“Where is the [Social Security] crisis? Just over the horizon…the promises that are being made to those now working cannot be honored.” nytimes.com/1996/10/20/boo…
“I’m terrified about what will happen to interest rates once financial markets wake up to the implications of skyrocketing budget deficits.” nytimes.com/2003/03/11/opi…
“The only question now is when foreign investors, who have financed our deficits so far, will decide to pull the plug.”
nytimes.com/2005/03/04/opi…
“Couldn’t America still end up like Greece? Yes, of course. If investors decide we’re a banana republic whose politicians can’t or won’t come to grips with long-term problems, they will indeed stop buying our debt.” nytimes.com/2011/03/25/opi…
“Why are the interest rates on Italian and Japanese debt so different? I actually don’t have a firm view. But it seems to be an important puzzle to solve.” krugman.blogs.nytimes.com/2011/07/16/ita…
MMT:

Showed why gov’t could always pay SocSec

Said no reason to be “terrified” of bond vigilantes

Said foreign investors don’t “finance our deficits” & cannot “pull the plug”

Said the US would not “end up like Greece”

Solved the interest rate “puzzle” years ahead of m/stream
I hate this p*ssing match. But it takes a lot to buck the conventional wisdom (as evidenced by this week’s backlash), and the MMTers stuck their necks out for decades, challenging received wisdom. History can judge us. bloombergquint.com/view/krugman-s…
To his credit, @paulkrugman has changed his mind on a lot of this. You can hear him explain those shifts in this debate. charlierose.com/videos/16934
Squirm with me, if you will.

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More from @StephanieKelton

Jan 18
Some nuggets from the post. Subscribe if you'd like to read the entire thing (it's long).
"As governments embraced the use of robust fiscal policy, a growing number of commentators started to assert that 'We Are All MMTers Now'.”
Read 12 tweets
Dec 31, 2021
What follows is a THREAD, posted on behalf of Professor James Galbraith, who is not on Twitter but who asked me to share his reaction to this.
"I'll bet that Paul Krugman has not read Isabella Weber's magisterial history, How China Escaped Shock Therapy, recommended by Adam Tooze in Foreign Policy, by Martin Wolf in the Financial Times, and by yours truly in Project Syndicate, among many other plaudits and prizes...
If he had, Krugman might be aware that Professor Weber knows a great deal about price controls and their role in a larger policy setting. And not only in China, but also in the US, which Chinese reformers studied closely in coming to their decisions...
Read 7 tweets
Apr 13, 2021
Let’s play the “pay for” game. Suppose you want to spend $3-$10 trillion on a Build Back Better agenda. You’ve decided that you’re going to play the “pay for” game, which means you will show where every dollar you plan to spend is going to “come from.” 1/
The whole point is to appear “fiscally responsible,” showing that you can carry out your spending without adding to the deficit. In other words, for every dollar you want to spend INTO the economy, you have a plan to rip a dollar OUT of someone’s hands. 2/
The Biden administration has put forward their plan, which mostly relies on raising taxes on corporations. The president says it will raise more revenue (over 15 yrs) than he is proposing to spend (over 8 yrs). Don’t ask me why. 3/
Read 10 tweets
Apr 9, 2021
Yesterday, @jasonfurman tweeted out my NYT piece on the Biden infrastructure proposal. He claimed I had ignored the most obvious way to deal with any inflationary pressures that might arise—i.e. Fed rate hikes. 1/ nytimes.com/2021/04/07/opi…
I don’t share Jason’s view that fiscal policy can safely ignore inflation risk since the Fed can always handle any resulting inflation. Congress should not ignore inflation risk when contemplating a multi trillion-dollar spending package. That’s just irresponsible. 2/
I also don’t share the the view that the Fed can easily keep inflation in check via rate hates. I think it’s complicated and not settled science that rate hikes will temper inflationary pressures by dampening aggregate expenditures. 3/
Read 19 tweets
Mar 3, 2021
Had some further thoughts on the Orzag intervention. 1/12
The big breakthrough will come if/when Congress changes the way it approaches the use of "offsets." Right now, offsets = pay-fors. The purpose of *offsetting* spending is to neutralize the impact of the spending on the budget outcome--i.e. to keep it deficit neutral. 2/12
That is not how we should think about offsets. In MMT, offsets are explicitly about inflation. You don't need a binder full of revenue-raisers--i.e. offsets--to neutralize the impact on the budget. 3/12
Read 12 tweets
Mar 2, 2021
THREAD
In 2007, Congress amended the Fair Labor Standards Act of 1938 to gradually raise the federal minimum wage from $5.15 per hour to $7.25 per hour. The new minimum wage was phased in over two years. How did it happen? 1/4
The bill was introduced in the House on Jan 5, 2007 and passed on January 10. All 233 House Dems voted "Aye." 82 Republicans joined them in voting "Aye." 2/4
A cloture motion in the Senate failed after President G.W. Bush said he wanted tax cuts for small businesses that might be adversely impacted included in the. 3/4
Read 4 tweets

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