Sahil Bloom Profile picture
Jan 29 32 tweets 7 min read
“Razors” are rules of thumb that simplify decisions.

The most valuable razors I’ve discovered:
The Smart Friends Razor

If your smartest friends are all interested in something, it’s worth paying attention to.

If that something seems crazy, it's worth paying a lot of attention to.

The passions of the smartest people in your circles are a looking glass into the future.
The Rooms Razor

If you have a choice between entering two rooms, choose the room where you are more likely to be the dumbest one in the room.

Once you are in the room, talk less and listen more.

Bad for your ego, great for your growth.
The Man in the Arena Razor

It's easy to throw rocks the sidelines—it's hard to step into the arena.

It's lonely and vulnerable, but it's where growth happens.

When faced with two paths, choose the path that puts you in the arena—choose the path with real skin in the game.
The Feynman Razor

Complexity and jargon are often used to mask a lack of deep understanding.

If you can’t explain it to a 5-year-old, you don’t really understand it.

If someone uses a lot of complexity and jargon to explain something to you, they probably don’t understand it.
The Serendipity Razor

Some of what we call luck is actually the macro result of 1,000s of micro actions.

Your daily habits put you in a position where luck is more likely to strike.

When choosing between two paths, choose the path that has a larger serendipity surface area.
The Uphill Decision Razor

When faced with two options, choose the one that’s more difficult in the short-term.

@naval calls this making "uphill decisions”—overriding your biological pain avoidance instinct.

It's worth it—short-term pain creates compounding long-term gain.
The Rare Opportunity Razor

There is a rare class of opportunities that the average person will get 0 to 1 chances at in their lifetime.

They look scary, but have insanely asymmetric return profiles.

If you are fortunate to be faced with one of these opportunities, jump at it.
The Buffett Reputation Razor

“It takes 20 years to build a reputation and five minutes to ruin it. If you think about that, you'll do things differently.” - Warren Buffett

Your reputation is built over decades, but it's made of glass, not stone.

Remember that—act accordingly.
The Narrative Fallacy Razor

Humans are storytelling creatures—we weave together sequences of events to identify cause-and-effect when the reality is just luck.

When reading stories of success, it's fair to assume they downplay the role of luck as a contributing factor.
The Time Billionaire Razor

Time is our most precious asset.

When choosing between two paths, choose the path that places the highest appreciation on the value of your time.

This is not about money—it's about leverage.

The path where you spend more time in your Zone of Genius.
The Opinion Razor

"I never allow myself to have an opinion on anything that I don’t know the other side’s argument better than they do." - Charlie Munger

Opinions are earned, not owed.

If you can't state state the opposition's argument clearly, you haven't earned an opinion.
The Worrying Razor

If someone says "don't worry about it”—you should probably worry about it.

If you ask a question and the response involves an elevated voice, hand-waving, or scoffing—you should probably dig deeper on it.

"The lady doth protest too much, methinks."
The Boasters Razor

Truly successful people rarely feel the need to boast about their success.

If someone regularly boasts about their income, wealth, or success, it’s fair to assume the reality is a small fraction of what they claim.
Newton’s Flaming Laser Sword

If something cannot be settled by experiment or observation, it is not worth debating.

This will save you from wasting a lot of time on pointless arguments—on the internet and in real life.
Hitchens’ Razor

What can be asserted without evidence can also be dismissed without evidence.

The burden of proof regarding a claim lies with the one who makes the claim.

If unmet, no argument is required to dismiss it.
The Grit Razor

If forced to choose between two people of equal merit, choose the one that has been punched in the face.

The one who has been punched—metaphorically or literally—is likely to have true grit.

Applies to investing (founders), hiring (candidates), and more.
The "Look the Part" Razor

If forced to choose between two options of seemingly equal merit, choose the one that doesn’t look the part.

The one who doesn’t look the part has had to overcome much more to achieve its status than the one who fit in perfectly.

h/t @nntaleb
Hanlon’s Razor

Never attribute to malice that which can be adequately explained by stupidity.

In assessing someone's actions, we should not assume negative intent if there is a viable alternative explanation—different beliefs, lack of intelligence, incompetence, or ignorance.
The Optimist Razor

When choosing who to spend time with, prioritize spending more time with optimists.

Pessimists see the doors that are closed. Optimists see the doors that are open—and probably kick down the closed doors.

Remember: Pessimists sound smart, optimists get rich.
The Pygmalion Razor

The Pygmalion Effect says that high expectations lead to high performance (and vice versa).

When working with new people and teams, choose to see each individual as their highest potential self—they will begin to achieve more.

h/t @KatColeATL
The "What Stays the Same" Razor

It's difficult to predict the future.

Jeff Bezos famously said that investing in what might change is risky, but investing in what will remain constant is safe.

When building for the future, focus on the constants—focus on what stays the same.
The Crazy Idea Razor

If someone proposes a seemingly crazy idea:

(1) Are they a domain expert?
(2) Are they reasonable?

If yes on (1) and (2), you should take the idea seriously, as it may be an asymmetric bet on the future.

h/t @paulg
Those are 20+ of the most valuable razors I’ve discovered.

Follow me @SahilBloom for more threads on growth, business, and decision-making.

I will write a deep-dive on these razors in my newsletter. Join 66,000+ others and subscribe so you don’t miss it! sahilbloom.substack.com
And be sure to check out my new podcast—Where It Happens—for deep dives with amazing guests on many of these razors, frameworks, and more. podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/whe…
Since everyone is asking about Occam’s Razor, here’s the thread I wrote about it a while back!

Simple is beautiful.
Wonderful visual summary from @SachinRamje!
Adding a few more that I’ve found valuable:

The Steve Jobs Quality Razor

When building, take pride in carrying the quality all the way through.

Would you be proud for your work to be seen from every angle and perspective?

If not, keep working.
Buffett’s Rule of Holes

“The most important thing to do if you find yourself in a hole is to stop digging." - Warren Buffett

When things aren’t working, change course and try something different.

When you find yourself at the bottom of a hole, stop digging and climb out of it.
The Duck Test

If it looks like a duck, swims like a duck, and quacks like a duck, it’s probably a duck.

You can determine a lot about a person by regularly observing their habitual characteristics.
Machiavelli’s Razor

Never attribute to malice that which can be adequately explained by self-interest.

In assessing someone's actions, we should not assume negative intent if there is a viable alternative explanation that they are acting on rooted self-interest.
Occam’s Razor

The simplest explanation is often the best one.

Simple assumptions > complex assumptions.

Simple is beautiful.

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More from @SahilBloom

Jan 30
It’s 5pm, freezing outside, and I’m two whiskies deep.

A few thoughts and hot takes (on a wide variety of topics):
Every single person should write more. Becoming a better writer is the most sure fire way to level up in your career and life.

Elegant writing is hard to define, but you know it when you see it. Some writing is just…beautiful.

Write for 15 minutes a day, on any topic.
Most of the people you look up to and admire are remarkably unremarkable.

There are clear exceptions, but as a general rule of thumb, this is an empowering realization.

Their success is not due to some intrinsic difference, but some stellar combination of effort and luck.
Read 25 tweets
Jan 30
Having a decentralized friend group who will give you no-nonsense, zero BS feedback and advice is a real competitive advantage.

• Unconnected to your other groups
• Different backgrounds
• Range of experience sets
• Novel perspectives

Enormous value unlock.
The separation from your day-to-day circles is critical.

Their perspectives are “clean”—not influenced by outside factors, other relationships, etc.

Digital/pseudonymous nature of some of these relationships makes it even easier to provide unfiltered feedback in a safe setting.
My guess is that most people that have these decentralized friend groups are running them through group chats, Discord servers, Slack channels, etc.

I wonder if there are any infrastructure or “rails” to be built around optimizing decentralized friend groups.

I’m intrigued…
Read 4 tweets
Jan 27
🔥New Episode: The Wolf of All Streets, @scottmelker🔥

Scott was my first supporter—he literally shared everything I wrote in the early days.

He’s also an avid crypto trader with the scars to prove it!

We went deep on crypto, trading, prediction markets, and more. Links below.
Join the Discord community to go deeper and to get free alpha with the friends! discord.gg/TZu54jGf
Read 4 tweets
Jan 26
De Beers literally created the global diamond industry.

It's a fascinating—and controversial—tale of psychological hacks, marketing campaigns, and market manipulation.

Here's a breakdown of the crazy story:
1/ For most of history, diamonds were not a particularly important gem.

Largely found in India and Brazil, they were rare, but had little intrinsic value.

Then in 1870, large diamond mines were discovered in South Africa—a discovery that would change the diamond world forever.
2/ The new South African mines would be producing enormous quantities of diamonds.

That presented a problem for their British investors.

In a free market, the glut of supply—and associated dent in the perception of scarcity—would send the price of diamonds into free fall.
Read 20 tweets
Jan 24
MSCHF is making shirts that illegally use the logos of major companies.

The Cease & Desist Grand Prix: 8 different shirts—250 of each. If that company is the first to send a C&D, the buyers of that shirt win!

$120K in revenue—MILLIONS in earned media.

Here's a breakdown:
MSCHF is an interesting company—an art collective that does crazy, limited edition product drops that sell out in minutes.

Some of their prior work:
• Nike “Jesus Shoes”
• Museum of Forgeries
• Lil Nas X “Satan Shoes”

The drops are as creative as they are profitable.
MSCHF doesn't shy away from controversy.

Its drops often draw the ire of corporate legal teams, who protest the illegal use of their brands.

MSCHF complies, but only after generating millions in earned media on the drop.

MSCHF is intimately familiar with the Cease & Desist...
Read 17 tweets
Jan 22
Life rules worth breaking:
Wait for the Perfect Moment

This rule has paralyzed would-be action-takers for generations.

The reality: there is no such thing as the perfect moment.

Sometimes you just have to open the door, jump out of the plane, and hope you packed the parachute tight.
You Have to Work Hard to Succeed

Hard work is important—but it's relative, not absolute.

In the Digital Age—when creative and inspired work stands out and is rewarded—what you work on is more important than how hard you work.

Play your game, not theirs.

You’ll play it better.
Read 18 tweets

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