Sam Freedman Profile picture
Feb 6 12 tweets 2 min read
It's probably worth a brief thread explaining how this could have happened without anyone breaking any of the rules or doing any cheating. (I.e. why it's really the Govt's fault not the schools).
Last year schools were told to award grades themselves. There was a vast array of options available to set these grades. They could use their own exams, or old ones, or class work. They could allow retakes. It was wide open.
Exam boards were told to quality assure this by sampling evidence from a range of schools. They could use data on whether schools were well above previous years to decide on their sampling. But they couldn't automatically reduce grades if the school could provide evidence.
This was because the previous year schools HAD been given a quota of grades based on previous performance (the infamous algorithm) and it was a disaster that required a rapid u-turn. They wanted to avoid that at all costs.
So as long as a school could provide evidence of a grade - and that evidence could be from multiple sources that no other school had used - them there was nothing an exam board could do and no rules had been broken.
Your average Winchester student (applies for all top private schools) will be around an A or A* anyway. It is not going to be difficult to get them to do some kind of assessment at which they perform at A* level. That's your evidence. Entirely legit. Within the rules.
In normal exams obviously lots of students capable of an A* will get an A because they don't perform quite to their best and it's multiple papers with no retakes. Very different.
Moreover In a normal exam year results are standardised and controlled to avoid inflation. This didn't happen at all due to their being no ability to compare what different schools had done and no statistical adjustments allowed.
So hardly surprising that this would happen. It happened in many state schools too. It's just more obvious at the very top end of the private system because nearly all their students (due to selection and wealth) are capable of top grades.
And moreover for a school *not to have done this* would have disadvantaged their students versus any school that did. Which is why I called it a prisoners dilemma policy. It was a deeply invidious position to put teachers in. It was the Government's choice to do so.
NB: you *could* design a much better system using teacher assessment but it will always be at much greater risked of being gamed than standardised externally assessed exams. And this will always help those with the pushiest parents + who look stereotypically "smart".
Which is why I will always be a strong advocate of proper exams in our education system. It's fairer for students. It doesn't put teachers in such difficult positions. And it benefits students from less traditionally educationally successful backgrounds.

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More from @Samfr

Feb 5
Absolutely terrible ideas to have MPs as Chief of Staff and Director of Policy. I don't imagine anyone else will do it.
These are full time 16 hour a day roles. MPs have Parliamentary and constituency duties as well as their political allegiances + interests; and can't work with officials in the same way.
Two possibilities here. A) no one else would do it; b) this is a quid pro quo from the Cabinet to continue support. Barclay is known to be close to Sunak.
Read 5 tweets
Feb 4
The Carrie stuff is interesting because she is heavily involved but can't speak publicly (and is only heavily involved because Johnson has set things up that way - ultimately it's his responsibility).
The absence of any kind of formal role for a PM's spouse means we don't have any mechanisms for talking about the spouse's interests openly whereas e.g. US has a structured First Lady/Gentleman role.
By "Carrie Stuff" I'm referring to the Mail front page and Ashcroft's book etc...
Read 4 tweets
Feb 4
When you think about it it's actually pretty conscientious to have an official photographer record your crimes. Good to see transparency in action.
The Save Big Dog group can have that one for free. Best if they put into their own words.
Tory MPs definitely putting in letters now. "A cake is one thing but Estrella? Totally unacceptable."
Read 6 tweets
Feb 4
Sad to see the usual suspects parade this paper (written by people who've always opposed lockdowns). It is definitionally a mess (according to the definition they use we're still in a lockdown). Ignores lags. Systematically excludes studies. Etc...
You don't need to take my word for it sciencemediacentre.org/expert-reactio…
The problem with all these papers is it's pretty much impossible to measure the impact of interventions which looked different in different countries; came in at different times, incl occasions when too late to make a difference, and link in complex ways to voluntary behaviours.
Read 6 tweets
Feb 3
The only glimmer of light for Johnson's team is that while a big majority are furious about partygate a growing minority buy the "we need to move on to other issues" line.

Unfortunately for No 10 the issues people want to move on to are cost of living and the NHS.
As for "cost of living" today's announcements from Sunak will do relatively little to cushion the blow of 7% inflation; higher interest rates, and higher taxes. Plus benefits caps/freezes biting ever harder.

No real political opportunities there for Boris.
And as for the NHS - waiting lists are at their highest ever levels. And public confidence in recovery has fallen through the floor.
Read 4 tweets
Feb 1
It's ao stupidly short termist again. Next interview Boris does he'll be asked to repeat the allegation and can't outside Parliament because it's defamation.
Obviously it's also repellent and beneath contempt but that's almost taken as read these days.
"But he's still there isn't he? Teflon Boris." The Monty Python Knight was still technically in the fight. Things aren't going well for the PM.
Read 4 tweets

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