Scott Bessent on the biggest mistake he made when setting up his fund.
"When I was raising money, I actually gave the market what it wanted instead of what I wanted to do or was good at.
We had big diversified positions. We had a lot of analysts, people wanted to see bodies."
Robert Wilson: “To go up 100 percent, you’ve got to be willing to go down 20, and you can’t go down 20 with other people’s money.”
"I learned that it’s very difficult to run a business and a fund. After my first big drawdown, I had a lot of investors pull and it was a nightmare"
"I told the remaining investors, “This is what I’m going to do with my money. If you want to come along, fine; if you don’t, that’s fine, too.” I went back to my global macro style with mostly my own money."
"That’s what was so great about working at Soros. Most of the capital was the partners’ and all we cared about was making money. We weren’t worried about monthly volatility or drawdowns if we believed in the position."
Book Inside the House of Money
• • •
Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to
force a refresh
"People tend to forget about the importance of the price they pay as the experience of a bull market just sort of dulls the senses generally."
"Ben Graham always used to say you can get in more trouble in investment with a good premise than with a bad premise, because the bad premise will shout out to you immediately as being fallacious, whereas with a good premise it’ll work for awhile. ...
Businesses are worth more money if interest rates fall and stocks rise. But eventually the market action of the securities themselves creates its own rationale for a large crop of buyers, and people forget about the reasons and the mathematical limitations that were implied ...
Stanley Druckenmiller's speech at the Lost Tree Club is an evergreen read:
"I had an incredible passion, and still do, for the business. The thought that every event in the world affects some security price somewhere ... to try and figure out what the next puzzle was..."
"I get to gamble for a living and channel it through the markets instead of illegal activity. That was just sort of nirvana for me that I could constantly be making these bets, watch the market moving, and get my grades in the newspaper every day."
"If you’re early on in your career and they give you a choice between a great mentor or higher pay, take the
mentor every time. It’s not even close."
Some nuggets from the excellent new documentary on @Carl_C_Icahn on HBO
"You get a great feeling when you find a company, when you find something you can do. You get excited by it. Something goes 'click,' and you know it's good. When I hear the click, I know I won."
I need this pillow: "Happiness is positive cash flow"😭
It's not about money (okay, it is not *only* about money):
"The money is just sort of a goal. It's like, the explorers, why do they keep doing it? They believed in going for the gold, like Cortes and these guys. But the finding and doing is much more exciting than having it ...
In 2002, a young hedge fund analyst was sifting through the rubble of the dotcom bust.
Scott Shleifer had joined upstart Tiger Global, formed by Chase Coleman after his mentor Julian Robertson had shut down legendary Tiger Management at the peak of the bubble.
Shleifer dug through a spreadsheet with tech stocks until he stumbled upon a group of Chinese internet companies. Sina, Sohu, and NetEase were not yet profitable but they were growing rapidly and their stock prices had imploded.
Shleifer saw growth and high incremental margins - much of future growth would fall to the bottom line.
He set up calls with management. When he heard that he was the first Western investor to call in some time he got really interested.
"The reallocation of trust from brands to individuals is impacting the way founders view who to invite into their companies. Influence within venture has progressively decentralized away from the core brand into renegades."
"For the longest time people thought often of VC funds as “The Firm.” Amorphous blobs that judged you harshly and spit out cash."
"There is a long-tail of super talented people who may not be the best investor for everyone, but for a specific group they'll be the perfect investor."
Stan Druckenmiller on what he looks for in a money manager:
"Number one, passion. If you’re not passionate, it is so invigorating to certain individuals, they’re going to
work 24/7, and you’re competing against them. Every time you buy something, one of them is selling it.
If you‘re with one of the lazy people or one of the people that are just doing it for the money, you’re going to get run over by those people."
No. 2:
"When I look at their record, I immediately go to the bear markets and see how they did. I want to make sure I’ve got a money manager who knows how to make money and manage money in turbulent times, not just in bull markets."