I don't think we've fully grappled with the insidious and deeply destructive impact the last 7 years have had on the social fabric of Gulf countries. The rise of hyper-nationalism (and of Mohammad bin Salman) has had traumatic and mostly* invisible effects
I say "mostly invisible" knowing full well just how traumatic the visible effects have been - the treatment of activists, dissidents, and a whole lot of others in these countries, or the mass traumatization of Yemen. Yet, yes, I think the invisible is larger than the visible
Some analysts think the rise of Mohammad bin Salman caused this bent; I actually think it was correlation and not causation. Mohammad bin Salman was meant to be a model, and was a symptom/external effect of a deeper cause/agency that is yet to be fully exposed.
People don't trust each other any more. Friends had to give up friends for their own safety. Families split. Parents had to block their children on social media for their own safety. A new generation had to learn to keep silent and be careful what it thinks. Everyone is afraid.
When it comes to trauma and grievance, it's not like each generation carries its own trauma to its grave, and the next generation starts fresh. No, each generation inherits the trauma of their parents, and then pass it on to their children. Everyone and everything becomes worse.
What happens to societies that are packed to the brim with intergenerational trauma? What happens to societies where everyone has a grievance against everyone, where nobody trusts anybody, where everyone is afraid and anxious? What happens when the next national crisis hits?
By 2050 (if we are to survive as a species) we have to be carbon neutral. The oil will stay in the wells, nobody can get wealthy selling it anymore. Climate change will make many of these areas uninhabitable. Demographically, a majority in these countries won't even be citizens.
What happens then?
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NEW: We've launched a new podcast! It's called "Intergalactic Tarboush" (@tarboush_pod), will be short format (20 mins), and will run weekly. Links to the first two episodes below, but first, some background
Our flagship podcast, the Arab Tyrant Manual (@ArabTyrantMan) was launched in 2017 and came out of hiatus this month. It's a serious, long-format, deep-dive political podcast. We thought we also needed a faster paced, shorter, more eclectic podcast, hence @tarboush_pod
Intergalactic Tarboush is about... eclectic conversations between political activists from MENA. We talk about anything and everything (from disinformation to evolution to sports), but we're coming from a very specific background. Political activists from the MENA.
For the record, the Houthis have engaged in gross human rights violations and committed war crimes. The Saudi-UAE coalition has also engaged in gross human rights violations and committed war crimes. The difference? The latter never lost US support and continue to be US "allies".
Here are some complexifiers:
- Houthis are part of Yemeni society. They cannot be "exterminated". Yemenis of all groups are destined to live together
- Houthis are steeped in historical grievance. The war has deepend these grievances. Yemen is now full of grievance, on all sides
- While things were already bad before the war, the war has made everything and everyone worse. Stopping the war is already difficult, but even if the war stops, it'll take generations to heal
There are people out there whose political consciousness includes the denial of my identity and lived experience as a Palestinian. Most of them aren't Israelis or even Jews, but represent a certain (hopefully past) Western mainstream.
Many of these people hold powerful positions in important institutions in Europe. With them there is no path to "agreement" because for me to "agree" with them, I have to deny my very identity, my lived reality, my family's history, my people's existence.
Most of them who I've come across do not have the humility to question their positions or consider that they may be wrong. Instead they look at *me* as being the one who's unreasonable. It's uncomfortable when they actually *like* me, but "disagree" with me on... my very identity
Zooming out. August 2021 was the first domino. We can't read what's happening today - Putin vs Europe, China escalating threats to Taiwan, or the Iranian regime axis more emboldened to attack US allies - without understanding the geopolitical impact of the Afghanistan withdrawal.
At the same time, we cannot miss how this is connected to the internal dysfunction in American democracy. America is no longer able to uphold or dictate rules around the world, but the foreign policy dysfunction is connected to a domestic politics dysfunction that's unmistakable.
Zooming out further. The pre-21st century world order was Western-centric, and Western-created, at the cost of most everyone else. It was possible due to a huge power disparity. But the weak do not remain weak. As the power disparity reduces, the world order shakes.
Yesterday was my father's birthday. He's wasting away, more in mind than in body. Born in Jaffa shortly before the Nakba, raised in Egypt by a family of refugees, then a 40-year career in the UAE ended with expulsion.
Now, a refugee in Canada, biding his time, unable to speak when he's awake, but talking to me in his sleep every single night. Separated from each other for years by borders and travel documents, we're officially stateless. But very, very Palestinian.
Who else wants to educate me on what Zionism means in real life? Because this is what it means to us. Five generations of statelessness, alienation, dispossession, and separation. Five generations of unrelenting pain. Are we not human?