Over the next few weeks, the high Macro uncertainty along with Q4 results (surprises & over-reactions) is sure to create some very interesting opportunities to initiate or slowly increase positions in some of these growth sectors if you understand them well.
✔️Time to put the head down
✔️Tune out the random online opinions (comparisons to 2000-02, how much pain there is ahead....)
✔️Focus on each business based on it's own merit
✔️Do the things that are in the best long term interest of your Portfolio.
That is if we can

✔️Tune out the noise while still giving enough importance to the major Macro factors

✔️have good understanding and high conviction in those growth companies
✔️have 3-5 yr holding view while monitoring trends/competition, Liquidity issues, Margin improvement...

✔️being able to take some short term punches when they're not directly related to the business
For me those sectors currently (based on drawdowns until now, expected growth for new few years) are

-SaaS, Ecommerce, Fintech
-Medical Devices
-Consumer (Tech & Brand driven with sticky customers)
and if the indexes crack enough, finally some quality names from
-GARP & Dividend payers
-Industrials & Cyclicals (as a valuation driven ST opportunity)

Wishing you the best in navigating the next few months.👍

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More from @RamBhupatiraju

15 Jan
One more Saturday of going into $COST not to spend more than $100 and coming out with a $300 bill. 🤦‍♂️What's new?

(Also some food sampling & peeking into other carts involved). Image
Do you want 14oz for $4 or 18oz for $14? Savings or convenience? Choose quick. 🙂 ImageImage
Anyway, $COST is one company I regret for not owning long enough as a pick for steady growth part of my portfolio.
Read 5 tweets
14 Jan
Ready for some chart crimes? I'm going to show 10 charts & come to the conclusions that prove my point. Haha.. just kidding, but I do want to share some interesting stuff.

Metric mainly being used is Gross Profit/EV Yield (LTM). Used @KoyfinCharts for these.
Yes I'm aware that there's a mile wide gap between Gross Profit and FCF, but a good GM margin along with huge yrly growth affords the company to spend on OPEX (hopefully spending in the right areas) while building a durable company & getting towards sustainable FCF generation.
Although I have used EV/GP/NTM growth before, I haven't used the inverted metric (LTM) to see what yield we're getting on the GP (unlike the FCF yield used on mature companies).
Read 19 tweets
11 Jan
I'll hide behind my relatively stable Big-Tech, Consumer, Healthcare, Finance Cos until the indices crack and create wider opportunities.

If that doesn't turn out to be the case, my current 22 fav names from the growth part of my Portfolios to SLOWLY keep adding to. (not recs)
Defense : $AAPL $AMZN $BRK $FB $GOOG $CMG $SBUX $DIS $CRM $NOW $NKE $LULU $ISRG $ALGN $BIP $V $MA
Offense :
E-Commerce : $MELI $SHOP $SE $ETSY
Adtech : $TTD $ROKU
Fintech : $SQ $UPST
Cloud Infra : $DDOG $ZS $CRWD $NET $OKTA
SaaS Usage based : $SNOW $TWLO $U
SaaS Services : $VEEV $DOCU $TDOC
Marketplaces : $ABNB $FVRR $COIN
Read 6 tweets
11 Jan
Thank you @TheFintwitPod and @Guy_LeBlanc for this podcast ep about my 100bagger $LULU thread & adding your additional commentary too.🙏

(As mentioned, it's not a recommendation for any stock. The lessons are more important than any stocks mentioned).

podcasts.apple.com/ca/podcast/the…
I had a lot of fun writing this thread few months ago.

Understandably many folks are not excited about growth Cos now (especially unprofitable ones, even if high quality) but many multi-baggers are born during tough times (if you find/hold high quality)

Below is the summarized version of the 12 pts from that thread.

1⃣ Be open minded : Good ideas can come from anywhere. Develop and slowly expand your circle of competence.
Read 19 tweets
6 Jan
When Mr. Market goes crazy, I always try to oblige him with some buys.

$SE : Add at $198
$FVRR : Add at $95
$GDRX : Add at $28
$COIN : New at $236

Positions I'm🤏close on adding : $SQ $TWLO $U

Maybe next up : $ETSY $SHOP $ZS

Have to save some $$ for the Earnings season.
Taking a short pause (for Portfolio weighting reasons) : $ROKU $TTD $UPST

Favs from watchlist: $CVNA $RBLX $HUBS

Thankful for : Big Tech & Healthcare/Consumer Cos in my Portfolio for not sinking (yet), providing me some sanity and courage to buy during this period.
My usual playbook during these times.

-Mostly adding to existing holdings. Occasionally initiating positions in new companies.

-Cash for the purchases comes from new incoming cash, previous sales after thesis being completed or being busted and...
Read 11 tweets
6 Jan
Excellent article on Behavioral finance by @CatanaCapital 👏

This stuff is highly relevant & useful to survive in the Markets thru the good and bad times.

lehnerinvestments.com/en/behavioral-…
Good simple explanations of various biases.

Being aware of our own biases along with crowd psychology is an important part of investor toolkit.
We've all been thru these phases, but a little less gloating during the good times and little less panicking during the bad times, will ensure sanity and good long-term results.
Read 4 tweets

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