Thread by @Morris_Monye

1. APC did not win 2015 because Buhari was overly popular.

APC won because PDP fought amongst themselves and destroyed itself.

The current infighting in APC may be good for Nigerians

I will give some history on how the PDP downfall started from 2012.

THREAD!!!

2. It all started 2012. The N.E zonal Congress of the PDP was held in Bauchi to elect the National Chairman.

Bamanga Tukur was GEJ anointed candidate but he lost the local election. However, three days later, all other candidates withdrew for him.

GEJ forced him in.

3. The NWC members were very annoyed. They thought he was too old. (He was in his 80s).

GEJ wanted him because he had money and could not be bought by Governors easily

The chief opponent was the Governor of Adamawa state Murtala Nyako. They were from the same state

4. Why did he not want Tukur as Chairman

A. Being Chairman would make Nyako the number 2 in the state
B. He believed Tukur wanted to make his son Governor in 2015

True to Nyako’s fear, the state executive committee in the party was dissolved. The NWC distanced themselves.

5. This was the spark that started all the confusion in PDP and metamorphosed into the eventual loss of PDP

The NWC reinstated the sacked executives and said the Chairman acted alone.

However, Dame Jonathan fight with Amaechi, Amaechi issues with GEJ over oil wells

6. His rancorous relationship with the Speaker Tambuwal, sacking of Oyinlola as National secretary, GEJ 2nd term etc were all isolated cases that added to the eventual collapse

But the Tukur situation was the spark.

Let me continue the story. So....

7. Two parallel bodies were created in Adamawa.

The Governor had swore to fight the Chairman and GEJ (who he thought supported such moves)

Next bad move, Tukur suspended Amaechi. It stunned people because even though GEJ and him were enemies, it was illegal to do so without NEC

8. Tukur had not called any NEC meeting but still suspended him anyways.

Next Governor to be suspended was Gov Wamakko of Sokoto state. Again no one was consulted.

Why were these men suspended?

Wamakko was rumored to be contesting for President and Amaechi was to be VP

9. Wamakko also supported Nyako openly when Tukur and himself were fighting for power.

Also Amaechi spats with GEJ made the suspension of both men align with GEJ and Tukur’s interest.

What next? Other Governors revolt. They see this as a bad sign.

10. Gov. Lamido of Jigawa openly frowned at the suspensions. Also Kwankwaso of Kano

Rumbling starts....

BOT chairman, Chief Tony Anenih felt Tukur was the devil and was deceiving GEJ

Meanwhile the issue of 2nd term and the supposed gentleman’s agreement for GEJ not to contest

11. Started raising issues.

Campaign posters were out for GEJ and he did nothing to douse the rumors of him not contesting.

Three senators and Governors were mandated to see GEJ to clear the air on that

They were Saraki, Lamido and Adamu Abdullahi

Saraki was hesitant.

12. Saraki and GEJ were not friends.

It started from Yaradua’s time when Saraki was the all powerful NGF chairman. He had more powers than GEJ who was vice then.

TO BE CONTINUED

13. LETS CONTINUE

People regarded GEJ then as that lucky guy.

But Yar’adua, the ever wise President then was aware of things and asked Saraki (He is on Twitter. He can confirm) to discuss with GEJ.

GEJ said “No problem, your excellency”

But after Yar’Asia’s demise,

14. GEJ was made to remember some of the role Saraki contributed in the political bedlam during Yar’adua’s sickness.

Later, Saraki even met GEJ at the villa to ask him why EFCC was harassing him and his family. GEJ feigned ignorance.

But he barely left the villa when SFU

15. unit declared him wanted. SFU is Special Fraud Unit.

Let’s not deviate.

So those men met GEJ. Lamido, Abdullahi and Saraki. They came back upset.

Why? GEJ kept them waiting for hours. And gave them a “I don’t give a fuck” attitude about the gentleman’s agreement

16. A G-7 of aggrieved governors was formed.

They were Adamawa, Kano, Niger, Jigawa, Kwara, Rivers and Sokoto.

They were headed by Baraje.

They would be the n-PDP

They either hated Tukur or were against GEJ 2nd term.

17. Their plan was to mobilize against GEJ nationwide.

Saraki wanted someone else to defeat GEJ at the primaries.

Amaechi wanted to leave the PDP outrightly.

Others were undecided.

18. PDP convention came, all 7 Governors planned a walk-out.

Atiku gets to hear of this. He wants to be part of it.

The others are reluctant to include him especial Nyako. They include him in the plans anyways.

Meanwhile, the newly formed APC can’t believe their luck!

19. The n-PDP did not want to leave PDP save Amaechi

They just wanted to force GEJ hand so he sacks Tukur and a renegotiation of 2015.

But things get out of hand very quickly.

57 out of 204 PDP lawmakers swear allegiance to n-PDP

Anenih panics and tries to talk sense to GEJ

20. Tukur instead fights the G-7 and suspends the state executives in Kano and others.

It explodes and they all walk into APC.

Just like that (without a single vote cast) APC got the big 3 Kano, Rivers and Lagos (Lagos was always APC)

Game over.

THE END!