That same study found more cops = more low level arrests especially of Black people. Low level arrests are linked to more use of force and police shootings (which result in 1 in every ~14 homicides). But the potential increase in police killings isn’t factored into the analysis.
Even if not killed initially, those low level arrests often lead to incarceration. Incarceration *increases* death rates for Black people by 65%. So those arrests end up killing people too (and harming communities). This also isn’t factored into the study. jamanetwork.com/journals/jaman…
Meanwhile the study’s claim that more cops reduce homicides is also shaky. Even after they fail to factor in negative impacts, increasing the police force “decreased” in homicides 54% of the time (and didn’t 46% of the time). So it’s still basically a coin toss. Not a solution.
Here’s the study btw: nber.org/system/files/w…

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More from @samswey

Jan 16,
You can’t name a single thing in Tim Scott’s bill that would’ve made a measurable difference in police violence rates. Not a thing.
Tim Scott’s bill restricts but doesn’t ban chokeholds, which most police agencies already do and that wouldn’t even prevent the fewer than 1% of killings by police that are due to chokeholds.
His bill encourages better data collection but the federal government has already proven inept and unwilling to use their existing authority to collect or share useful data on police violence. Moreover, that data is being collected anyway (see: policescorecard.org)
Read 4 tweets
Dec 27, 2021
Ok, I’ve been trying to find an answer to this question but nobody has had it yet. How many people have the LAPD fatally shot this year? Let me explain…
Today the AP reported that the LAPD fatally shot the 18th person this year. That includes 1 person killed today, two people on 12/23, and two people on 12/18, as reported by LA Times. BUT…
On 10/15, LA Times reported LAPD had killed 11 people including someone on 10/13. By 12/23 they reported 17 people had been killed (18 after today). latimes.com/california/sto…
Read 4 tweets
Dec 20, 2021
It took less than two years for the police to convince politicians and the media to initiate a whole new phase of mass incarceration at a time when crime remains at historic lows.
Absolutely none of what they’re doing has anything to do with the facts. Crime is down, but the narrative is all about a “crime wave.” Theft/property crime is at historic lows, but the news is “retail theft wave.” Police have more $$ than ever but say they “don’t have resources.”
The one crime that *has* increased is shootings/homicides from shootings. But notice they aren’t talking about diverting police resources to focus on solving homicides. Instead it’s more money for targeting drug use or homelessness. It’s all fake narratives and fear-mongering.
Read 6 tweets
Dec 11, 2021
Boston police violence data by race, 2013-2020: policescorecard.org/ma/police-depa…
Minneapolis police violence data by race, 2013-20: policescorecard.org/mn/police-depa…
Chicago Police Department. policescorecard.org/il/police-depa…
Read 14 tweets
Dec 9, 2021
The FBI might end their use of force data collection program without posting any of their data. It’s probably because of what their data would say about policing. A thread. (1/x)
Back in 2015/16, the FBI started a use of force data program after Fatal Encounters and Mapping Police Violence, then WaPo and the Guardian, embarrassed the feds by tracking 2-3x more police killings than the ~400 cases/year the government claimed existed. mappingpoliceviolence.org
The federal program tracks killings *and* serious injuries by police. In states that already track this data (like CA), there are *even larger racial disparities* than in killings data alone. HALF of all people harmed in these incidents are UNARMED. data-openjustice.doj.ca.gov/sites/default/…
Read 7 tweets
Sep 8, 2021
Two-thirds of all police officers who’ve died in Florida this year have died from Covid. This Governor’s policies have directly contributed to that.
In fact, given the obscene rates of Covid in Florida and the Governor’s policy encouraging this spread, Ron DeSantis might single-handedly pose more of a threat to the lives of law enforcement in the state than any other human being.
Read 4 tweets

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