Now for intellectually dishonest garbage. The AP did a "Fact Check" on the Denmark study that found negative 42% VE for two doses of Pfizer v O. apnews.com/article/fact-c… "Experts" who speculate (with no evidence) the findings MUST be invalid because of behavioral biases...
such as "behavioral differences, such as vaccinated individuals engaging in more activities that could lead to exposure." Jeffrey Morris, adds the results were “more likely to be an artifact of some selection bias effect than any inherently higher risk.”
Now we know from our everyday experience that it VACCINATED people who are more likely to fear Covid and to take precautions such as vaccination, masks, and social distancing. And of course there are reams of data that support that.
nbcnews.com/health/health-… "62% percent of vaxxed adults said the variant had prompted them to continue masking in public places, and 61% percent said they avoided large gatherings.

"37% of unvaxxed adults [were] prompted to wear masks, and 40% steered clear of crowds."
Unvaccinated individuals are also less likely to worry about getting Covid and getting sick from it if they do. kff.org/coronavirus-co… We are supposed to believe that those who are MOST worried about Covid are also more likely to engage in high-exposure activity? Seriously?
Those who are unvaxxed are also more likely to report they "trust other people" more than those who are vaxxed. osf.io/4cr7a/ Again, we are supposed to believe that those who don't trust their neighbors are the ones who are going out and mixing in public?
More to the point--does anyone seriously believe for a moment that if the "experts" actually thought about it, they would realize how preposterous this is? It is not intellectually credible. Complete confirmation bias and rationalizing what they "know" to be the answer.
And to flag that final piece of evidence--the distrust of the vaxxed for their fellow neighbors--that explains a lot about the pandemic social dynamics and the obsession of many authoritarians to control their fellow citizens and check their papers for compliance. Not science.
And then the final piece--we are supposed to believe that these supposed "behavioral biases" have NEVER befouled prior studies of other variants? Or any of the studies that showed positive VE?
Including in THAT STUDY ITSELF which shows unusually high VE for Delta and modest waning. The supposed biases are ONLY for Omicron and not Delta? Do these people listen to themselves? Is the AP Reporter that much of a credulous hack? (Yes, I know, a rhetorical question).
Look--lives are at risk here. We are trying to understand complex phenomena in real-time. Simply making up ridiculous stories and calling it "SCIENCE!" isn't going to help us figure out if there is a real problem here and what we should do. Appalling and irresponsible.

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More from @ToddZywicki

11 Jan
I've referenced this paper on breakthrough infections in SF multiple times since it appeared. It is now published with lots of additional detail. This is the smoking gun that shows on a micro level the vax select for more vax-evasive variants. nature.com/articles/s4156…
To summarize the simple logic--natural selection consists of 3 elements: (1) variation, (2) selection, (3) replication.
Anybody who gets infected can create variation, regardless of whether vaxxed, partially vaxxed, unvaxxed, or boosted. Most variations don't replicate widely because at any given time the current version of the virus is best adapted to its environment so adaptations are less fit.
Read 15 tweets
11 Jan
So the story is Walensky is just a "bad communicator." But how would you like to be the one who has to communicate the new talking points. "Yeah, well we've been telling you for a year that getting vaccinated will prevent you from getting infected and transmitting Covid. Which...
turns out we were wrong about that. While it might reduce your chances of getting Covid, it won't reduce transmission if you get it. Well, turns out we were wrong about that too. With Omicron you are actually MORE likely to contract and transmit Covid. But trust us...
we are certain that even though getting vaxxed will make you more likely to contract and transmit Covid than someone who is unvaxxed, we know it will protect you from serious illness. Trust us. We are certain it is safe in both the short term and long term. So get your booster!
Read 8 tweets
9 Jan
Moderna vax starts at 30% VE against Omicron (ignoring first 14 days) and becomes negative at 6 months (reported as zero, see below). Booster increases to 52% unadjusted VE which declines to 36% after 2-3 months. medrxiv.org/content/10.110…
The authors arbitrarily set the lower bound at zero for calculating VE, even though the odds ratio is negative at 6 months. Image
Image
Read 6 tweets
8 Jan
If you are still trying to tell me that mass vaccination will reduces infections and transmission and will bring about the end of the global pandemic then you are either an idiot or a liar.
And don't give me the line, "Nobody could've seen Omicron coming!" The emergence of a vaccine-evasive variant like O was inevitable from the moment we started mass vax into a global pandemic with a leaky, non-durable vax against a mutable, highly-infectious virus.
Instead you counted your shot counts like rosary beads. And just assumed that your high priests like Anthony Fauci knew the "real truth". And vilified anyone who tried to explain evolutionary biology 101 to you as a heretic.
Read 5 tweets
7 Jan
“CONCLUSIONS: Protection afforded by prior infection in preventing symptomatic reinfection with Alpha, Beta, or Delta is robust, at about 90%. While such protection against reinfection with Omicron is lower, it is still considerable at nearly 60%.” medrxiv.org/content/10.110…
Vax in previously infected actually REDUCES protection from infection from 62% to 56%. NEGATIVE VE for vaccination of those with NI. @MartyMakary see Table 3
Read 4 tweets
20 Dec 21
Someone recently asked for a thread on the evidence of higher AE for vaccination of Covid survivors v naive recipients. EVERY study I am aware of so far is consistent with this finding. Please update or correct the list that follows.
Efrati nature.com/articles/s4159… "Short-term severe symptoms that required medical attention were found in 6.8% among the post-infected individuals, while none were found in the infection naïve population."
Menni ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/labs/pmc/artic… "Systemic side-effects were more common (1·6 times after the first dose of ChAdOx1 nCoV-19 and 2·9 times after the first dose of BNT162b2) among individuals with previous SARS-CoV-2 infection than among those without known past infection."
Read 11 tweets

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