U.S. Retail Sales Unexpectedly Dropped 1.9% MoM in December (forecast was -0.1%), What Led the Drop? Online Sales (non-store retailers)! Take a Look: Image
Here are the Retail Sales levels: Image
Percent of total Retail Sales (Non-Store Retailers & Department Stores): Image
One argument is Christmas shoppers buying early over supply chain concerns, here is the number of weekly stores mentioning "supply chain". It spikes mid-October: Image
I still find December's sharp decline hard to explain.
Noticing that Non-Store Retailers took a similar MoM% drop in December 2020 and December 2018 and bounced back strong in January: Image

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More from @M_McDonough

10 Dec 21
U.S. CPI MoM% & Contributions to Change:
Digging deeper into what drove the CPI MoM% Data:
U.S. CPI MoM% Diffusion Indexes: (Sub-components representing 75% of the total CPI weight are increasing at an annualized rate above 2%)
Read 5 tweets
15 Nov 21
Quick Look at Inflation & Drivers From Around the World (1/10)
(2/10) U.S. CPI YoY%
(3/10) Eurozone HICP YoY%
Read 10 tweets
14 Sep 21
Breaking Down U.S. CPI MoM%:
Window Coverings ^^^
Biggest MoM% Increases:
Read 4 tweets
12 May 21
CPI YoY: Contributions to Percent Change
Distribution of sub-components (April vs. March)
Updated Chart **sub-component data didn't finish updating in the original**
Read 5 tweets

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