I don’t know if anyone has seen the pernicious claim flying round social media in the last few days that only “17,000 people in the UK have died from #covid”
I’ve yet to see anyone debunk it so I thought I’d do a 🧵
1/
Recently, I saw a number of people making the same, obviously false claim along the lines of “only 10% of covid deaths are actually covid deaths”
I asked for sources repeatedly and eventually got sent a link to an @ONS Freedom of Information request…
2/
The ONS were asked for the numbers of people who had died from covid, but had no other underlying conditions.
The answer came back as ~17,000.
So does that mean the other 150,000 didn’t die of covid??
No - of course it doesn’t.
3/
Let’s take a look at the definitions used by the ONS:
They use the term “due to COVID-19” when referring only to deaths with an underlying cause of death as COVID-19
From their weekly reports we know they use the term “involving covid” and “due to covid” to differentiate.
4/
From their 2020 report they said:
“Of the 73,766 deaths registered in England and Wales in 2020 with an underlying cause of death of COVID-19…..”
73,766 deaths in 2020 had an UNDERLYING CAUSE OF DEATH OF COVID-19.
Not deaths involving covid, covid was the cause.
5/
Now I presume the people sharing this stuff haven’t actually read the ONS data - otherwise they would have read the definition used.
I assume they genuinely believe that somehow having an underlying condition means you were about to die anyway and covid merely “helped”
6/
However we know from the Intensive Care reports that around 90% of covid patients in #ICU were living wholly independent lives prior to catching #covid.
They weren’t at deaths door before covid. In fact less than 15% of covid patients in ICU have severe comorbidities
7/
So what were the “underlying health conditions” on the death certs of people who died of Covid?
I wonder how many people reading this may surprise themselves by finding their own, minor, fully controlled, health issues on the list🤷♀️
Note they are “deaths DUE TO COVID”
8/
Here are the top 20 from the death certificates of people who died from covid in 2020….
I’m going to look at a few of them (twitter won’t let me do a thread long enough to cover them all!)
NB I am not a doctor, I’m a scientist. But I will do my best “Google research” 🤓😉
9/
CARDIAC ARRHYTHMIA
A problem with the rhythm of your heart beat.
Experienced by 2 million people in the UK.
Generally harmless
Most people lead a normal life
Do you think a covid death should be dismissed as a covid death in one of these 2 million people?🤷♀️
10/
CEREBROVASCULAR DISEASE
The most common type of cerebrovascular disease is stroke, but includes aneurysms and brain hemorrhages
1.3 million people will have a history of strokes
And remember, these are people who have covid as their Cause of death - not stroke
11/
CHRONIC LOWER RESPIRATORY DISEASE
This covers asthma, COPD, Emphysema, chronic bronchitis, and other lung diseases
12.7 million people in the UK live with these diseases.
Asthma is not even considered a risk factor for covid mortality.
12/
DEMENTIA AND ALZHEIMER’S
Dementia and Alzheimer’s were the leading cause of death in 2019. They accounted for a similar proportion of deaths in 2020.
So if a death cert showed covid was the cause of death, then covid was the cause of death - plenty still died from dementia
13/
DIABETES
Nearly 5 million people in the UK live full and active lives while having diabetes.
In 2021, they also noted a fractured femur in 46 covid deaths and accidental falls in 54 of them.
I don’t think anyone can argue that a fractured femur is somehow the “real cause of death” when a person contracts covid and had covid as the cause of death on their death cert! 20/
Now, you are free to look up the rest yourselves.
And in case you think covid is the only cause of death to have underlying conditions which are there to somehow “rig the numbers”, here are the other conditions mentioned when Ischaemic heart disease is the cause of death
21/
Having multiple health issues mentioned on a death cert. is normal, whatever the cause of death.
No one is trying to inflate covid deaths by pretending that deaths were caused by covid rather than a heart attack. People have continued to die from all other causes too!
22/
So when you hear someone dismiss covid deaths in people with underlying health conditions, remember that most of these conditions are not life threatening, and we know from ICU data that 90% of covid patients in ICU were leading full unassisted lives prior to infection.
23/
I haven’t got enough tweets left to cover the morality, and frankly hideousness of the narrative that if you have an underlying condition, your life is worth less.
These people are our family, our friends, our carers, valuable, meaningful members of our society…
24/
Finally, for a bit of fun, how about a poll?
How many of the “underlying conditions” covered in this thread (and covered in the ONS definitions) do you have?
A particularly nasty example of this misinformation, because it looks so plausible, was this tweet.
He went to the effort of extracting the data from ONS spreadsheets, but then deliberately mislabeled the data and the graph - claiming the ONS referred to them as WITH and FROM 🤬
Wow - those are quite phenomenal headlines given the details of the story.
Ahh look, he’s just a ‘nerdy’ guy. No harm done.
You need to scroll down to paragraph 13 of the Sky piece to find the full story!
🧵 1/6
Background facts:
⏺️Unemployed Heroine user living with his Mum
⏺️Previous conviction for causing actual bodily harm (which he initially denied)
⏺️Shed containing:
Lethal Poisons
Live ammunition
Suspected IEDs
Radioactive Material
White Phosphorus (that had to be destroyed by the military)
2/6
Then we eventually get to paragraph 13:
He’s a massive racist…
Not covered in Sky article but covered by BBC:
⏺️“Muslims turn my stomach”
⏺️discussed wanting to drive a tank “into that mosque on Friday afternoon and turning them into mincemeat”
⏺️ burned out remains of a device with the words "...for use on Jews only" and "throw at swarm of Jews".
⏺️ container labelled as Zyklon-B, the chemical used in gas chambers at Nazi death camps
This is less of a “debunk” and more an explainer to dampen down the pearl clutching and lower the temperature of the rhetoric against asylum seekers.
NONE of this is on them!
2/25
So, the claim itself relates to details in this court case suggesting that PTS-247 provided taxi services to asylum seekers under a contract from Clearsprings but haven’t been paid.
The papers show there were 6000 journeys per month totaling ~ £350K
Following Farage’s announcement that he plans to make “serious cuts to the welfare budgets” if he wins the next election, I’ve seen this claim being repeated from last year’s headlines again.
So let’s take a look at the the reality rather than the weaponised version
🧵
1/20
The stat comes from an ONS report published last December, which found that:
“The proportion of people living in households receiving more in benefits than they paid in taxes decreased from 53.6% to 52.6%”
Cool. Job done 👍🏼
The headlines are correct, right?
Not exactly…
2/20
In this case you need to dig even deeper than the ONS statement and look at what they classed as a benefit.
Because I can guarantee that what people reading those headlines conjure in their minds and what the ONS meant won’t be the same!
Headline: Rayner’s family home was valued at almost twice the amount of other recently sold properties on her street.
Article: Behind a paywall so most people will take that insinuation at face value
The reality?
🧵1/10
The house was valued in 2023, by a third party, independent, professional valuer who would have visited the house, taken in all the information and gone away and found local comparables.
It was valued at £650,000.
So is it only actually worth £325K as the headline suggests?! 😱
2/10
Nope.
They bought the house for £375K nine years ago and then built and extension on it.
To suggest it’s now worth £50K LESS than what they paid for it is ridiculous.
And funny enough, despite the headline, the article DOESN’T actually suggest that🙄