A quick round-up of this weekend's events. 1) We are seeing more equipment being moved to the border with Ukraine. Clearly, Russians are preparing 4-5 staging areas from Belarus to Crimea. 2) We are seeing more aircraft and helos coming into Belarus and Western Russia.
In a typical fashion, Russians are using reserve airbases (Luninets and Novoozernoe) to move airframes closer to the frontline (this actually also refers to land forces ->easy to supply with helos and aircraft).
This week Russia's reportedly to start its Grom strategic nuclear force exercise. It'll test all legs of Russia’s nuclear triad and probably theatre-range systems. If an attack on Ukraine happens soon, the exercise could be used as a deterrent against Ukrainian or NATO's response
This will be a rough week.
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