Alastair Thompson Profile picture
Jan 31, 2022 27 tweets 14 min read Read on X
In her report as released Sue Grey says she is unable to reveal any of the details of what she found because of the police investigation.

She says she has not shared her detailed finding with the PM and has instead deposited them in a safe pending the Police investigation ends.
#PartyGate thread covering the @BorisJohnson response to these revelations due to begin in 15 minutes in the House of Commons.
By way of background for those who have missed the evolution of this story. In late 2021 stories about parties at Downing Street during period's of peak Covid lockdown began to emerge.
Over the past two months Boris Johnson has repeatedly denied, misrepresented or minimised these events in answers to questions in the House of Commons.
But after it emerged recently that one of these parties was a birthday party for Boris himself, at which there was a birthday cake, and singing of happy birthday, the confidence crisis in the UK PMs leadership has sharply deepened.
As coverage rolls on waiting for him to appear, his notices have come in. Liberal Democrats Party Leader Ed Davey has called for him to resign or be removed immediately. @UKLabour Deputy Leader @AngelaRayner says she felt sickened when she heard news of Sue Grey's report.
@UKLabour @AngelaRayner The full (heavily abridged due to a police investigation) Sue Grey report (12 pages) can be read at the Guardian here >> theguardian.com/uk-news/2022/j…
As the paper's prepare their verdicts, @BorisJohnson has now started speaking. He starts by saying "sorry", and is now saying that he is going to make changes at Downing Street. So clearly not resigning.
"I will be saying more in the coming days about the changes we will be making..... I get it and I will fix it. I known what the issue is - its whether the Govt. can be trusted to deliver, and we can be. We said we would deliver Brexit and we did...."

Boris is still fighting.
Its now @Keir_Starmer's turn. He says it is clear that in 12 instances conduct in 10 Downing St reached a level making it subject to criminal conduct..... at every step on the way he has dodged responsibility. "Even now he is hiding behind a police investigation....
.. he is a man without shame. He has frayed the bond of trust with the public... undermined our democracy. Whatever your politics honesty and decency matters our great democracy depends on it. Cherishing democracy is what it means to be patriotic.
Starmer says the question now is what will the MPs opposite (the @Conservatives) will do about it.
. @BorisJohnson responds to an the statement by effectively confirming the allegation @Keir_Starmer made against him that he intends to hide behind the police investigation. He goes on to talk about Free Ports (again) and raises the spectre of the tensions in Ukraine.
The first question from his own side came former PM @theresa_may, asking him whether the issue is that his office did not understand the regulations they had themselves imposed on the country, or that they believed that the rules did not apply to them.
To which Boris Johnson replied saying that @theresa_may's interpretation of the Sue Grey report was wrong.
@theresa_may Ian Blackford SNP Leader. "Where is the shame, where is the dignity."

During his speech the Speaker came to his rescue allowing him to add "inadvertantly" to "misled" to his allegations against @BorisJohnson. And at the end he did so again, very generously.
@theresa_may @BorisJohnson After a bit of gloating from Boris Johnson about the "inadvertantly" the Speaker asked In Blackford to confirm his withdrawal, then just as he was about to be expelled, Blackford left.
As another senior Tory figure steps up to say he no longer has confidence in the Prime Minister it is now clear that Boris Johnson is facing a live Conservative Party challenge to his leadership.
Sir Bernard Jenkin (Conservatives): "Let me remind the opposition that we have no need to be reminded about how to remove a failing leader."

He sounded very disappointed - then asked a question about the reorganisation of the PM's office.
Two more critical questions from Tory back benches, the second from former Solicitor General Sir Robert Buckland. The first asked and third of the speakers pictured below all echoed opposition questions asking for release of the unredacted report.
PM @BorisJohnson's response was to say that he would wait till the police report had been completed and that he would then decide what to release. And it is clear that there are a lot of MPs on his own side, who do not consider this acceptable.
@BorisJohnson We now have the first question in a while from a Tory backbencher which could be considered sympathetic. Quickly followed by another from one Steve Baker who is not.
Boris has now been asked repeatedly about his denial about a party being held on the 13th of November - the night of the party allegedly held to celebrate Dominic Cummings departure. The PM has more than once now said he stands by his previous denials.
We now have a Tory backbencher asking the PM if he considers "him to be a fool" for obeying the rules as he attended a small funeral with no hugs after the death of his mother during lockdown around the time that the PM was having his parties.
"There are legal issues that we face about some of the testimony that has been given...."

@BorisJohnson answers yet another of his own backbenchers refusing once again to guarantee release of a complete unredacted version of the #suegreyreport
@BorisJohnson This is unprecedented to my mind. A constant stream of his own MPs challenging him directly in Parliament over his decisions and statements at the dispatch box. Even his friends appear to be very very unhappy.
This question session has gone for 100 minutes now, most of the UK PM’s own members have left the house and he is getting increasingly short and ratty in his answers.

He’s going to struggle to survive this.

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More from @althecat

Jul 21
THREAD: Some thoughts on October 7th and the importance of their being global transparency over what we know about what really happened on that terrible day.

1/ This (see screenshots in the first few posts in this thread) is one of the most important pieces of conflict related journalism published in recent years.

It relates to the orders given to soldiers on October 7th to fire on any vehicle seeking to return to the Gaza Strip to prevent the taking of hostages and was published on July 7th, 10 months later in Haaretz.Image
2/ As @IsraeliPM Benjamin Netanyahu prepares to address congress it is vital that the public in the US, Israel and globally is fully aware of what exactly happened on October 7th in Gaza. Image
3/ The account in this story published by Haaretz is at this time still behind a paywall and it has therefore not been read by the very large number of people who ought to have done so. I have not seen very many reports containing the detail of this report elsewhere though I presume there are many.

A copy of the report can be found however on here >> Archive.is
archive.md/zqUntImage
Read 16 tweets
Jul 8
OK so clearly #HurricaneBeryl is not the same as #HurricaneHarvey. But there are some striking similarities in terms of what has made it so much more persistent than either forecast or as modeled.

This thread is going to look at this issue a bit more deeply.
- The overall cloud mass of the #HurricaneBeryl thunderstorm complex proved much more resilient than expected once it came over land. Why?
- Also Like #Harvey Beryl did slow down after making landfall and continued to spin over land. Why?
- I think the answer to both questions relates to the very warm waters of the Gulf of Mexico. Like Harvey back in 2017, Beryl has been fueled by a constant stream of warm wet atmospheric flows of energy off of the Gulf of Mexico.
- This is obvious in part simply from observing the astonishing expansion of the cloud field after #Beryl made landfall early this morning.

A clue to understanding this can be found in looking at the the astonishing growth progression of #HurricaneBeryl's cloud field over landafter Beryl strengthened and formed itself into a Hurricane in the period after making landfall south of Houston.

Over the course of the rest of the morning you can see in these images how much the wind field expanded.
Like Harvey #Beryl also grew and strengthened itself by feeding off of the gulf of mexico, specifically the area between the Texas coastline and what looks like the outer boundary of the convection field which expanded extremely strongly to the north.

The only source for all this additional atmospheric moisture can be the oceanic convection which took place in what is a fairly clearly bounded 136,000 km2 area of ocean which as you can see in this animation is very closely bound to the rest of the circulation.

This is a much much larger area than the area of active rainfall which settled over the city and metropolis of Houston for the morning and which is finally starting to move off to the north now.
This version of the graphic shows the comparative sizes of the area of water which is responsible for the astonitising growth of post landfall #HurricaneBeryl - and the area of the storm that remained over the ocean and which is almost certainly responsible for both why this storm was so persistent and why it (like Harvey) slowed down after coming ashore.
Read 4 tweets
Jul 8
#HurricaneBerylis not expected to give up lightly as it moves onshore and turns north eastward over Texas and then heads north east across the great planes towards the great lakes.

Typically we expect hurricanes to weaken rapidly over land - especially wind wise. But #Berylis not forecast to behave as normal - probably because like Harvey, its tail over the Gulf is keeping it fueled. - the currently forecast pattern from Fox News's exclusive model shown in these images was present in some of the simulations of Beryl after it crossed the Yucutan a couple of days ago.

To my mind questions ought to be asked about the accuracy of the forecasting for this storm, as - like the last super destructive Texas Hurricane, Harvey in 2017 [] Beryl is proving to be a LOT more destructive in its impacts than initially forecast.en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hurricane…Image
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The final image in this sequence of screenshots of Fox Weather Graphics is worth drawing attention to as it shows how much broader the impacts of this hurricane are expected to be as it moves across the great planes roughly speaking heading up the Mississippi river, and continuing to dump potential flooding rain as it goes.Image
This image shows the forecast expected severe weather threat from the remnants of #HurricaneBeryl in Arkansas and Missouri up as far as Saint Louis. Image
Read 6 tweets
Jul 8
ALERT: High Target News Environment in play - numerous consequential news events with global implications.

1. British elections - (Thursday July 4th-Friday July 5th): Delivering an unprecedented landslide win to the left's @UKLabour Party + strong showings for the Liberals and Greens . The UK Chancellor @RachelReevesMP will shortly set out her economic policy in a speech.

2. French elections (Sunday July 7th) deliver a remarkable 2nd big win for the left in politics in France - dashing the hopes of Marine le Pen's hard right wing "Rassemblement National" of first parliamentary victory

3. Overnight (7th-8th July): an unprecedented huge Hurricane , #Hurricane Beryl - makes landfall in Houston as a Category 1 Hurricane, its main threat to the epicenter of the global fossil fuel industry will be flooding. It is still night in Houston at present.
You can watch the new UK Chancellor's speech live here now >> youtube.com/live/oJUvTVdTM…
English language coverage of the French Election from @France24_en can be watched here >>
Read 5 tweets
Jul 1
Hmmmmmm…. Why is the audio of the @youtube version of the UNSG office daily briefing for 1st July missing sound from 5:24 to 6:07?

Afghanistan, Lebanon, Myanmar & other topics - Daily Press Briefing (1 J... via @YouTube

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The content of this portion is available as it is simply a quote from written remarks of UNSG @antonioguterres made to a meeting in Austria. But the missing YouTube audio is unprecedented in my experience and hard to explain.
Video from the un platform is here. webtv.un.org/en/asset/k12/k…
Read 10 tweets
Jun 23
Another day. Another Israeli
war crime.

Intense bombing by Israeli forces on Gaza continues and kills at least 3... via @YouTube
This report also addresses the widening rift between Israeli PM Netanyahu and the U.S. Government. True to form Netanyahu is showing no sign of backing down. But this tweet showing former Defence Minister Yoav Gallant leaving on a U.S. flight for the U.S. speaks volumes in this very intense moment.

Amidst continued bombing of Rafah, Israeli forces are resuming strikes i... via @YouTube
And here from two days ago more Margaret Brennan context on the rupture in relations between the @WhiteHouse and @IsraeliPM

Israel has not come close to destroying Hamas, U.S. official says via @YouTube
Read 7 tweets

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