Try to imagine it like this: leaving GB to FR/EU somebody has had their foot on a hose since 1/1/21. Ferry is slower loading, but when it zips across channel the queue waiting there in FR/EU has had nobody standing on the hose...until 1/1/22.
Now somebody is *partially only* standing on the hose FR/EU to GB.
Slower to load FR/EU side means longer queue building on the GB side waiting for ferries shuttling back that cannot afford to be too non commercially empty. So fewer sailings but still not running as profitably.
Left unchecked queues both sides will stretch. UK Gov (at your expense) will have commissioned extra ferries to sail much more empty. I believe DFDS service out of Sheerness pulled from service this week (adding to workload on Dover port) to ferry out more unaccompanied trailers
Port of Dover (any port) will not concede having any issues because they do not want exporters/importers shifting to driver unaccompanied routings/ports any sooner than they already are. The UK Gov will prioritise optics by keeping queues on roads down enough (they hope)
with your taxes subsidising extra ferries until freight (they hope) gradually finds its new lower equilibrium away from Dover using the driver unaccompanied ports, where by then (they hope) there will be enough UK HGV drivers/customs & SPS clearance extra personnel, systems
& infrastructure needed to comfortably drag loads from these ports.
If they need to delay the extra multiple times delayed *full* import (SPS/SSDs) controls again on the flow-over-control-advantage-EU-suppliers-&-smugglers basis, they will do so.
I predicted they will last Nov.
The forever extended "deadlines" designed to drag just enough prepped businesses to point of readiness (they hope). To date 3 or 4 times they have not been able to, but as trade drops away they will reach the point where they can afford to "let go" & fully implement their TCA
By this time you will all be slowly conditioned (they hope) to accept less (volumes/freshness/choice of produce & products)
for more (cost & slower delivery schedules)
Brexit Curtain now descended.
"Belarussian Brexit"

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More from @vivamjm

Jan 22
@JVSwallow believes delays will get worse as trade picks up this month. “I think European hauliers will decide they no longer want to come here – that they won’t want to bother with the red tape and will find it a lot easier to just trade in Europe.”
fleetpoint.org/logistics/dist…
“Last year when these regulations kicked in on the British side of the border traders extracted themselves from the market but as they were exporting from the UK no one on the High Street noticed but this year, as this builds up, we will notice"
One driver tweeted: “If you are currently wondering why the quality of food is so poor right now…it’s probably sitting in the back of a truck along with me in Calais – outside the port trying to get in.”
Read 4 tweets
Jan 21
Ruth Cadbury echoed a call from the British Chambers of Commerce for the government to streamline some of the new red tape required. “The government has an opportunity to smooth things out,” she said.
How the fuck how?
independent.co.uk/news/uk/politi…
Can only "smooth things out" by joining/becoming part of same regulatory territory (a single market); same customs territory (a customs union)
or at the very least by closer alignment.
**Do these idiot politicians still not get it??**
Does Ruth/they not realise there is ..on the contrary much more worse.. *rough* to come ?!?
UK has yet to introduce its full market standards/SPS controls and its SSDs in accordance with its chosen (what it wanted) TCA Brexit..
Read 4 tweets
Jan 21
More will get used to customs/RoO controls; but also freight levels will increase in the short term & worst of the *UK* import (market standards/SPS & SSDs) controls..constantly delayed ..are still yet to come in July through to Nov...unless delayed again into 2023 (they will be)
(this because UKG - justified - had repeated fears of supply chain throughout being too throttled causing greater shortages). It also quietly extended EU haulier favouring unlimited cabotage from last Oct to prevent supply chains collapse. This EU favouring is still Gov policy.
They still are afraid to fully implement their TCA though, esp with food from Ireland where even the partial SPS controls are deferred yet again. Advantaged IE/EU suppliers over UK counterparts & Smugglers Charter being the continued UK Gov preferred option
Read 7 tweets
Jan 14
From a mate: "Hello! I was on a Border meeting earlier with the cabinet office. They were not wanting the truth, quite insistent that reports of queues, at either side of the channel were a fabrication by the media and social media.
In other words the queues that are potentially there are normal for Ro-Ro traffic.
Talk about propaganda. You seriously couldn’t make this stuff up. Mind you when our own PM lies through his teeth is it any surprise that other government departments are going to do the same.
Interesting that an ex colleague still HMRC questioned a few of us about posts on FB where we’d said about queues. They only want good news. I deal with a few hauliers and ff’s day to day and they are telling a different story than the rhetoric the Government want us to believe.
Read 6 tweets
Jan 13
On UK Waterways...
Funny none of this was an issue until Brexit?
Up until when SM/CU continental supplies of Ferrous Sulphate were not an issue !!
(I wonder if UKG will try to re-classify UK shellfish waters to salvage a small piece of the now wholly fucked sales into EU) 🤪
I never knew this below (I was been sarcastic above) ...incredible ..
Read 4 tweets

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