured in a @simonahac “gotcha tweet” regarding the lifespan of renewable energy projects. There are some major problems with @simonahac's reasoning which I will go into below. I’ll avoid the mudslinging and name calling and stick to the facts. Thread
2.) TL:DR The renewables industry themselves and independent organizations claim an average lifespan of wind of 20 years and of solar panels of 25-30 years. I will argue below that the solar numbers are likely exaggerated. twi-global.com/technical-know… greenbiz.com/article/what-w…
3.) @simonahac's overheated rhetoric overshadows two troubling flaws in his argument. 1.) He cherry picks examples of long lived installations instead of examining sources with a larger more representative sample 2.) He relies on manufacturer warranties as evidence.
@AdamBlazowski is a founder of the Polish pragmatic environmentalist group FOTA4Climate. FOTA came together in 2018 out of a frustration with the limits of the mainstream environmental movement. Check out the interview on the @DecouplePodcastanchor.fm/chris15401/epi…
2.) @fota4climate includes a broad spectrum of experts and activists ranging from energy analysts to herpetologists and characterizes itself as a “tech agnostic group.”
3.) @fota4climate are supportive of nuclear energy not because of a bias towards the technology but rather because they believe it is the most effective means to the end of preserving bio-diversity, mitigating climate change and maintaining human development.
I am joined by @Heather_mom4nuk on the @DecouplePodcast. Heather is the co-founder of Mothers for Nuclear. She is a materials scientist, nuclear reactor operator at Diablo Canyon and a lifelong environmentalist. anchor.fm/chris15401/epi…
In the words of their website @moms4nuclear is an organization of environmentalists, humanitarians, and caring human beings.
3.) "We were initially skeptical of nuclear, but learned through asking a lot of questions. We started Mothers for Nuclear as a way to share our stories and begin a dialogue with others who want to protect nature for future generations."
I am joined by @E_R_Sepulveda, a telecoms regulatory economist with an interest in the electricity sector focussing on restructuring and privatization for a deep dive of electricity regulation and deregulation and its impacts on deep decarbonisation. anchor.fm/chris15401/epi…
2.) We begin with the first private companies at the dawn of electrification in the 1880’s and the populist push to exert some form of public control to curb abusive pricing, including setting up regulatory commissions to protect the public interest.
3.) Consolidation from this multi-private operator model to the “traditional” monopoly vertically-integrated firm occurred after World War II, when the idea that strategic sectors should be publicly-owned via state-owned enterprises (SOEs) drove a series of nationalizations.
Is China on the verge of a historic moment like the Messmer plan which saw France accidentally decarbonize by nuclearizing its grid in 15 years while electrifying much of its heating & rail? Francois Morin of the @WorldNuclear answers this and more.. anchor.fm/chris15401/epi…
2.) China is currently third in the world in Nuclear Energy capacity with ambitious plans to have the most reactors in the world by 2030. The Tsinghua climate plan calls for a 7 fold increase by 2050.
3.) At great expense in a time of post civil war crushing agrarian poverty and "great leap forward" economic mismanagement China managed to join the nuclear weapons club in the 1964. It was however very late to develop power reactors with its first coming online only in 1991.