Kyle Lamb Profile picture
Feb 11 4 tweets 2 min read
Today @GovRonDeSantis says he hopes if the Florida legislature goes down the road of penalizing renegade districts that flaunted statewide masking rules against forced masking, that they will allow retroactive right of action for harmed families by not allowing opt-outs.
The Governor says he believes this would be preferable to potentially harming children with reduced funding.
To be more clear, the Governor prefers right of action by harmed families to the districts and boards that went against the law instead of or rather than outright fines of the districts assessed by the state.
Here is the video from today of @GovRonDeSantis expressing his preference that if the legislature decides to take action against rogue districts for violating the law, that they will instead allow a private right of action by harmed families rather than assessing fines.

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More from @kylamb8

Feb 10
The World Health Organization recommends a cautious approach to masking kids ages 6-11 and advises against masking 5 and under for any circumstance. Most of the world follows this advice, except our CDC which shamelessly advises masking 2+.

Here are school masking ages in Europe
This work was my own research where policies were publicly reported. Some may have changed. Where U.S. schools often take a one size fits all approach, we are an exception. More countries do not default to masking kids in classroom settings in primary schools.
While the CDC and many local jurisdictions have toddlers and preschool children masking, most of the sane world follows the WHO advice of not masking younger kids and has varying policies of primary school kids ages 6-11.

The media would have you believe the U.S. policy is rule
Read 5 tweets
Feb 9
"We have made huge strides in effectively monitoring this virus," says @CDCDirector Rochelle Walensky.

There you have it. She's planting the seed for science changing. She's now discussing Wastewater surveillance as if that's a new technology. She says they'll ramp it up.
Using wastewater surveillance for monitoring spread is a great idea. They could have and should have been utilizing it a year ago.
So from the sound of this briefing, they aren't making any new changes but Walensky is definitely hinting at laying the groundwork. She says they'll move to the next phase through improved 'surveillance' after spending 5 mins talking about all the great 'new' techniques they have
Read 5 tweets
Feb 6
A tale of two graphs: one is the CDC that shows 68x chances of dying overall for fully unvaccinated in Nov. compared to people with 3+ doses. UKHSA, meanwhile, shows between 3x-11x difference for deaths within 28d of + test for last 4 weeks based on age group.

1/2 ImageImage
CDC disclaimer: an "unvaccinated person" includes anyone that "has not been verified to have received a COVID-19 vaccine."

UKHSA disclaimer, meanwhile, counts only those with a record of vaccination status and includes data from the same source for both numerator and denominator ImageImage
UK's data is far more reliable because they make this important adjustment.
Read 5 tweets
Feb 6
UK surveillance last 4 weeks, deaths within 28 days of a positive test by age group: fully vaccinated with 3+ doses vs. fully unvaccinated

80+ (4.4x)
70-79 (8.3x)
60-69 (10.3x)
50-59 (10.7x)
40-49 (6.0x)
30-39 (3.7x)
18-29 (5.0x)

Better? Absolutely! 97x better? NO Image
Why UK surveillance is vastly superior to CDC data (which is "passive and voluntary" from jurisdictions and is not standardized). Their disclaimer:

"...the numerator and the denominator come from the same source and there is a record of each individuals vaccination status."
Read 4 tweets
Jan 29
The idea that omicron is much more mild is no longer in question. The evidence has been overwhelming showing 70-90% reduction in severe illness and mortality.

1/
A study by Kaiser Permanente in California found a 91% reduction in deaths among omicron cases vs. delta using SGTF failure as presumption of omicron.

2/

medrxiv.org/content/10.110…
Through Dec. 31, UKHSA had recorded just 75 deaths among 212,019 omicron cases (0.04% fatality rate). They have since discontinued omicron surveillance.

3/

gov.uk/government/pub…
Read 7 tweets
Jan 29
A tale of two groups of cities: the ones people are flying to visit and the ones they're not.

Rate of change in destination enplanements for airports of at least 100,000 enplanements in 2019 in Florida, Texas, California, and New York for Jan-Oct 2021 vs. same months 2019.
What you're seeing is that 7 of these 60 airports are higher in the first 10 months of 2021 than they were in the same months in 2019... all 7 of which were in Florida. Florida (red) and Texas (orange) make up most of the upper half.
Collectively, Florida airports are 10.6% lower in 2021 through October than they were in 2019. Texas -21.3%, California -41.3% and New York -46.3%. The national total is down 28.2%.
Read 4 tweets

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