David Chapman Profile picture
Feb 15 13 tweets 6 min read
.@slatestarcodex’s meta-rationality, 🧵 Part The Second:

Everything Wrong In The World Is Caused By Failing To Do Meta-Rationality Competently

@slatestarcodex The @slatestarcodex micro-grants program excites me because—at a guess—great things will come out of it, but most awardees would not have survived accountable, BUREAUCRATICALLY RATIONAL evaluation:
@slatestarcodex 👨‍💼 When you can’t be rational in a way that meaningfully optimizes what actually matters, but you are accountable for being rational anyway,

you naturally fall back on using a mindless procedural checklist. That lets you avoid blame and makes your work look smooth and competent.
@slatestarcodex Two of Scott’s ten points are about the temptation to avoid the difficult, uncomfortable work of figuring out a nebulous (uncertain, ill-defined, boundaryless) domain by relying on bureaucratically rational procedures instead:
@slatestarcodex (6): Everyone is secretly relying on everyone else to do the hard work.

(7) If you can’t rely on other grantmakers, you’ll rely on credentials.
@slatestarcodex Any process distributing $, status, power, etc. comes under enormous pressure for bureaucratically accountability: to avoid nepotistic favoritism, demographic discrimination, or eccentric poor judgement.

Scott can make grants no institution can, because he’s NOT ACCOUNTABLE.
@slatestarcodex (Which does not mean he ignores professional ethics in practice)
@slatestarcodex Institutional accountability, often a well-meaning imperative, is choking everything in the world today. Where decisions cannot be made in a demonstrably meaningfully rational way, they get made in a CYA procedurally-rational way instead. And then the meaning gets forgotten.
@slatestarcodex Nebulosity always limits rationality. The tighter the demand that rationality provides justification, the more it must ignore nebulous but important factors.

Rationalization has reached the point where most institutions ignore most meaningful factors in favor of checklists.
@slatestarcodex The public is revolting against all institutions because it has become obvious that they no longer work. Nowadays, institutions aim for bureaucratic rationality, rather than accomplishing their supposed purposes effectively. Then they break down. metarationality.com/stem-fluidity-…
@slatestarcodex Accepting that nebulosity limits rationality is a prerequisite to meta-rationality. In the institutional context, that includes accepting that many important decisions can’t be bureaucratically rational.

That doesn’t mean that they must be arbitrary or irrational.
@slatestarcodex Evaluating people and projects (as in grant-making) always involves meta-rational judgement, like it or not, even when done by default (“check credentials”). This may seem unfair.

But our world trains everyone out of creativity and into narrow, pointless career paths.
@slatestarcodex Either we will reinvent institutions to deal effectively with nebulosity, deploying meta-rational competence,

or they will be torn down by rage-filled anti-rational mobs, and critical functions will cease altogether.

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More from @Meaningness

Feb 15
🧵 Case study in meta-rationality: @slatestarcodex’s fascinating reflections on running a micro-grants program.

Naturally, he wanted to be rational, and found you can’t do this that way, so he got meta-rational (as one should when rationality fails).

astralcodexten.substack.com/p/so-you-want-…
@slatestarcodex “Rationally” would be calculating the probabilistically expected utility of each grant project, and funding proposals accordingly.

You can’t do that because you can’t meaningfully estimate probabilities…
@slatestarcodex … and utility isn’t actually a thing, so you can’t compare dissimilar sorts of projects …
Read 9 tweets
Feb 14
.@lumenphosphor was telling a wild story over dinner about friends of hers who put on a play based on a wild story about someone nearly burning down a house

and partway through I started nodding and saying Yah, yah,

when she got to the explosion, I pulled down my shirt
@lumenphosphor “I still have the scars on my chest,” I said

and gradually it dawned on her that she was telling me the a story about a play based on a diary entry about me

FRAME COLLAPSE: when you realize that the world in the story is THIS world and it is sitting across the table from you
@lumenphosphor Now you are reading a story I am telling you about @lumenphosphor telling me a story about a play about a diary entry about me….

Read 6 tweets
Feb 14
Tfw you learn one of your most spectacularly stupid moves got made into a play thirty years later—and a performance is on YouTube.
The play is a dramatic rendering of an entry someone found in a diary, then thirty years old. Apparently the performers assumed, based on mentions of consumption of copious quantities of counterfactual substances, that it was largely or entirely hallucinatory.
The diary entry is, in fact, entirely accurate. I am "Dave" in the account.

I myself had not consumed any counterfactual substances. I can be spectacularly stupid without needing chemical help.
Read 4 tweets
Feb 7
🧠 Why is there so much nonsense neuroblather mixed into current writing about therapy, self-help, and meditation?

Think I might have just figured this out… 🧵
The supposed neuroscience invoked in explanations of meditation, emotional regulation, etc. is almost always false. But that doesn’t even matter!

If we knew the hippocampus or amygdala or whatever caused depression, it would have zero implications for self-help, meditation, etc.
Mind/body dualism is the natural human understanding. OBVIOUSLY your mind is an entirely different sort of thing, separate from the material world, independent of it except for being accidentally trapped in a body.

This is false but we automatically fall into thinking this way…
Read 9 tweets
Jan 29
A common UX anti-pattern: software that organizes items in a user-defined hierarchy that permits only a fixed number of levels, calls the same thing something different on each level, and gives you arbitrarily different operations and UI at each level.
The generally excellent Things to-do list manager is an egregious example. It has areas, projects, tasks, and checklists, all of which are “things I need to do,” but they’re conceptualized completely differently at each level, and what it allows you to do and how is arbitrary. ImageImage
I’m struggling now with the generally excellent Discord chat/forum system, which has a fixed three-level hierarchy of containers for messages (“categories,” “channels,” “threads”), each of which has a random subset of the capabilities you’d want.
Read 4 tweets
Jan 24
🆕🔭 How the foundational crises in math and physics a century ago undermined confidence in social institutions, leading—via the anti-rational New Age and Evangelical movements—to our current chaotic dysfunctions. meaningness.com/collapse-of-ra… Image
"The best lack all conviction, while the worst
Are full of passionate intensity."

Lacking a convincing theory for why science and rationality work, those who understand complex issues best may be the least likely to assert their knowledge and act decisively. Image
🗞 Current issue of my (free) newsletter explains The Making Of this post. I had been working on it for forty years, ever since my math professors started acting weird... tinyletter.com/Meaningness/le… Image
Read 6 tweets

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