Josh Wolfe Profile picture
Jan 19 21 tweets 6 min read
1/
Failure comes from failure to imagine failure

2 topics—
both seem sensationalist
both deserving of MORE not less attention
so that attention can lead to rallying support + action
as it has with w/some domestic injustice

1 CHINA CONCENTRATION CAMPS
+
2 TALK OF U.S “CIVIL WAR”
2/ Topic 1: China concentration camps

I quickly imagined what it was like in 1933
+ searched for resource of what US 🗞📰 might have been reporting on what the rising authoritarian power in Germany doing opening “re-education camps”…

Thankfully it exists…
3/ KEEP YOUR 👀 on the progression of the #’s in this 🧵

And why “Never Again”—-must mean NEVER AGAIN

1933“in a reconcentration camp at Dachau, Bavaria a NYT correspondent finds 2,000 Germans being “educated” at hard labor for long hrs simply for idle words of ruling powers…”
4/ From 2,000 prisoners—the #’ss rise…

“18,000 Germans Held Imprisoned” Concentration Camps for Political “Unfit” In All Parts of Country

“18,000 imprisoned by Nazi, Say to Make Fit Citizens”
5/ From 18,000 the headlines rise—

“80,000 in Big Prison Camps in Germany, Socialists Reveal—Citizens Held Merely Because They Oppose Nazi Regime”
6/ The # of camps grows

“At Least Five Camps Hold Nazi’s Prisoners—Hitlerites keep total number and their population secret—one said to accomodate 5,000–additional ones planned”
7/ Within a few years—the Nazis emboldended, militarized and unchallenged are declaring horrifically with no fear—of mass murder…
8/ By 1942, after 9 years from when the first “re-education” camps opened in Dachau—over 700,00 gassed to death and then over 1,000,000 jews are known to be slain in european slaughterhouses.

From 2,000 political protestors—to millions in systematic genocide.
9/ Those who do not know history are condemned to repeat it….
bbc.com/news/world-asi…
10/ Current US financial + economic interests from Hollywood to the NBA stay silent for fear China will retaliate against us standing for the moral standards the Greatest Generation from WWII to the present fought + died for
nbcnews.com/news/world/new…
11/ NEVER AGAIN means NEVER AGAIN
nytimes.com/interactive/20…
12/ TOPIC 2 -

Socializing something undesirable that is shocking and IMPROBABLE—paradoxically makes its occurence more PROBABLE

as preventing the occurence depends on us not being desensitized to it but shocked by it

There is observably heightened talk of US “civil war”…
13/ in talking with prominent historian + foreign policy expert

i noted growing domestic violence + incivility + books being published about the next Civil War + that shifting the overton window normalizing it and making it more probable to occur…

add to this—
14/ Add to this—falling stock markets which risk creating further fissures + fault dividing fault lines (especially of recently invested retail investors) along rich/poor; black/white; left/right tribal lines…
15/
Some of the tribal uncivility + disunion
perhaps 90-95% is organic.

Some of it is fomented by foreign foes (Russia, Iran, China) thru information operations with bots + fake accounts that stoke fears, provoke fights + fuel the flames

So what?
16/ The likelihood of actual “civil war” is VERY IMPROBABLE—even as Trump runs again (unless criminal charges tie him up) and left + right hatred reaches new heights

something else is more likely…
17/ That something else is more akin to northern ireland “The Troubles”—a low-level long-lasting wave of domestic violence + domestic terrorism assaniations of judges, local violence, kidnappings, drivethrus of public gatherings like Charlottesvile, basically…
18/ basically sensationalsit domestic conflagrations,

archipelagos of anarchy (with risk they coalesce or act in concert)

that create economic risks—if and as fear amongst the public grows for patronizing certain businesses
(with threats of violence)

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More from @wolfejosh

Jan 20
1/ There are a few ‘megamacro’ trends that really matter

-Hard power (aerospace + defense *see below*) v China
-Soft power (US culture + tools for ‘Tech of Science’) v China
-Money + “low entropy” currency (USD x Fed x crypto)
-Africa, MENA, SE Asia EM
spacenews.com/chinese-satell…
2/ Climate matters alot—though climate does not have the human-generated conflict of interests

(unless world shames China for coal; and is easily solved with doubling world’s nuclear power—only cost is the loss of “environmentalists” egos + pride from their orthodoxy)

But more—
3/ More important than climate🤭—a 100yr problem that will be solved in next 50yrs (not by swapping light bulbs or neg. growth but via nuclear + electrification)

—Is cancer, heart disease, alzheimers, infectious disease (globally)= 5 + 10yr problems needing solutions now
Read 6 tweets
Jan 17
MLK actual “I have a dream” speech

taken today

on limited display
@ National Museum of African American History & Culture
2/ the unintended consequences of technology.

The cotton gin which turned a single worker cleaning seeds and processing 1lb per day to 50x more productive perversely creating demand to feed the machine and fueling demand for slaves…
3/ this is video footage of KKK and white supremacists 100 years ago—1920 ago freely walking the Capitol and the Washington Monument whose base our family stood at this AM
Read 7 tweets
Jan 11
1/ INCREDIBLE!

TECH of SCIENCE
Matter that matters––
from Lux family founder Sriram Subramanian

Using cutting-edge imaging TECH from his new venture (Gandeeva) found + funded by Lux partner @AGoulburn

Revealed here
the actual ATOMIC structure
of spike protein of Omicron...
2/ This is 2.8 Angstrom (just a few atoms)

To understand how small this is
1 human hair = ~1,000,0000 Angstrom

We are getting resolution at the scale of atoms that make up a virus that are one-one-millionth the width of a human hair...
3/ To put this in perspective
it would be like looking at NYC (Manhattan 25km long) from SPACE by satellite
and being able to precisely image
and see a tiny single screw (25mm)!
Read 7 tweets
Jan 10
PRIVATE freedom to refuse vaccine should be OK with us all

so long as the costs of resulting hospitalizations
are also PRIVATE and not slapped to PUBLIC

Refusal to reduce spread + stressing zero-sum hospital system should be met with refusal to socialize costs to others
2/

this is the way

npr.org/sections/coron…
3/ NO

lung cancer + obesity are not directly contagious or infectious or consuming zero-sum hospital attention in epidemic

In free market: all smokers + most (not all) obese make personal choices taking higher risks which are fairly reflected in their high insurance costs
Read 5 tweets
Jan 10
1 I own Bitcoin

2 Just remember every time Bitcoin goes down it is good for Bitcoin because bitcoin going down means it can go up more from where it went down. So this is a good thing. Very good. The lower it goes the more room it has to go up and entice new believers. Praise Be
3 Also if you really “do the work” + “go deep” + get after it + read the links down the rabbit hole🐇⚫️, like really go deep doing the work reading the links down the hole...

You will KNOW that it is VERY rare to see 3 troll pattern which is a setup for the next leg movement
4/ If anyone disagrees with this analysis let them have fun being poor + remind them they aren't going to make it, + let them know they are a 🤡 and a total idiot 🤦‍♂️ and then go and show them what they are missing by buying more and do it on lots of total conviction leverage
Read 9 tweets
Jan 7
1/NYC
2/ NYC...
3/ NYC...
Read 6 tweets

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