The research and example I use suggest high levels of trust in institutions lead to better outcomes. That probably leads to more trust! It can be a positive feedback loop.
Or it can go the other way, and in America, it has.
But I'm also not convinced the relationship between trust and institutions is solely or mainly mediated by institutional quality or performance.
The "Revolt of the Public" argument is partially that digital communication does a lot to reveal elite failures that always existed, but did less to erode trust back when elites had more control over information flows. That seems right to me.
You can't read a history book and think that institutions were somehow spotless in the past.
But as transparency rises, and media focuses coverage on conflict and scandal, and social media on outrage and engagement, the same level of failure will lead to lots more mistrust.
If anything, I think there's a stronger case to be made that the level of trust determines institutional performance than that the level of institutional performance determines the level of trust.
I'd be very curious to know if there are examples of non-authoritarian societies that have dramatically and enduringly increased trust in institutions in recent decades.
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I'll give an example: MMTers really like the Keynes quote "anything we can actually do, we can afford."
Their critics say: It's a Keynes quote! So it's something the Keynesians knew.
But in years of reporting with Keynesian economists, it is definitely not how they talked.
There was *far* more discussion in the 2010s of debt-to-GDP ratios and Reinhart/Rogoff than of the real productive limits of the economy, and where we were in relation to them.
I’m going to back a few days in Discourse Time, and say something I think has been missed the Joe Rogan/Covid mess (I realize there are now other messes).
Once you’re here, all the answers are bad. They’re all bad because they all harm the thing you’re trying to protect: Trust.
Having one of the most popular podcasters in the world become a platform for vaccine misinformation?
That’s bad, for obvious reasons.
But bringing more attention to that misinformation, and making those sympathetic to him feel persecuted and censored?
Also bad! You’re alienating and angering the exact people you need to reach.
One thing testing positive for 12 $*%&#^# days makes you think about is how often you've walked back into society still contagious with the flu or cold you felt mostly recovered from.
Having a long bout of Omicron really convinced me that there's just no good policy answer for this thing.
"If your goal is to win and build sustainable power, throwing $90 million at Amy McGrath for Senate just because she’s taking on Mitch McConnell is not the way to do that," @amandalitman told me. "It just isn’t." nytimes.com/2022/02/01/opi…
A weakness for Democrats, both at the level of funding and at the level of attention, is they're obsessed with national power and have ceded a huge amount of state and local power to the right.
But that's not, at any level sustainable.
It's not sustainable nationally: Elections are administered by states. Congressional districts are drawn by states. The House and Senate bench is built of local and state officials.
“There’s a phrase in Zen Buddhism that comes from a koan, which is, ‘Not knowing is most intimate,’" @ozekiland told me.
"It’s when we don’t know something and when we can sit in that state of not knowing is when there’s a kind of an intimacy with the world around us.”
I love that idea: That the deepest intimacy is knowing a person or thing well enough to recognize they can't truly be known. Feeling you have others fully mapped means you don't know them as well as you think you do.
“In this state of not knowing, curiosity and engagement with the world arises, for lack of a better word. And that engagement, that curiosity is intimate and very, very alive."
Department of depressing juxtapositions, NYT trending edition:
The first piece there is my column, about Biden’s supply-side crises and mistakes, where I write:
The second is an extremely popular, helpful article on avoiding counterfeit masks, which would be unnecessary if the supply chain for good masks was clearer, and if you could just get them free from the gov. nytimes.com/article/covid-…