Laura Rozen Profile picture
Feb 17 5 tweets 1 min read
US Secretary of State Blinken will address a UN Security Council meeting this morning on Russia/Ukraine crisis, US Ambassador to UN Linda Thomas-Greenfield tells reporters
Amb. Linda Thomas-Greenfield: Overnight, after a series of conversations with the WH, NSC & State, I asked Sec. Blinken to come speak directly to UN Security Council on his way to Munich on situation in Ukraine. Evidence on ground suggests Russian moving towards imminent invasion
Amb. Linda Thomas-Greenfield: This is a crucial moment. That is why Blinken is coming to NY, to signal our intense concern, offer and emphasize path to de-escalation. Make clear to world we are doing everything we can, everything we can, to prevent a war.
Background: Russia has called the UN Security Council meeting this morning, ostensibly on the implementation of the Minsk accords. US officials expressing intense concern an invasion is still imminent. And some sort of pretext for invasion is being concocted
US officials are pointing to Russia reporting regarding alleged shelling overnight in Lukhansk as the kind of pretext or provocation they believe Russia could use as a pretext for further military action they are planning to take.

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More from @lrozen

Feb 19
🧵 “For Russia, victory in Ukraine could take various forms. As in Syria, victory does not have to result in a sustainable settlement. It could involve the installation of a compliant government in Kyiv or the partition of the country. Alternatively, the defeat of the Ukrainian
“military and the negotiation of a Ukrainian surrender could effectively transform Ukraine into a failed state. Russia could also employ devastating cyberattacks and disinformation tools, backed by the threat of force, to cripple the country and induce regime change.
Read 8 tweets
Feb 18
Biden says what we have seen s a major uptick in violations of the ceasefire.
and more and more disinfo pushed out to the Russian public.
Biden: We have reason to believe Russian forces intend to attack ukraine in coming days
we believe they intend to attack Kyiv
Biden praises Ukrainian forces for showing professionalism and restraint, and refusing to date to get baited into a provocation
Read 5 tweets
Feb 17
Blinken addressing the UN Security Council now. Says implementation of the Minsk agreements is a goal we all share.
Blinken: As we meet today, the most immediate threat to peace and security is Russia’s looming aggression against Ukraine.
Blinken: I am here today not to start a war, but to prevent one.
Read 11 tweets
Feb 17
🧵A State Dept spox: We can confirm that Russia expelled U.S. Deputy Chief of Mission (DCM) to Russia Bart Gorman.  DCM Gorman was the second-most senior official at U.S. Embassy Moscow after the Ambassador…1/
State spox: “Russia’s action against our DCM was unprovoked and we consider this an escalatory step and are considering our response.   

“DCM Gorman’s tour had not ended; he had a valid visa, and he had been in Russia less than three years.”
“We call on Russia to end its baseless expulsions of U.S. diplomats & staff & to work productively to rebuild our missions.  Now more than ever, it is critical that our countries have the necessary diplomatic personnel in place to facilitate communication betweenour governments
Read 4 tweets
Feb 17
🧵SecDef Austin at NATO: we don’t see that. Quite the contrary, we see them add to the more than 150,000 troops they alredy have arrayed on that border, even in the last couple days....more support aircraft, blood supplies...
Austin: I was a soldier myself not that long ago...
Don’t do these sort of these things for no reason. Certainly don’t do them if getting ready to pack up and go home. So we will remain vigilant
Austin: We will watch for false flag ops...
Enhance our readiness...Closely match Russian words to Russian deeds. One thing Mr. Putin says- he wants to engage in more dialogue. As we have said all along, we would welcome that. We believe still time & space for diplomacy to work.
Read 4 tweets
Feb 16
🧵State spox, asked if Blinken would meet with Iran FM at Munich Sec. Conf.:
I would not expect at least in Munich a meeting between the Secretary & the FM. What I will say & what we have long said, we believe that direct talks between the US & Iran would be in our interest,
in the context of Vienna.
Our assessment is that we are in the midst of the very final stages of a complex negotiation with the key stakeholders. This is really the decisive period during which we will be able to determine whether mutual return to JCPOA is in the offing or not.
Price: We are sincere & steadfast in our efforts to test the proposition...Continue to believe a mutual return to compliance w/ JCPOA is the best way to place permanent verifiable limits on Iran nuclear program. In decisive period b/c that window will very shortly have closed
Read 4 tweets

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