1) So ByteDance 'disbanding' their investment team is the news of the day. While it's easy to say this is because of the new regulations around investment approvals, the reality is more complicated
2) ByteDance has bi-monthly (every two month) OKR reorgs. Yep, every two months. This means an organisation that is agile at best and chaotic at worst.
Teams spin-up and spin-down with relatively high frequency.
Re-org of a whole team, even with 100 people, is not new.
3) The investment team had about 3 different heads in 3 years. From Yan Shuo who's now head of gaming to Alex Zhu of former Musicaly, and now Zhao Pengyuan (who reports to Alex Zhu). For a division, the constant change must be a reflection of it trying to find clear direction
4) The investment team isn't the sole team that carries out investment in ByteDance. Functional departments initiate strategic investments (say the enterprise software department can invest in B2B software). Often the investment team gets brought in for the deal execution.
5) But they aren't often the origination team. This means that strategic investment wouldn't stop for ByteDance even without a designated investment team for it.
The fact that investment team and functional team can both approach startups has also caused confusion externally.
6) The regulations for Chinese tech investments only covers large platforms with about 100m users or more than 10 billion yuan ($1.58 billion) in revenue. Most of ByteDance's investments are in early-stage startups, this regulation doesn't really limit the team's options
7) While I'm sure the regulations gave some push and guidance that investments by CVCs is being watched by regulators. The fact that Tencent's investment pace sped up rather than slowed down in 2021 to me indicates this is not a blanket effect on Chinese tech CVCs
8) Don't waste a good crisis or new regulations that helps tech companies cull the divisions that might not be the most useful in their current guises.
• • •
Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to
force a refresh
1) Let's talk about the generational mental model differences in China and its impact.
Rather than talking about boomers, gen x, millennials and zoomers. Chinese media segments their population by birth year ranges with monikers of post-80s generation, post-90s and post-00s.
2) This is very fine dicing of the population but highly relevant.
Given China's fast pace change, every decade saw substantial changes in living conditions and therefore massive shifts in that generation's mindsets and values.
3) China went from a state of material scarcity in the early 1980s to high variance in affluence by the 2000s. The transition to more abundance mindsets is clearly seen with each generation.
(variance across regions applies, but this holds especially true for the top cities)
1) Let's talk about how Xiaomi's one of the savviest and stealthiest Chinese tech investors bar none.
Their playbook involves selling mobiles close to margin to land a consumer, before upselling that customer on products they've invested in.
Almost Shopify for hardware
2) Xiaomi famously announced they would never make more than 5% in profit margin from hardware in 2018.
Because they see the phone as a distribution channel for their platform of products and services, the phones are cheap to basically acquire consumer 'traffic'.
3) Xiaomi carries over 2,000 consumer devices in their online and offline stores, of which it is only responsible for a select few, like TV, Xiaomi Pad and speakers.
The rest is made by 400 partner companies.
But Xiaomi isn't a simple retailer, they are a platform
1) Changes in the air - pulling of idol-focused community apps, wasted milk scandal, Kris Wu's arrest, government announcement condemning fan culture.
Feels like a bigger crack-down for idols or 'traffic stars' (流量明星) is imminent.
2) Idol culture, imported from Japan and Korea, has grown rapidly in China in recent years. Some reports estimate China’s idol market to be worth RMB 100 billion ($14 billion) by 2020, with YoY growth of 60%.
3) The business model harks back to 1920s' movie studios - where studios incubate stars and secure them with exclusive contracts.
But instead of studios, it's internet media platforms and their ecosystem of trainee schools these days.
If your life has been going well, all the questions facing you from late twenties onwards will be hard questions, to which there are no right answers.
All the low hanging fruit questions have been answered and you're just left with the ultimate questions of 'what kind of person do I want to be? What kind of life do I want to live? Who do I want to be with?'
These 'hard questions' are actually a sign of the blessed in many respects. Because you have the luxury of trying to answer them.