1/ For all the newbie Option traders asking about volatility here is the TLDR thread on IV. 🧵⚡️

Hopefully this clears a few things up. 👍
2/ IV is actually just the expected move of a certain percent over a defined amount of time.

So if IV is 60%, #BTC has the potential to move 60%.
3/ This percentage is actually a 1 standard deviation move. Which means it will cover #BTC's move 68.2% of the time.
4/ In Options, we measure IV using Vega. As Vega goes up and down the price of your Option increases or decreases respectively.

If you are "long" vega you want IV to go up. If you are "short" vega you want it to go down.

Here is our thread on Vega. 👇
5/ You can also tell whether an option is "cheap" or "rich" by looking at the skew.

Skew is just the difference in Put IV vs Call IV compared to At The Money IV.
6a/ You can use skew in a few ways.

⚡️If calls look more expensive than puts and you think price is going to mean revert you can sell the calls and buy the puts.

⚡️You can look at skew as a sentiment indicator...
6b/ If put IV is being driven up and the price of puts are increasing, maybe traders are more bearish than bullish and want protection.
7/ So there is your quick, down and dirty overview of Implied Volatility. Hopefully this was semi-helpful.

If you have any questions feel free to leave them in the comments below.

#Powertrade⚡️

• • •

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh
 

Keep Current with PowerTrade (crypto, options)

PowerTrade (crypto, options) Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

PDF

Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @PowerTradeHQ

Jan 12
1/ The term EV gets used a lot on CT, and yet I meet people who have no clue what it means constantly. ⚡️

So I am going to take a moment out of my day to explain to you Expected Value. 🧵
2/ Expected value (EV) is the sum of the probability weighted outcomes. Here is an example, let’s say you have five pieces of paper in a velvet bag, all of them numbered 1-5. If you pull any one number, you will have a 20% chance of choosing any of them. (1/5=.2)
3/ Lets do some quick math. We have a 20 percent chance of pulling a 1, 2, 3, 4, or 5. So,

1*.2 = .2
2*.2 = .4
3*.2 = .6
4*.2 = .8
5*.2 = 1

Now, if we Sum the outcomes we get 3.
Read 10 tweets
Jan 6
1/ Here is a great thread outlining what's going on mechanically in the crypto Option markets regarding Decentralized Option Vaults (DOV's) and IV.

Read it for yourself and I will break part of it down below in "ELI5" style.

2/ To understand this thread you need to have a slight understanding of gamma and how MM (Market Makers) operate. The mechanics are explained well here. 👇

3/ Now for the ELI5 version.

⚡️You deposit your collateral in a DOV
⚡️DOV sells Calls on your behalf.
⚡️MM's buy those calls from DOV.
⚡️DOV collects premium and participants pray the underlying doesn't blow past the strike.

With me so far?

...
Read 12 tweets
Dec 8, 2021
1/ I've seen many of you asking what the heck this is and how to interpret it. So over the course of this brief thread I will explain the basics.⚡️

This is TLDR on Term Structure. 🧵
2/ Term structure simply displays the ATM (at the money) IV (Implied Volatility) of different expirations. In the above example it looks like 17DEC ATM IV is around 78-ish, and 28Jan22 is over 85 IV.
3/ There are two main types of term structure. Backwardation and Contango.

Backwardation is when the near term expirations have a higher IV than the further out expirations. In our case, maybe 15DEC has a 100IV and 28Jan22 has a 70IV, that would be backwardation.
Read 8 tweets
Oct 27, 2021
1/ We are in the season of UpOnly and you most likely don’t want to give up exposure to #BTC’s upside, but what if you want to use your capital efficiently and earn a kicker on your coin. ⚡️

Enter the Short Put Spread.🧵
2/ It’s a simple concept. Sell one put a little OTM, buy one put even further OTM.

I'll break it down for you. Let’s build a Put Spread step by step.
3/ First, sell an OTM put, whatever Delta you choose is up to you and your strategy. For this example, lets say #BTC is trading at 63k, I’m going to sell the 60k put. The payoff would look like the chart below👇. If #BTC expires at or above 60k we make money.
Read 12 tweets
Sep 28, 2021
1/ Today we saw a good amount of #BTC puts sold. So I wanted to explain how that works and why one might do that.⚡️

This is a short thread on selling puts! 🧵
2/ When you buy a put you are essentially buying insurance incase #BTC’s price starts to tank. This cost a premium, but when you sell a put you collect that premium. We discussed this in our previous thread on buying and selling calls.

3/ So lets say I sold a put at the 39k strike, what would happen? Well first I would collect the premium from the buyer of that strike, for examples sake, lets say the premium was $100.
Read 11 tweets
Sep 8, 2021
1/ PowerTrade #GreekWeek Day 2 - GAMMA

I’m sure you have heard it mentioned all over twitter, and it might seem a bit confusing, but in this #PowerKnowledge thread we are going to demystify Gamma and explain it in simplest of terms.

Gamma NFT Drop at the end... Image
2/ Gamma is the rate of change in Delta. If you don't remember Delta, here is our thread from yesterday explaining it.

TLDR: Delta measures change in the option price for every one dollar move, and gamma measures the change in Delta.

3/ So Gamma is actually what's called a second order derivative, because it doesn't measure the change in the Options value, it measure the change in the thing that measure the change of the options value ie. Delta. Image
Read 14 tweets

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!


This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Don't want to be a Premium member but still want to support us?

Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal

Or Donate anonymously using crypto!

Ethereum

0xfe58350B80634f60Fa6Dc149a72b4DFbc17D341E copy

Bitcoin

3ATGMxNzCUFzxpMCHL5sWSt4DVtS8UqXpi copy

Thank you for your support!

:(