I see the much anticipated "peak" has been dropped as an idea by NPHET. Now it's just maybe happening according to modelling (which no real epidemiologists believe) and will be a long drawn out affair anyway.
Network scientists have a name for that. it's called an S curve.
Network scientists have a name for that. it's called an S curve.
It normally is used to describe an idea or product adoption curve, where adoption starts very slow, and then accelerates till everyone regularly adopts the product.
here the product is covid, and government have essentially handed it the market.
here the product is covid, and government have essentially handed it the market.
the idea of idea adoptions (or meme) or indeed product adoption on the one hand, and covid acquisition by a population on the other, seem to have some useful parallels.
Both are driven by social networks (physical rather than virtual). Both see clustering and breakout.
Both are driven by social networks (physical rather than virtual). Both see clustering and breakout.
both have mavens, or superspreaders.
viewed as a product, covid spread makes a lot of sense. It even has a freemium lite version in the mids of the ignorant (omicron) that they seem willing to acquire just like a freemium product gains early adopters who read the word and encourage others to adopt.
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