Clint Ehrlich Profile picture
Feb 5 4 tweets 1 min read
Is China using quarantines to rig the Olympics?

A Russian athlete, Valeria Vasnetsova, has blown the whistle.

She says foreign athletes who test positive for covid are being starved, so they can't compete even if they recover. 🧵
Vasnetsova says this isn't just a matter of bad food in the quarantine hotels.

She claims that special signs are affixed to the doors where athletes stay.

Those rooms are provided starvation rations, while non-competitors in the same facility get normal meals.
Vasnetsova went public with her situation because she says she was in danger -- that she had been starved until her ribs were showing.

In response, the Chinese authorities began providing her with the same meals as non-athletes.
The question is: Why did it come to that?

Why did an athlete in Beijing have to beg publicly in order to simply not be starved?

Are other athletes still receiving the horrible rations that she was?

Are they afraid to speak out, after all the warnings before the games?

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More from @ClintEhrlich

Feb 6
This is what the Biden administration has resorted to?

Warning China that it "risks embarrassment" if Russia invades Ukraine?

Three quick thoughts on why this is a horrible look 🧵 Image
1. China does not have the ability to dictate Russia's military decisions on Ukraine.

Their security partnership is strong, but Kazakhstan is a recent example of its limits.

As soon as Russia believes its national security is threatened, it will act without China's approval.
2. The stick being used to coerce China here is not credible.

It's true that "losing face" is something undesirable in Chinese culture.

But China would not be participating in a Ukrainian operation, so it would not be embarrassed by simply staying neutral.
Read 4 tweets
Feb 4
Today, the White House alleged that Russia is planning a "false flag" attack by Ukraine.

Many people mocked this claim.

I think it's more plausible than assumed, but still BS. 🧵
Why is it more plausible than assumed?

Because false-flag attacks are a real part of warfare.

If you think that the many historical examples are all fake, then YOU believe in a conspiracy theory. en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/False_flag
Russia has made colorable accusations that Western intelligence conducted false-flag attacks in Syria.

The Russian national-security establishment may be willing to give the West a "taste of its own medicine" by employing the same techniques in Ukraine.
Read 5 tweets
Feb 2
Today, President Putin made his first comments about the crisis in Ukraine in more than a month.

He made a point that shocked the world.

But I've been tweeting about it for a while... 🧵
What was Putin's key point?

That Crimea still matters – and could lead to WW3.

Russia acquiring the territory in 2014 is not simply the prologue to the current crisis.

The peninsula remains at the heart of events.
There is a faction within the Obama clique that is still obsessed with "losing" the peninsula.

These people want to put together a "coalition of the willing" to take Crimea back from the Russians.

Read 6 tweets
Jan 31
Lavrov: "There is still a small group of people who stand to benefit" from war in Ukraine
"Zelensky and his regime are being used primarily by the Americans to escalate tensions."
"The future of Ukraine is not Washington's main goal in this particular case."
Read 6 tweets
Jan 26
URGENT: I have a proposal to stop the war over Ukraine.

It's a diplomatic solution.

It doesn't give the West or Russia everything they want – but it overcomes each side's primary objections. 🧵
Russia has demanded formal legal guarantees that Ukraine will never join NATO.

It has released a public draft of a proposed treaty including that and other, bigger concessions from the West.

It says all those terms are negotiable – but that Ukraine in NATO is a red line.
The U.S. has informally assured Russia that there is no imminent plan for Ukraine to join NATO.

However, it refuses to provide the formal legal guarantee that Russia is demanding.

It claims that excluding Ukraine from NATO would be unlawful.
Read 28 tweets
Jan 26
The President of Croatia has gone rogue!

He's trying to prevent war over Ukraine.

It just might work. A quick thread... 🧵
For background, it was already clear that the alliance was divided over how involved to be in Ukraine.

America, the U.K., Poland, and the Baltic states were transferring weapons.

But Germany refused to let any German-made weapons enter the conflict zone.
Then President Biden put 8,500 troops on "high alert" – and warned he might deploy 50,000 to Eastern Europe.

The question was... would NATO stand behind this ramping up of pressure?

Or would troop deployments on the border of the conflict fracture the alliance?
Read 12 tweets

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