Why do I have the distinct impression that most of what therapists do is tell their patients that their insane worldview is not in fact insane?
I was kind of joking but also kind of being serious here. In theory, it could be very useful to see a therapist because he could help you see that your perception of the world is wrong, which can be hard for your friends and loved ones to do because it puts them in a hard spot.
But everyone I'm close to who is seeing a therapist seems to have their worldview validated by him/her, even though I personally think the worldview in question is deeply mistaken and a big part of why they are miserable, so that doesn't seem very good.
I think my impression is probably biased by 2 facts acting conjointly. First, therapists need their patients to trust them to come back, so they face the same problem as friends and family who can't openly tell people their perception is wrong, although to a lesser extent.
As a result, instead of "attacking" their patient's worldview, they probably try to change their patient's worldview more obliquely and part of this strategy probably involves "tactical" validation of part of that worldview, which gives them maneuvering room to question the rest.
My guess is that most patients just ignore or dismiss the critical parts and only retain the part where their worldview is validated, so when I talk to them about their experience with their therapist it gives me a skewed perspective on what he or she tells them.
Still, I can't help but think that, overall, therapists are doing a poor job. I'm not saying I could do better, but at least I don't pretend I can. Anyway, even if I'm wrong, conversations with people about their therapists have led me to form a very poor opinion of therapists.
Another theory I have that would be partly disculpatory for therapists is that maybe they are more effective with normal people and, since most of the people I've had these conversations with are *way* smarter than average, it has biased my perception of their effectiveness.
That's because while very smart people are no less, and arguably more, prone to have a flawed perception of the world, they are *much* better at turning their perception into a coherent worldview and finding arguments to support it, making it objectively harder to unfuck them.
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As I have argued before (cspicenter.org/blog/waronscie…), this kind of chart is totally fake, because the methods used to estimate the basic reproduction number of SARS-CoV-2's variants are unreliable, but it's worth pointing out that basically everything else on that chart is fake. 1/n
We don't really know what the basic reproduction number of a virus is, and in fact the question doesn't even make sense, because the basic reproduction number of a virus is not an intrinsic property but depends on the context such as population density, culture, etc. 2/n
For instance, take measles, which is often presented as the most transmissible infectious disease with a R0 of 15 as in the chart above. But where does that number come from? 3/n
But the fact is that Russia has *not* started a war over it yet and this line of reasoning is precisely what makes me think that it won't and that it just wants the US to believe that it *might* to force Washington to take its security concerns seriously. 2/n
Insofar as this has forced the US to the negotiation table to discuss those concerns for the first time in a very long time, you could say that it has worked, but what is unclear to me is what concrete advantages Russia is expecting from the process. 3/n
It's funny a lot of people attack affirmative action on the ground that Asians are discriminated against by elite universities, but never because Whites are, even though the data show that — at least for non-legacy applicants — both claims are true. edition.cnn.com/2022/01/24/pol…
If you point that out, I'm sure people will come up with all sorts of justifications, but they'll just be ad hoc justifications. The actual reason is that, among educated people, it's socially acceptable to complain that Asians are discriminated against but not that Whites are 🤷♂️
Personally, I have come to embrace the view that, in a multicultural society, a measure of affirmative action is probably desirable. You may agree or disagree with that view, but at least it's honest.
This is very interesting and important, but I think another likely effect of technological change is that, *even within cohorts*, it has probably increased heterogeneity in media consumption, because it has given people a much wider range of media to act on their preferences.
It also confirms my prior that young people are in fact terrible.
Maybe the lockdowns will turn out to have been a worthwhile but ultimately doomed last ditch effort to rid the earth of this despicable race: young people.
Elle est quand même tranquillement en train d'expliquer que Macron est tellement génial qu'il suscite un sentiment de sidération chez les membres du gouvernement qui du coup sont comme paralysés 😳😂😭
Qui se souvient quand notre génie en chef, qui aujourd'hui veut "emmerder" les non-vaccinés, expliquait que le vaccin d'AstraZeneca ne marchait pas chez les vieux parce qu'il ne comprenait pas la notion de puissance statistique ? lci.fr/societe/video-…
Je pense plutôt que ce plateau est le résultat de la juxtaposition de 2 épidémies : celle de Delta qui baisse et celle d'Omicron qui monte encore un peu. Comme Omicron a temps de génération plus court, je pense que ça va descendre très vite dès que le pic d'Omicron sera atteint.
Vu l'évolution du taux de croissance d'Omicron, le pic sera probablement atteint cette semaine, donc si j'ai raison l'incidence tous variants confondus devrait commencer à s'effondrer rapidement la semaine prochaine.
Mais bon comme d'habitude on n'en sait rien : un temps de génération plus court implique seulement une baisse plus rapide toutes choses égales par ailleurs et les choses pourraient fort bien ne pas être égales justement 🤷♂️