One thing that's clear watching the pandemic for the last 2 years is that the only way to truly contain it was early action. A few countries did it the right way. Saved a lot of lives.

If you didn't do the right thing early on, the task became infinitely harder.
Countries which successfully contained covid early on now face a problem of how long they can realistically sustain their approach.

These countries have vaccinated their public and did all the right things. But Omicron makes it very hard.
Countries which acted late find rising cases the moment preventive measures are relaxed. And whenever a new variant arises. It's disheartening.
The virus seems to hold the advantage. washingtonpost.com/health/2022/01…
My hope, and it's only hope, is that current and future vaccines will render this virus and it's mutants less potent in ability to cause severe illness. And that we have the patience to defeat it. Because it does take a lot of patience.

It's hard to continue to be on guard 24/7
Let's hope for the best. And try our best to do what we can do—the things that we know reduce risk.

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More from @VincentRK

Jan 26
We need to do something about prescription drug prices. I have written and advocated for lower prescription drug prices for years.

I applaud @mcuban for starting @costplusdrugs to provide prescription drugs at low prices.
costplusdrugs.com Image
Having spoken to many experts and organizations including experts from Costco and @AARP it was clear that even if the intent is there, providing low cost drugs in our system is extraordinarily difficult.

So I'm glad someone is taking the initiative.
The fact that your copay with insurance can be higher than paying out of pocket at the pharmacy tells you how broken the system is, how much the entire supply chain except the patient benefits from the current system.
Read 8 tweets
Jan 21
It took 2 years for first 50 million confirmed cases in the US. Took 1 month for next 20 million. #OmicronSpeed
I think this is absolutely unprecedented. And why so many people who managed to stay safe for 2 years are now reporting that they have Covid.

Why hospitals and workplaces are struggling with worker shortages.
Thankfully due to vaccines deaths have been lower. But sadly we still lost 60,000 lives this past month.
Read 4 tweets
Jan 20
It's a medical miracle how vaccines developed within one year against the wild strain of COVID have maintained 90% efficacy against hospitalizations against an onslaught of variants. coronavirus.health.ny.gov/covid-19-break…
Risk reduction is how most of medicine works. Few things in medicine work 100%.

Few things work 90%.
You see the same effect in other places as well. Here is deaths by vaccination status from Switzerland.
ourworldindata.org/covid-deaths-b…
Read 4 tweets
Jan 18
South Africa and UK is playing out along the east coast, including New York, New Jersey, Massachusetts: Rapid rise and then a rapid fall.

Cautiously hopeful. ImageImageImageImage
More here. It was my hope for the New Year.
As I have indicated the US is so large geographically that the overall time to peak and fall down for the country as a whole will be longer that South Africa or the UK. But each state will likely behave like the east coast states.
Read 4 tweets
Jan 17
Look at this figure. There are 3 main reasons why it looks the way it does:

1) Vaccines work
2) Immunity from prior Covid
3) Less lung involvement with omicron
ourworldindata.org/covid-metrics-…
Of these 3 reasons, one is easily available and provides great protection: Vaccines

It has a big impact in reducing risk of severe disease during this omicron wave everywhere.
Prior Covid also offers protection. But vaccines augment that protection even more.

Omicron may have lesser propensity for lung involvement, but it's not zero. We see people getting seriously ill. We see deaths. It's luck of the draw. The risk is not worth it.
Read 7 tweets
Jan 15
A lot of questions to my recent tweet on South Korea ask how did they do so well?

Its a combination of great talent & leadership, uniform non-politicized messaging, border control, effective test/trace system, high compliance with masks, distancing, & vaccination.

A strategy.
Many replies I got say it best. And I'll highlight some of them.
Test and trace early on combined with border control established a system that has been sustained for 2 years.
Read 9 tweets

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