Qatar is upset that Japan isn’t renewing its LNG contracts
🇶🇦💥🇯🇵
🥊 “You’ll get no sympathy from us the next time you need LNG,” a Qatar official said to Japan in Dec
🥊 Jera let a giant 25-year contract with Qatar lapse last year
Qatar became the world’s top LNG supplier thanks largely to Japan
The first Qatar shipment to Japan was delivered to Chubu Electric (one of the owners of Jera) in 1997
But now Japan wants to diversify supply, and requires flexible contracts. That means lower volumes from Qatar
When the Fukushima nuclear plant suffered a meltdown in 2011, Qatar sent more LNG to Japan to make sure it had enough fuel to keep the lights on
Qatar may not be so willing to help next time
“I don’t even want to go to Tokyo,” where Jera’s HQ is located, said the Qatar official
Japan’s government isn’t terribly thrilled with how Jera is treating Qatar
“It is not the responsibility of companies to handle the relationship between the two nations, but couldn’t they have ended this more clearly?,” lamented a Japanese government official at METI
(Again, hats off to the reporters at the Nikkei. It’s a really insightful article with details from top officials. #jealous)
Japan is targeting significantly lower LNG consumption by 2030 as it restarts nuclear plants and boosts renewables
For Japan’s utilities, it makes sense to curb contracted supply, since they don’t want a glut down the road. Other LNG suppliers may also see contracts lapse
A new U.S. LNG export facility just started production, which will help cement the nation as the world's top exporter of the fuel 🇺🇸🎆🎉
Venture Global’s Calcasieu Pass facility in Louisiana produced its first LNG on Jan. 19, according to a FERC filing posted today
The US has been the world's top exporter of the fuel for the last two months as projects ramp-up output and Europe's energy crisis boosts overseas demand
New export projects will continue to ramp up production this year, cementing the US as the world's top LNG exporter through much of this decade
Out of the 101 U.S. LNG export cargoes in January, more than a third arrived at European ports, while five went to Latin American destinations and the rest remain in transit, shipping data compiled by Bloomberg shows
Gas-starved Europe has become a top destination for US LNG
The yellow line is oil. In the last few weeks, it has often surpassed cleaner nuclear and is a hair below natgas
Oil generators were producing more than 4.2GW on Thursday, accounting for 25% of power supply. Thats the highest since 2018
Prior to the storm, the liquefied natural gas tanker Cadiz Knutsen anchored in Massachusetts Bay. New England relies on overseas LNG imports to meet heating needs
But LNG shipments are way way more expensive than pipeline gas. Like 10-times more expensive
The US is prepared to ensure alternative natural gas supplies to Europe covering a potential shortfall from Russia, Biden administration officials said
🇺🇸🤝🇪🇺
🚢 Re-routing supplies could take several days/weeks
🇶🇦 Qatar wouldn’t be able to boost output
To be sure, most US LNG supplies are sold to utilities/portfolio players under long-term contracts. They need to have financial incentive to send more to Europe
In fact, some LNG shipments are already diverting away from Europe and going to Asia due to better profit potential
In other words, US LNG tends to go to whoever will pay the most 💰
Remember, the US government has no direct control over American LNG exports or where gas goes. They can negotiate with export projects, but most of their LNG is under contract to non-US firms (like Jera or Gail)
European natural gas prices surged by more than 10% today on escalating Russia-Ukraine tension 🇷🇺 📈
Goldman says Russian flows to Europe could be curtailed for “an indefinite period” if the Nord Stream 2 pipeline project to Germany is hit by sanctions
German power prices for Tuesday jumped to their highest in more than a month as output from thousands of wind turbines across Europe’s biggest market plunged 🇩🇪 💨
Less wind output forces utilities to burn to more gas