If we were to treat the climate crisis like a design project, and engage with all of the various stakeholders, I think (broadly), there would be agreement on a few key points: 1. The climate is warming, it's caused by our actions, and it's not a good thing.
2. The main action that's driving climate change is the extraction of fossil fuels from the ground (coal, oil & gas), and burning them to produce energy; 3. The business of fossil fuel extraction, processing and distribution keeps a fair number of people employed;
4. We have a narrow, and narrowing, window in which to turn this cycle around so that the amount of carbon emissions produced peaks, reduces, and ultimately moves to a net-negative so the level of these gases in our atmosphere is reduced.
If we then talked about what principles might apply to a future in which we had successfully addressed the climate crisis, we might agree on: 1. we no longer burn fossil fuels to produce energy, or make other things; 2. we've consigned fossil fuel extraction to the history books
3. we've set a new balance in our environment such that trees and vegetation (on land and in the water) are removing carbon emissions from the atmosphere.
More, we might have learned the lesson of excess extraction of resources and shifted our ways of being and living so that we are not generating new scenarios in which consumption and regeneration are out of balance; where refuse does not accumulate; and the world regenerates.
Along the way, we will need to tackle the inertia that comes from established ways of being & living; the political and market power that comes from the wealth of the fossil fuel industries; and the dependence on fossil fuels of some communities for their existence.
We can do all of it, though, and do it without creating new problems along the way.
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OK, so let’s take a quick look at today’s CPI figures, and they’re not great numbers. But first, some context around the CPI, why it's of interest, and what today's numbers mean (and don't mean but will try to be blamed on anyway)...
1. Let's start with some context. CPI - Consumer Price Index - is an economic measure that gives us some sense for how quickly prices are going up. The ABS looks at a 'basket' of standard household goods* and tracks their price on a regular basis.
CPI jumps around somewhat, and it can be distorted by the movements of specific goods in response to global events. These can have short-term influences over CPI, which the ABS tends to smooth out of the index. There are methodological questions about what's in that 'basket'...
[Sidebar: what’s you ‘favourite’ Coalition slogan?]
"In the past two elections we were bombarded with “Jobs and growth”. Absent any detail, we were left asking, Which growth? In what sectors? On what time line?”
[I’m not sure how widespread that kind of critical thinking was at the time, but he’s right.]
I’m going to keep banging on about government accountability until the next election, so let’s begin today’s reading of the @SatPaper with @KarenMMiddleton’s article: Federal integrity commission could cover Christian Porter’s blind trust.
"Amanda Stoker, assistant minister to the attorney-general, has raised new questions about whether a federal integrity commission would cover Christian Porter’s blind trust”…
Lest we forget the story behind this statement, MP Christian Porter recently resigned from the front bench of the Morrison government in order to avoid declaring the names of donors who contributed to his defamation suit legal fees via a trust.
"Hours before cancelling a $90 billion contract for French submarines, Australia was still telling the company to proceed with design – but the plan to renege had been in the works since 2019.”
- there are ways to treat your allies, and then there’s what happened here.
"On the morning of September 15, Paris time, the French government-owned Naval Group received a letter from Australia’s Defence Department…
...it said Australia had accepted new documents sent by Naval Group, including technical specifications.”
Climate action can look pretty simple:
* don’t burn stuff to generate heat and/or electricity
* grow more plants, especially trees, bushes, native grasses, seagrass, kelp…
* leave existing forests, grasslands, wetlands, kelp beds alone...
* generate electricity from wind, solar (wave, geothermal);
* backup with batteries (inc hydro)
* electrify everything (and source that electricity from those renewable generators listed above);
* reduce our reliance on red meat;
* feed livestock foods that limit methane
* buy food close to the source of production (to cut down on transportation);
* buy seasonal foods (to cut down on storage and preservatives);
* buy a diversity of foods (to encourage genetic and crop diversity).
Something that has been bothering me throughout the course of this pandemic, which has crystallised for me over the last 48 hours: the models we're using for our public health advice are simplistic.
Let me explain...
I'll start by noting that my first degree was a B.Sc majoring in physical applied mathematics and applied statistics. Essentially, to model the real world using equations of the deterministic and stochastic fashion.
(If you ever thought I came across as a bit of a nerd, now you know why)