Zoe Keller Profile picture
Feb 9 9 tweets 2 min read
A lab-grown early version of Covid-19 has been discovered in samples from a Chinese biotechnology firm. The finding lends weight to claims that the virus may have started life as a lab experiment that accidentally leaked out.
telegraph.co.uk/news/2022/02/0…
The variant has mutations that bridge the gap between bat coronavirus and the earliest Wuhan strain, so it may be an ancestral version of the virus. The samples also contain DNA from hamsters and monkeys, suggesting that the early virus may have been grown in animal cell lines.
Viscount Ridley, author of Viral: “The unique mutations hint at it being an ancestral variant. So if it was sequenced in say mid-December, before anybody had identified the virus in people and started trying to grow it in labs, then it points to secret samples in labs in 2019.”
Commenting on the animal DNA discovered, he said: “These are not from seals or penguins but from African green monkeys and Chinese hamsters. Both species are the source of commonly used laboratory cell lines.”
Sangon Biotech is frequently used by Chinese scientists for sequencing, including the Wuhan Institute of Virology, which some experts think is the most likely location for a leak. If the DNA extraction took place in Dec 2019, it could be the ancestor of the original Wuhan strain.
The closest natural relatives to Covid-19 have been found in bats. One, named RaTG13, was found in caves in Yunnan, several others (Banal 20 to 52) were discovered in Laos. Both areas were being studied by “virus hunters” with samples sent to the Wuhan Institute of Virology. Image
Describing the significance of the discovery, Dr Bloom said: “Those 3 mutations are all ancestral mutations that move the sequence ‘closer’ to the bat coronavirus relatives RaTG13 and Banal 20-52 relative to first reported Wuhan-Hu-1 sequence from the Huanan Seafood Market.”
In May 2021, a team of US evolutionary biologists published research on what an ancestor to Covid-19 should look like, and came up with two options. One had the same three mutations found in the samples.
“A virus with those 3 mutations is one of the two plausible progenitors for all currently known human SarsCov2s. The timeline matters a lot. If they were sequenced in Dec 2019 then it’s exceptionally important, because China holds SarsCov2s not discovered until December 30 to 31.

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More from @KellerZoe

Feb 11
We must not murder the recovery: inflation will soon take care of itself.
✍️🏼 AEP
telegraph.co.uk/business/2022/…
Central bankers were too late in 2021 but the worst they could make in 2022 is to swing suddenly from loose money to tight money, sending Western economies clattering into recession. You do not correct one policy error by committing the opposite policy error.
Many voices call for drastic rises in interest rates. Be careful: the monetarists themselves are not making such an argument. They are the new doves. Monetary policy effects require 12-18 months. It is too late to do anything useful about the inflation shock of recent months.
Read 26 tweets
Feb 11
The UK economy is doing a lot better than its implacable critics will admit. With the right policy mix, the UK may even be the G7’s fastest-growing economy again in 2022
✍️🏼 AEP
telegraph.co.uk/business/2022/…
The purist methodology of the ONS overstated the 2020 collapse in GDP and it has overstated the mechanical rebound in 2021 (an explosive growth of 7.5%). France has seen the same distortion. UK is in the middle of the G7 and OECD pack, just shy of its pre-pandemic level of GDP. Image
Even so, the UK has recovered well ahead of Japan, Germany and Spain, and slightly ahead of Italy. France has done better but discretionary fiscal stimulus is enormous — Macron’s critics allege pre-electoral pump-priming (il crame la caisse) — so the comparison lacks relevance.
Read 18 tweets
Feb 10
Major attacking Boris Johnson is like a goldfish square up to a blue whale. The comparison is embarrassing. Disgraceful, disloyal and anti-democratic, Major and his ilk may succeed in crushing Boris. But only Boris will go down in history.

telegraph.co.uk/opinion/2022/0…
When Major became PM in 1990, he inherited 396 Tory MPs. 7 years later he was left with just 165, and it took three elections for the Tories to get back in, after his calamitous decision to enter the European Exchange Rate Mechanism and to sign the godawful Maastricht agreement.
Compare that with Boris. The Tories got 8.8% in the EU elections. A few months later, with Boris leader, they achieved 44% in the 2019 GE and an 80-seat majority. A turnaround Major could only dream of. Boris has the kind of political charisma that Major can only sit and admire.
Read 9 tweets
Feb 9
By the end of this week, the Met Police will contact via mail more than 50 attendees of the Downing Street events under investigation, asking them to explain their involvement before issuing possible fines.
telegraph.co.uk/politics/2022/…
The questionnaire "has formal legal status and must be answered truthfully". Recipients have 7 days to respond. Police said that they would now review their initial decision not to investigate the 15 Dec 2020 quiz, when London was under Tier 2 restrictions.
The Met Police said on Wednesday night that its officers are still examining 500 documents and 300 images and will be requesting more information from the Cabinet Office.
Read 6 tweets
Jan 18
How smart was Cummings' latest move? He may have overplayed his hand in thinking he can force Tory MPs to dance at his tune.
telegraph.co.uk/politics/2022/…
For a man caricatured as an evil genius, there is a distinct lack of genius in Cummings’s evil plan to get rid of the PM. As MPs congregated in Parliament on Tuesday, there was a growing consensus that Cummings, pushing Boris to the brink, may now have overplayed his hand.
His zealous offer to testify on oath that the PM ignored warnings about drinks in No 10 was meant to be a coup de grâce. Instead, it helped shore up the PM’s precarious position: if MPs are forced to choose sides between Cummings and Johnson, there will only ever be one outcome.
Read 31 tweets
Jan 18
SIR – I’ve read of Cons. MPs supposedly inundated with messages and emails from constituents ... calling for the PM to quit.
As Chairman of the Spelthorne Conservative Association, I haven’t had a single message, email, letter or phone call from members criticising Boris.
A local Conservative councillor told me she was rung on Friday by a journalist who asked whether she’d like to be interviewed on television. She politely declined. The journalist sighed, saying she had contacted over 200 Tory activists, none of whom would criticise the PM.
... Based on my own experience these past few days, and having spoken to other Conservative association chairs, most Conservative activists see no desire for change.
Read 4 tweets

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