PPP was a poorly designed program, wildly more regressive than UI or checks, but given the administrative constraints I think you can make an argument it was worth doing. Liquidationism would have been bad - companies did not cause, and could not be expected to prepare for, covid
A better program would have only targeted companies that were actually harmed by covid. But lacking the capacity to do that, it seems like an ok second-best. Giving tax relief on PPP money was crazy though.
It seems like the US response still did less preservation of existing job matches compared to the EU responses. This can be good for creative destruction purposes, but also these linkages can be slow to re-form, and I'm not sure it'd be good if we had a bigger hole to dig out of
(also, workers lately have shown quite a willingness to sever job matches that aren't good fits - didn't need to starve out companies in a pandemic to do creative destruction)
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I think most people in this discourse basically agree with these planks and the interesting questions are about how much room we have to push on different margins - getting hung up on semantics tends to distract from this
There are free lunches to be had when we're operating below capacity, though I think industrial policy is often what is needed to get at this. Welfare state plays an important automatic stabilizer role, but tends to be a blunt tool
Until recently we've been under capacity enough that we could get away with not tax financing new transfer payments, but I'm not sure we should consider that the baseline. Goal should be to always run the economy so steaming hot that new transfer payments would need to be offset
From my own job I can confirm that LTL freight is insane right now. Not only are prices up, but it’s challenging to even get shipments picked up on the first attempt, often takes rescheduling it over and over until someone finally shows up
Meanwhile small parcel shipments have been going extremely smoothly compared to a year ago (true for both USPS and FedEx/UPS). Very divergent fortunes for similar industries
I've neglected taking care of my teeth (still need to get wisdom teeth out, have cavities, etc), and 2020 was gonna be my year to finally do it. Decided to do an adverse selection and sign up for good dental insurance, I got a single cavity filled, and then, boom, pandemic
But I forgot to disenroll from the dental insurance until a month ago, and so I ended up paying a ton of money for insurance I didn't use - which I guess serves me right for trying to just sign up for insurance only when I knew I'd use it
I've got to admit, when the pandemic hit, part of me was just relieved I didn't have to go to the dentist
There was the time people thought I was a Sirhan Sirhan truther, and people were very mad when I said Castillo wasn’t as bad as Fujimori, feel like I’m forgetting some
GRTs are just not ideal. The exemption would encourage firms contort themselves to stay below $2 million, while the tax itself would encourage excessive vertical integration, creating a weird bias against medium sized firms for no real reason
In an ideal world, it'd be nice if we had a federally administered VAT that states and municipalities could piggy back on the infrastructure of, so if you want to do state single payer, just have the feds bump up the VAT in that area and transfer the extra revenue to them
One thing I'm very sure about my dad is that if he had grown up in the internet age, he would have gone down as one of the greatest poasters of all time.
He had his own unmistakable aesthetic you could see in everything he wrote. His sense of humor never left him, even when Parkinsons took his ability to speak, he would take his time, typing out a word per minute at best, just to share a silly joke. He never stopped posting.
I still can't piece his entire life story together - he didn't like to stay in one place long, he never made much money, he had a knack for finding the weirdest living spaces, whether it was someone's porch, a trailer in a backyard, or a closet.