AG Profile picture
Feb 20 4 tweets 1 min read
If you want to understand why people have stopped trusting the media and health experts, this article defending masking in schools is a great example.

It claims to speak for the science, but then just ignores and misleads about the actual science.
nationalgeographic.com/science/articl…
The article cites zero evidence for the main "benefit" it claims for masking (that it protects from Covid-19), while ignoring or downplaying most of the harms.

It's a propaganda piece far more than a real attempt to look at the arguments and science involved.
Ex: The data suggesting lower transmission due to school mask mandates w/ Omicron is very weak. The masks that would likely make a substantial difference K/N-95 usually aren't meant for kids. Yet article dismisses concerns about breathing based on data re cloth & surgical masks.
They can't really show any benefits, but they are basically insisting the burden is on opponents of masking kids to show more substantial and long-term harm. By which time the harm will be irreversible. That's exactly backwards.

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More from @AGHamilton29

Feb 11
So my main comment on the trucker protest near the border is I think most people watching from afar don't realize how much these protests are hurting regular people (on both sides of the border).
That's coming from someone who is otherwise sympathetic to the idea that a lot of restrictions have gone too far and need to end.
A lot of people seem very confused by the idea that you can support the goals of the protest without supporting the means.

Ends justify the means mentality has become a growing problem with people.
Read 4 tweets
Feb 6
2 imp points here.

1) Policies seem to have no targeted application or risk analysis.

2) Health/media establishment keeps getting things wrong, but much worse is insistence that their claims could not be debated (even when likely wrong) and contrary opinions should be banned.
A lot of the anti-vax misinformation/views have gained credibility specifically because of 2.

When I point out some anti-vax claim is contradicted by data, most common response is about how same people banned debate on lab leak, masks, opening schools etc. and were wrong.
My response is that those attempts to censor don't make the contrarian opposition right either, but seeing correct/justifiable opinions be banned/dismissed has made people less willing to just trust mainstream sources and more willing to accept to accept contrarian takes.
Read 5 tweets
Jan 22
I want to talk about why I disagree with this. Problem w both parties right now is a “cult” issue. Politicians are self-interested weather vanes that pander. Elected R's are trying to pander to a cult of personality while elected D's are trying to pander to a cult of ideology. 1/
Let’s start with Republicans. Elected R’s are trying to pander to a base they view as devoted to Trump. So what is the basis of that devotion? A small portion truly is just committed to him as a person. A MUCH larger portion has what I would describe as a devotion to winning. 2/
Latter group saw 2 R candidates get destroyed in a row (w/ a lot of help from the press), then saw Trump manage to win against HRC while directly taking on that same press. So they view Trump & his style as the answer to the need to win. 3/
Read 12 tweets
Jan 19
I hope people learn a lesson from this, but seems doubtful.

Fwiw it seemed rather obvious that it was false to me from the start, but the consistent pattern is that people in the press are very gullible when it comes to things that make those they don’t like look bad.
Never mind. I now see they are instead doubling down because they already fell for a narrative and can’t help themselves.

Ps there is 0 reason for a vaccinated, boosted, and regularly tested Justice to wear a mask. Especially around others that are similarly protected.
Lol they will literally keep doubling down and getting embarrassed. It would be funny if it wasn’t for the fact that these people have large platforms and so many rely on them for accurate information.
Read 4 tweets
Jan 19
I've been thinking about this for a few weeks.

A lot of people on the left rightfully point out that Trump spent months priming the 2020 excuse of a stolen elections by discouraging mail voting among supporters and then citing the disparity to claim fraud.
Now the Democrats are likely headed for a massive ass-whooping in November and their entire focus seems to be on creating an excuse by undermining faith in the electoral system, with the media's help.
It's not going to matter that turnout will almost assuredly be higher in 2022 than 2018. Democrats are preparing to cite state laws and redistricting to explain the wave despite those clearly having little impact. It's the only reason for the current propaganda effort.
Read 7 tweets
Jan 14
Not to pick on this, but this is just based on misinformation and bad risk analysis. The hospitalization rate for vaccinated adults isn't anywhere near 1%. Even under Delta, it was 3.9 out of 100K cases or .0039%.
If Omicron is even 25% milder, you're down to under 3 per 100K. Mask is going to do little to slow down the spread among vaccinated. Even if cases are 2-3X (probably) w Omicron, that's not driving hospitalizations except for people taking up waiting rooms demanding to be tested.
The hospitalizations with this Omicron peak once you remove the large increase in incidental hospitalizations are not exceeding what they were during last winter's Delta-peak. Vaccinated people wearing masks might make some people feel better, but not going to help hospitals.
Read 6 tweets

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