A study by @jasonhickel, Dylan Sullivan, and @huzaifazoom that quantifies drain from the global South through unequal exchange since 1960.
THREAD
In 2017, the most recent year of data, drain through unequal exchange amounted to $2.2 trillion; in other words, it was equivalent to the quantity of Northern commodities that one could buy in that year with $2.2 trillion.
Appropriation via unequal exchange increases (1) when the volume of international trade grows (extensive growth), and (2) when the price gap between North and South widens (extensive growth).
In 2017, the global North appropriated transfers equivalent to 5% of its GDP.
International trade is not a game where everyone wins. Some countries win and other lose. For example, the accumulated gains for France between 1960 and 2017 amount to +$50,160 per person, whereas people in Mexico lost $22,742 per person over the same period.
Globalisation looks like an octopus: the core (rich nations) appropriates resources from the periphery (poorer nations), hence the title of the paper: “Plunder in the Post-Colonial Era.”
The loss happens in two ways: (1) poor countries export UNDER-PRICED products that the North buys cheap while (2) they also import OVER-PRICED products that the North sells dear. It’s a double squeeze.
If you measure that difference with wages (instead of prices in general), the drain gets even higher.
Same mechanism: the South imports products that are relatively expensive (because Northern wages are high) and exports products that are relatively cheap (because Southern wages are low).
If you think the global North got rich just because of creativity and hard work, think again. On a finite planet, affluence somewhere is (very often) achieved through deprivation somewhere else. It’s called “accumulation by dispossession.”
Close to half of all emissions since the industrial revolution have been produced since 1990, the year of the first report by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC).
At current global emissions rates, the 1.5°C budget will be depleted in 6 years and the 2°C budget in 18 years. The per capita sustainable budget compatible with the 1.5°C limit is 1.1 tonne of CO2 per annum per person, i.e. about 6 times less than the current global average.
This recent study by @C_Dorninger et al. shows that economic growth in high-income nations occurs at the expense of poorer countries.
THREAD
Across the embodied flows of materials, energy, land, and labor, rich countries (in purple) used more resources from a consumption perspective than they provided through production.
For example, high-income countries are the largest net appropriators of land (of approximately 0.8 billion hectares per year). Their land footprint correspond to 31% of total global land used.
This study by @JefimVogel et al. (2021) shows that it is possible to satisfy human needs within a sustainable level of energy use.
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1/ Looking at 106 countries, it analyses how the relationship between energy use and need satisfaction varies with a range of socio-economic factors relevant to the provisioning of goods and services.
2/ It looks at 6 human needs and 12 provisioning factors.
If you think inequality is only a matter of income, think again – and check this study on energy inequality by @yl_oswald, @dr_anneowen, and @JKSteinberger.
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1/ The richer a country, the bigger its energy footprint.
2/ Failure in economic inclusion causes exclusion from energy provision. Also: when expenditure is highly unequal in a country, the corresponding inequality in energy footprints will tend to be even larger.
Six figures to understand carbon inequality from the World Inequality Report 2022.
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1/ Close to half of all emissions are due to one tenth of the global population, and just one hundredth of the world population (77 million individuals) emits about 50% more than the entire bottom half of the population (3.8 billion individuals).
2/ The bottom half of the global population contributed only 16% of the growth in emissions observed since 1990, while the top 1% (77 million individuals) was responsible for 21% of emissions growth.
Is decoupling likely to happen? To find out, here is a thread summary of my third and final lecture for The Norwegian Society for the Conservation of Nature.
(Spoiler alert: the answer is no).
THREAD/
1/ The first limit to greening growth has to do with declining rates of Energy Returns on Energy Invested (EROI), meaning that it takes more and more energy to obtain energy.
2/ And for the economists out there who will argue that the energy sector is not that important because it’s only a small part of GDP, read this paper.