Thread by @SteB777

This was my 2 tweet thread from 12th December 2019. Well was I right?

https://twitter.com/SteB777/status/1205101671392649216

Here's where I "guaranteed" on 19th December 2019, just after Johnson got elected, that he'd suddenly become very unpopular, very quickly at some point. The time period I predicted for that was 2-3 years i.e. Dec 21 to Dec22.

https://twitter.com/SteB777/status/1207413124946702336

These were not guesses. I am not a psychic. I use what I call big picture analysis to come to these conclusions. Anyone can do this if they open their eyes. Actually it's not about learning something, it is about unlearning our bad thinking habits.

People used to laugh at me when I said we needn't fear the Soviet Union, because if we just ignored it, it would collapse. But when the Berlin Wall fell, no one said, oh you were right.

In fact, when I do point out to people what I said, they just dismiss it as a lucky guess, that I couldn't possibly have known. But these are note guesses, they are based on a deep understanding of how the system works.

Take my predictions about Johnson. This is what they were based on. Johnson's reckless impulsive behaviour means he is constantly bounced from scandal to scandal, and predictably tells bigger and bigger lies to cover them up.

The Tories and the Tory Press would cover up for him, sweep it under the carpet. That was why I thought he'd get away with it for about 2 years. But then it would get very difficult to keep sweeping them under the carpet.

Or the scandal would be so big, that the more Johnson lied to cover it up, the more the Tory Press and his colleagues tried to cover up, the bigger the scandal would get.

I'm flabbergasted that highly paid political commentators, and senior Tories think he can recover, if he can scrape through this. Because even if he limps on, he'll just shoot himself in the foot again, and again.

PS. The context of my tweets, was that I said if the opposition parties had refused Johnson an election, which was in their power, and the election wasn't held until June 2022, the Tories would get wiped out because of Johnson's unpopularity. Imagine if anyone had listened to me?

The purpose of my tweets, was not to brag about being right. I'm simply fed up with us being abused by the powerful, when what would happens was often entirely predictable.