Quick thread to go with this blog. One of the defining features of the recent attacks on net zero is the failure to provide much in the way of detail on what they'd do instead. businessgreen.com/blog/4044475/s…
In that regard it's very similar to the attacks on red tape, which once you dig into the detail ends up with PM's waffling on about newts (Johnson) or voles (Cameron) and Ministers failing to find any regs that can be axed without significant economic damage or political blowback
The idea we should 'go slow on net zero' has the same lack of detail. The only tangible proposals I've seen are: 1) get fracking 2) axe green levies 3) scrap 2030 new petrol and diesel car phase out date
But 1) involves an epic row with shire tories and won't do much anything to bills, 2) involves breaching contracts and scrapping energy efficiency schemes and will have only a marginal impact on bills...
And 3) would hamper a transition that is already well underway and delay the point at which households can slash their fuel costs.
More broadly, the vague desire to rethink net zero runs completely counter to global economic trends and levelling up desires, even before you consider climate risks.
Worst of all, the whole thing is being sold on factual inaccuracies (check out @DrSimEvans latest heroic fact checking exercise) and the false premise that deprioritising net zero will solve a cost of living crisis and regional inequality.
A crisis, BTW, that at some point the party that has been *in charge for the past 11 years* may want to reflect on its role in fostering.
Meanwhile, the global trends these unnamed Cabinet Ministers choose to ignore will continue to accelerate, leaving the UK as an outlier and a laggard in the grand economic project that is already reshaping the 21st century. Why must they constantly talk Britain down?
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What does he mean by a ‘more proportionate’ approach to net zero? What exact policies would he scrap? How much higher would he want emissions to be? Which clean tech sector would he like to slow the development of? How much more would have to be spent on climate resilience?
There’s an entire strain of modern Conservatism that is defined by nothing so much as whining about things it doesn’t like and denying objective reality. It has literally nothing constructive to offer beyond wishful thinking and the abdication of responsibility.
BTW there is an obvious policy agenda that could fit with Frost and co’s ‘proportionate’ response to net zero and I don’t doubt eventually they’ll land on it to give them some cover. It’ll be ‘let’s sit here and wait for technology to save us’.
This exchange is really important. Sam’s argument is that if we’d gone faster on renewables and energy efficiency then we’d currently be having to buy less gas and bills would be lower. This is objectively and demonstrably true.
Andy from the IEA’s response is that if we’d invested more in domestic gas supplies and been less ‘dogmatically’ focused on net zero we’d have to import less gas and bills would be lower. This is entirely hypothetical and based on at least three questionable assumptions:
1. That you could build a large shale gas industry in the UK in defiance of massive local opposition and planning constraints.
The Net Zero ‘Scrutiny’ Group’s proposals for dealing with the gas price crisis are so absurdly partial their inadequacy becomes clear within the first five paragraphs of a story they themselves have briefed. A hopefully shortish thread…
Let’s leave aside the question of whether pressure can be ‘piled on’ by ‘backbenchers’ when those backbenchers number just 19 of the usual suspects while a far larger number of backbenchers are thinking much more seriously about this challenge, and instead look at their proposal.
The main idea is to ‘scrap green taxes’ that make up a quarter of electricity - but not gas - bills and axe the 5% VAT rate on energy bills.
Was #COP26 a success or a failure is an absurdly simplistic question. It's a both/and. As @Bankfieldbecky has noted it depends on whether you are looking to relative or absolute metrics.
But it is indisputable progress. It does increase the chances of getting the world to net zero and 'well below' 2C, even if 1.5C remains an enormous stretch, and it starts to at least engage with questions of historic injustice.
It is also a genuine diplomatic success for @AlokSharma_RDG@archieyounguk@camillaborn and the COP26 team. It is hard to see how a stronger deal could have been delivered with the mandates country delegations had.
I understand the impulse to condemn the proposed COP26 agreement as inadequate given the scale of the crisis, but it really is a lot better than its critics are claiming.
The Paris Agreement and the progress it unlocked has, in the space of six years, pulled temperature projections down from circa 3C+ to 2.4C. The Glasgow Climate Pact (assuming it is not torpedoed at the last) effectively validates and builds on the Paris Agreement.
It creates a moment every year when governments will face intense public and geopolitical pressure to strengthen their decarbonisation plans.
Just catching Sharma’s speech as I leave the site. He says the text is ‘clean’. Has a deal been done?
Sharma urges countries to come together. Acknowledges that delegations may now seek opportunity to leverage this moment to get more. He urges them not to, insisting the deal is ‘balanced’.
Sharma says ‘we will succeed or fail as one… the world is watching us, they are willing us to deliver a deal’.