Now we have an official explanation/Q&A on the @joebiden @AbiyAhmedAli call. This is an excellent development. It mens it’s getting and will get increasing media attention.

I have it on good sources European media are now also casting nets wider on Ethiopia war narrative.
Reuters reported just a tiny fraction of this yesterday.

Reading it now, but one quick point. Of course @AbiyAhmedAli asked to speak with @JoeBiden. He should have had a call with him back in November 2020, or June 2021.
Biden is commander in chief. He has personal decision making authority over foreign affairs/international relations and military.
“President Biden was very clear, as I just explained in the readout, that full humanitarian access should be restored, unfettered to all regions of the country.  The Prime Minister seemed to understand that that was the request.”

^^ read this literally it is not code.
R.E. Eritrea:

“I’m not going to get into our various intelligence and other assessments of the role that they’re playing currently.  But suffice it to say we still believe that their role is unhelpful and that they should, frankly, stay out of this conflict.”

^^ not a demand.
Re Turkey:

“I’m not going to get into private diplomatic conversations that have taken place –with a whole range of countries, by the way, including some of the countries that border Ethiopia and other countries in the broader region.”

^^ Again not a demand, careful language.
Again read this literally, this is what the readout said. They talked. Seriously and substantively but did not agree to outcomes, as is proper.

But understand the context, the US knows that TPLF is attacking Amhara and Afar again.
Correction: BIDEN asked for this call. Here it is in blue and white.

I note that this question is from a strongly TPLF aligned, relatively new Washington DC paper.
The final two questions had the most interesting answers.

Especially the first on AGOA which has a very newsworthy answer and which I would have expected to see in news reports.
“if more positive and constructive steps are taken to address the concerns that were raised by the U.S. Trade Representative that we would be willing to enter a process of discussion with the government of Ethiopia about an off-cycle review of their status.”

Off cycle = special.
So the door is open. Yes the damage is done already to the existing contracts.

And Its a double edged sword, transactional, if-then, but I expect the “senior official” means well. And this answer shows that the White House has heard the anger, and acknowledged it.
This one seems to be attracting a lot of attention, why would GOE have asked for him to return?

Well the answer to that is simple. They wanted to talk to him again. Why? I’m guessing they wanted a handover.

But this answer raises other questions.
“The President and the Prime Minister did discuss Ambassador Satterfield making a trip to the region, you know, soon after he is fully on board.  But again, nothing scheduled yet…“

To me this indicates this a reason for the call. Biden wants to be sure Satterfield is accepted.
This was the question, the first part is unclear and my assumption is that the briefer read it as asking whether Feltman would be briefing on it.

“I think the substantive readout would not be any different in meaningful ways from what I’ve already described.”

Is the answer.
Which is a polite way of saying don’t expect another briefing from Feltman. He concludes.

“And I will leave those conversations to the State Department to describe further if they’d like.”

Again a palm off.

But the question is why? Several whys in fact.
1. Why is US being conciliatory on AGOA?
2.Why was Feltman’s departure and replacement leaked not announced?
3. Why is Feltman in all likelihood not doing a readout?
4. Why did Biden suddenly decide to talk to Abiy, after not doing so very deliberately.
I think all of this happened because Feltman resigned, possibly over AGOA ostensibly anyway, but maybe for that ++. @StateDept has been wooden, clueless abc inconsistent on Ethiopia since day one. So that might have been the final straw.
It certainly explains the chaos.

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More from @althecat

12 Jan
The @JoeNBC crew are looking very serious on the TV this morning. For good reason. @Sen_JoeManchin's decision to reflexively dismiss his President's call to change the filibuster is a big moment.

I'm with @morningmika & @TheRevAl on the @JoeBiden speech. It was necessary. Image
@JoeNBC @Sen_JoeManchin @morningmika @TheRevAl @JoeBiden Forcing @SenatorSinema and @Sen_JoeManchin to vote against this during Martin Luther King week is a very clever way to elevate this issue - as is needed - to the level of public interest which is needed to get this done.
@JoeNBC @Sen_JoeManchin @morningmika @TheRevAl @JoeBiden @SenatorSinema The future of the Union itself is at stake here. And doing this before the State of the Union makes a lot of sense. Congressional DNC constitutional wets who don't think that defending the constitution is their duty have no business calling themselves democrats.
Read 23 tweets
11 Jan
This article is an indictment of the UK post Brexit, but it touches on issues with the global order much deeper rooted than that. bylinetimes.com/2022/01/11/the…
The author a former diplomat says she was triggered to write the article watching events in Kazakhstan. And specifically the shoot to kill orders issued by the President, a former senior UN official, not that this was what upset her.
Her list of things which upset her is much more run-of-the milk, things we now take for granted, things which for the most part are based in, standard operating procedure.

Which brought to my mind the “banality of evil”.
Read 6 tweets
11 Jan
The @AP's Cara Anna has a report on the Biden/Abiy call - widely carried. abcnews.go.com/International/…

..as does Reuters >> reuters.com/world/africa/e…

Both playing up negative angles.
Only @AlArabiya_Eng reported on Abiy's tweet. So they got the Scoop. english.alarabiya.net/News/world/202…
Read 13 tweets
10 Jan
THREAD

#MiddleEastRainEvent2 Status Update:

Image below shows the situation as at roughly 2pm AST/EAT. A large storm with a line of thunderstorms sits over Saudi Arabia heading North East towards Iraq.

Quoted Tweet shows video from near Medina
It has been a big night of storms, with a large storm over Medina for several hours. This morning it has also been raining in the Prophet's home town.
These two video gifs are from the live stream broadcast continuously of Al-Masjid an-Nabawi / المسجد النبوي.

You can find out more here >> en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Al-Masjid…
& watch live here >> makkahlive.net/madinalive.aspx
Read 33 tweets
10 Jan
This looks a bit hairy. Another colossal tropical atmospheric river driven rain event, this time all the way up the Eastern Seaboard at the same time.
Fortunately it will soon move out into the Atlantic.
Like the forecast Middle East Event come, this has very high IWVT numbers.
The difference is that this event is fast moving and its total duration appears to be 48 hours vs a forecast 72 hours for the intense period of what is coming in Saudi Arabia in a few days time.
This is a 63 hour IVWT forecast for this US Mid West/East Coast #ExtremeWeather event which is still underway.
Read 6 tweets
9 Jan
A special request to gobal news media. Please do not report this as fact. TPLF's efforts at peace ended the day they announced them with attacks on Ab'ala in Afar.

A major TPLF offensive in Western parts of Tigray was launched on or about December 28th.
This offensive has continued and intensified over the past 13 days, and the air-strikes that Reda Getachew complains about are part of the defensive operations against a renewed offensive, which appears to be aimed at opening a path to Sudan.
This offensive remains large scale renewed use of unarmed child soldiers and civilians as human waves and human shields. It is obscene in the extreme. And 1000s more innocent conscripted Tigrayans are dying for the TPLF leadership.
Read 6 tweets

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