I’ve never seen such anger from economists as I have since we started presenting the argument market power and inflation are related. They are really triggered, like someone stepped on their turf.
It's possible that during shortages monopoly power is magnified because it's harder to substitute away from any particular bottleneck. A crisis can create more pricing power. Example: food delivery apps had more power when restaurants had to shut down regular service.
"Just stop. Seriously." - A. Goolsbee, Chicago
Here are some fun angry quotes from economists disputing the relationship between monopoly and inflation. igmchicago.org/surveys/inflat…
What was funny is that Nobel prize winners Angus Deaton, Abhijit Banerjee, and Bengt Holmström were the outliers among economists in that they do think market power drives some inflation.
"Thurman Arnold’s antitrust cases produced quick results not only because he used criminal indictments to secure quick industrywide consent decrees but also because merely launching an investigation dropped prices by 18–33% in various industries.”
At my newsletter BIG @samhaselby went into the historical roots of the cartel behavior of the Ivy League network. But yeah they also engage in straight-up price-fixing, which we've known for decades. mattstoller.substack.com/p/break-up-the…
This is a fun complaint on the Ivy's. "In addition, such Defendants are committed to maintaining admissions as a zero- sum game, by limiting growth in the number of undergraduate seats to maximize perceptions of exclusivity and prestige." @profgalloway
If oil went up to $400 a barrel and it often wasn't available, no one would wonder about the cause of inflation. But since the input at hand is semiconductors and there's not really much public pricing info, it's not in the inflation models.
Firm behavior and bottlenecks affect prices. The outsourcing of large amounts of production by auto firms impacted inflation. Auto availability was a big part of the initial inflationary spike. nytimes.com/2022/01/08/bus…
No one will believe me when I say this but the Biden administration has almost no one in positions of power who know how to govern. We haven't governed in 30 years so there's just no knowledge. Example is Pete Buttigieg - he doesn't know anything.
Imagine if we hadn't made movies in 30 years. And then one day someone said 'ok we want to build a movie-making town called Hollywood go staff it up and made a slate of great films in a year.' That's our political order. No one knows how to pull the levers to do things.
Susan Rice knows very little about domestic policy and was put at the head of the White House Domestic Policy Council as a favor to Obama. It's classic incompetence.
While personally I think student debt cancellation is a good idea, it's ok if the Biden White House goes in a different direction. But they have to do something somewhere about some problem. There's no one doing anything about anything.
If concentration is systemic, then taking on monopolists is an inflation-fighting strategy. 60% of inflation increases are going to corporate profits. mattstoller.substack.com/p/corporate-pr…
Meat is an obvious case. Back in October I pointed out that the economists blocking action on meatpacking consolidation had manipulated data to protect monopolists. Higher beef prices are one result. mattstoller.substack.com/p/economists-t…
I think my response to @JosephPolitano is that his analysis is divorced from the underlying reality of commerce. Like most macro-economists, he assumes that individual markets are generally competitive, and that concentration is not the norm.
Take this argument on how meatpacking monopolists don't really matter because meat is a small portion of the CPI. This only makes sense if you assume that meatpacking is an outlier. But is it? No.