The #HK Govt's Compulsory Testing Notices create huge queues and overwhelm the testing capacity with people who mostly don't feel ill, rather than those who actually need a test. Utter madness, and perhaps a million person-hours of wasted time. 1/2 scmp.com/news/hong-kong…
This results in delayed diagnosis and likely further spread of infections by unconfirmed cases. Stop the Compulsory Testing and focus on those who need it! 2/2
The #HK Government has already lost control of this outbreak and "Dynamic Zero-COVID" is history. They just don't know it or won't admit it yet. Here's why (thread): 1. There's a 2-3 day lag between testing & reporting, and a 2-3 day lag between infection & testing.
2. That's a total of about 5 days between infection and reporting. 3. The doubling time in unlinked cases, a proxy for growth in the wild, is around 4 days, so 2^(5/4)=2.38x for the number of cases infected today and reported in 5 days' time.
4. For every 2 reported cases, there's maybe 1 who doesn't come forward, vaxed with mild symptoms, given the disincentives (throwing all their contacts into the quarantine system). They may self-test using a RAT. So 2.38*1.5=3.57x.
Legislator Paul Tse asks Govt today about the HK Club's Central site, implying some sort of sweetheart deal, and gets a rather uninformative answer, so let's help him out... info.gov.hk/gia/general/20…
The Club purchased the 999-year lease (the normal duration then) on Marine Lot 274, in a Public Auction at 3pm on 20-Feb-1894, with a reserve price of HK$52,800...
It sold for $52,825. By comparison, in Nov-1894 Governor Sir William Robinson estimated that total Govt revenue for 1894 would be $2,186,506 (Hansard, 28-Nov-1894) . So the land premium on this prime site was about 2.42% of Govt revenue for the year...legco.gov.hk/1894-95/h94112…