What doesn't make sense to me abt this emission plan is the following.

Token emission is a flow var, total relays is a stock var, why would you tie these two together?

It seems to make more sense if emission is tied to activity *growth*, not *level*...
Image
i.e. if relays grow 600% a yr, token supply should grow abt same. If god forbid relays shrink 50% a yr, token supply shrinks 50% too via burns (actually burns will be more than 50% since there're still new mints distributed to nodes)
This way token value cab be relatively stable vis-a-vis value-added created by platform, aside from fluctuations caused by speculation. Node owners know exactly how much they're paid if they can count on token value being stable. Builds confidence & trust in long run.
p.s. if you want to encourage speculative holding & thus your node owners have more liquidity via 2ndary mkt, you can make emission somewhat lower than relay growth, e.g. relay growth 600% a yr, emission growth 500% a yr. Not saying those are correct numbers. Just an example.

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More from @TaschaLabs

Jan 17,
Hodling BTC & ETH doesn’t get you far. Outperformance comes from betting on winners b/f the crowd.

Yes that’s hard. But crypto is more equal than tradFi. W/ solid process, you can beat many larger players.

A 5-step framework for picking winners w/o hot tips or “expert” help 👇
Note if you have PTSD from prior cycles that tells you all “alt coins” go to zero, you need to deal w/ that emotional baggage rn b/f it does even more damage to your bank account.
Time is different. Crypto has order-of-magnitude more adoption w/ real use cases compared to 4 yrs ago & train isn’t stopping. If you don’t adapt, you’ll get left behind.
Read 46 tweets
Jan 9,
Overall crypto market hasn’t grown in past half yr & will meet w/ more headwind in next 6 mos.

But that doesn’t mean there aren’t opportunities if you know where to look.

Here’s my market outlook for coming months 👇
First off, from a speculative flow point of view, price growth of large caps like BTC & ETH rely almost entirely on new money coming into crypto. They’re gateway drugs for new participants, whose gains are then channeled to other tokens.
BTC & ETH are 60% of total crypto mkt cap. Lack of price growth for these two in last 6 mos is a sign that new funding inflow is small.
Read 35 tweets
Dec 31, 2021
I’m bearish on Ethereum.

But it may not be for the reason you think.

Transition from single chain to layer 1-layer 2 structure has large implications for ETH token valuation. And most people aren’t yet thinking this through 👇
First off I wrote abt how to value blockchain platform tokens like nation state currencies a while ago. I recommend a read cuz it’ll help you understand what I’m gonna say next, as it’s an application of same framework.
In short, think of L1 platforms like nation state economies. You need native token to pay fees in every transaction on platform just like you need USD in every economic transaction in US. The on-chain economic activities thus form fundamental demand for native token.
Read 41 tweets
Dec 26, 2021
If you have trouble figuring out which layer 1 blockchains are investment worthy, it’s not your fault.

There’re so many L1 chains now & things are changing fast. Hard to keep up.

Let’s go through major L1s one by one & assess prospect for each 👇
Note ’tis my opinion & not investment advice. I try to tell it like it is. If I don’t say nice things abt your bag & you get triggered, sort it out w/ your therapist. I’m not your mother & not obliged to make you happy.
First let’s divide main L1s into 4 tiers according to how much traction they’ve got:
Read 46 tweets
Dec 20, 2021
What blockchain maxis & critics both get wrong-- crypto revolution is in fact NOT about tech.

It's a revolution about how we organize the economy. This is tech agnostic & may or may not involve blockchain.

Understanding this will help you make better investments. Here’s how 👇
Many bitcoin OGs missed Ethereum, not realizing the power of smart contracts.

Many Ethereum OGs missed Solana, Avalanche, etc, not realizing the power of cheap, fast transactions. Many alt L1 OGs—just wait for it— will miss the next big thing, whatever it is.
All these misses have one thing in common— a fundamental misunderstanding of what makes crypto revolutionary.

The crypto revolution is not abt decentralization, cryptography, or resisting censorship.
Read 28 tweets
Dec 17, 2021
Super cycle is practically confirmed at this point.

We're at end Dec & yet there's no bull-run "grand finale" in sight. If your strategy was to cash out at "cycle top", time to rethink that.
There's nothing wrong w/ planning a cash out at mkt top, but my Q to you is what are you going to do w/ that money instead once you sell?
If you sit on cash you'd lose outright b/c fiat depreciation. Stock mkt valuation at current level implies negative return for next 10 yrs if history is reference. Real estate valuation is equally frothy.
Read 8 tweets

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