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Jan 22 10 tweets 4 min read
Charlie Munger spent the last 98 years finding and implementing Mental Models that help him solve complex problems.

You’ll learn them in a couple of threads.

Last week we discussed 4 Mental Models of Charlie.

Today, another 4 will follow.
1. Parimutuel Betting

Our life is a constant weighing up of opportunity and risk.

That’s why the smartest way to live life and invest in the stock market is to only take unfair bets.

Bets where the relationship between odds and returns are stacked in your favor.
2. The Superpower of Incentives

If you call your Wall Street broker, he’ll always have an excellent opportunity for you to invest.

Why?
Because every opportunity to sell you a stock is an excellent one for him.

He gets his commission from selling you the stock.
If the stock goes up, down, or sideways doesn’t matter to him at all.

But it matters to you.

The incentives of the broker and you don’t align.

Think about how many of these situations exist in everyday life.

Learning:

Look for situations where you both have skin in the game.
3. Invert, always Invert

Often, it’s not clear what goal you should aim for or what to achieve.
There are so many.

But you always know what should never happen.

Focus on that part.

Ask yourself what you must avoid at all costs, and then find out how.
It’s so much easier because you have a lot less to think about.

There are a hundred ways to improve your investment performance.

But only a couple of things you must avoid to achieve that goal.

Just as in investing, focus on the downside.
4. Compounding

Compounding is usually only associated with financial investments.

But just like the other mental models, it’s a universal concept for life.

It’s not just money that compounds.

Knowledge, experience, relationships are all subjects of compounding.
Just think about Munger’s learning curve in over 98 years of constant reading, thinking, and discussing.

If you want to improve at anything, make it part of a routine that you regularly perform for years.

Make it part of your life.
This was the second part of the series.
A new will follow at least once every week.

If you don’t wan to miss them, consider following me @MnkeDaniel

You would also help me greatly by Retweeting and Liking the Thread.

Thank you very much!

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More from @MnkeDaniel

Jan 17
Charlie Munger spent the last 98 years finding and implementing Mental Models.

He created a grid of Models that every problem has to go through.

In this and the following Threads of this series, I’ll present you all of those Models.

Let’s go!
1. “Be a Swiss Army Knife!”

“To a man with a hammer, every problem looks like a nail.”

Even the smartest people behave like such a man if they only stay in their field of expertise.

But complex problems will never be solved by looking at them from only one perspective.
Instead, be a Swiss Army knife.

Adapt your thinking to the situation and cross the boundaries of your field.

Along this thread, you’ll learn how to do that.
Read 12 tweets
Jan 14
Today, Howard Marks released a new Memo, “Selling Out.”

Here’s a quick “all you need to know” summary👇🏼
Why Do People Sell?

There are two main reasons:

1. Selling because the stock is up
2. Selling because the stock is down

Let’s start with Number 1.
1. Selling because it’s up

People tend to realize gains out of fear the profits might go away (Loss-Aversion).

We want to avoid the feeling of regret and embarrassment.

And we hate getting something taken away that already “belonged” to us.

In this case, the profits.
Read 11 tweets
Dec 15, 2021
Big losses occur when investors fail to change their opinion upon new facts.

But there is one question that will prevent that from happening.

THREAD: How you can stay rational about your Investments 👇🏼
“What would change my mind?”

As part of your investment thesis, ask yourself that question.

What needs to happen for you to change your mind about a given investment?
Why do you need to answer this before(!) investing in a company?

Because you'll be biased as soon as you buy the first share of stock.
Read 9 tweets
Dec 14, 2021
A University degree will get you a job, but it does not teach you investing.

I’m just experiencing that firsthand.

Here are 5 YouTube Videos / Channels that DO teach you Investing 👇🏼
Khan Academy Accounting Class:

Yes, there are more fun things than accounting.
But it’s part of the job.

If you cannot read financial statements, there is no reason to be an active investor.

Warren Buffett Lecture at the University of Florida:

No matter where you‘re in your investment journey.
Buffett explaining how investing works will always help.

No jargon, just wisdom.

Read 7 tweets
Dec 5, 2021
Kobe Bryant knew he wasn’t born the most gifted basketball player in the world.

Yet, his career was unmatched. How did he do it?

He understood two concepts that later also helped him with his investment firm.

THREAD: How Kobe succeeded on and off the court 👇🏼
Kobe started his day at 4 am with his first training session.

Why?

Because that way, he got more training done overall.

If your body needs to recover for 5 hours before the next session, Kobe could work out three times a day.
First session from 4am to 6am

Second session from 12am to 2pm

Third session from 8pm to 10pm

If you start working out at 12am and don’t want to work out in the middle of the night, you’re only doing two sessions.

With every day that passes, Kobe gets one more session in.
Read 9 tweets
Dec 2, 2021
Apple, Google, YouTube, Instagram, PayPal, Zoom, Nvidia, …

All these companies have one thing in common.
They were backed by the same Venture Capital Firm.

Sequoia Capital.

This is the story of one of the most successful VC companies of all time. 👇🏼
The founder of Sequoia was Don Valentine.
Who was born in the Bronx in 1932.

Later in his life, he shall be known as the “grandfather of Silicon Valley venture capital”.

The reason for that is the firm he founded in 1972, Sequoia Capital.
Sequoia focuses on early investments in small tech companies. High-risk investments.

One of the companies Valentine invested in was Apple Inc.

He met Steve Jobs and decided to invest $150,000 into Apple in 1978.

Only two years after Apple was founded.
Read 14 tweets

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