Zoe Keller Profile picture
Feb 21 10 tweets 2 min read
The impending war in Ukraine has exposed not just the impotence and shameful appeasement mindset of EU’s ruling elites in Brussels, Berlin and Paris. It has also sharply illustrated the tragic decline of American leadership on the world stage. telegraph.co.uk/news/2022/02/2…
It is no coincidence that Putin has mobilised more than 150,000 Russian troops on Ukraine’s borders while Biden is in the White House. Clearly Putin views Biden as a pushover, a weak-kneed president that has no clear strategic vision for the US in the global arena
Much like Obama, Biden’s foreign policy has been reactive, based upon the naive ideal of multilateral diplomacy, rather than the projection of US might. Obama’s advisers spoke of “leading from behind”. Biden’s team (many served in the Obama administration) can barely lead at all.
Putin was already massing troops as early as March 2021. Instead of actively prevent a Russian invasion, Biden’s approach has been premised upon responding to one with economic sanctions that may never come to pass with a divided Europe heavily dependent upon Russia for energy.
In contrast to Trump, Biden has been both predictable and distinctly lacking in bite. Trump was prepared to use military force against Russian interests in Syria, and strategic leverage against Putin’s ambitions in Europe: he actively campaigned against Nord Stream 2.
Biden’s election ensured the massive pipeline project could be completed without the implementation of US sanctions. Biden’s refusal to take real action against Nord Stream 2 was a huge strategic win for the Kremlin, and a significant factor emboldening the Russians over Ukraine.
The disastrous US withdrawal from Afghanistan further convinced Putin that the US no longer had the stomach to fight against even far lesser adversaries, willing to allow the Taliban to return to power in a country that had been the launch pad for the 9/11 terrorist attacks.
The US weakness in Afghanistan and in Europe has been closely observed in China. No coincidence that the Chinese-Russian axis is now at its strongest point in decades. Putin and Xi are today collaborating on every major foreign policy issue, from Taiwan to Ukraine and Iran.
Biden’s foreign policy legacy may be uniting the US adversaries, whose aim is to replace the US-led international order.
He has short-sighted vision and extraordinarily bad judgment. Instead of heading to Europe this week to rally US’s allies, he is entrenched in Washington.
After just 13 months, the Biden era is already a monumental failure. His approach has been clueless and toothless, lacking in vision, and increasingly outflanked by hostile regimes. The direction the Biden presidency is taking us is a world without America at the helm.

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More from @KellerZoe

Feb 22
Putin wouldn't be invading if Trump were still in the White House. The enemies of the west see this period as a window of opportunity within which to undermine and erode the US leadership.
— Nile Gardiner
telegraph.co.uk/news/2022/02/2…
President Trump was derided by his political opponents as an isolationist, soft on strongmen autocrats like Putin. The Left painted him as a populist who undermined US alliances while turning a blind eye to human rights abuses by dictator regimes.
Having met him several times and closely observed the foreign policy of his administration, I saw a very different picture. I witnessed first-hand a presidency deeply committed to strengthening the US leadership in the world and actually putting fear into US enemies.
Read 15 tweets
Feb 22
Putin controls the supply chain of western technology, so who is bluffing? Russia has the power to hobble key industries in the US and Europe by restricting supplies of metals

✍️🏼 AEP
telegraph.co.uk/business/2022/…
The wishful thinking has begun. Core Europe is already persuading itself that Putin will be sated with Donetsk and Luhansk, allowing EU companies to keep selling Gucci bags and BMWs to Russia in exchange for commodities – after a stern lecture on international law, of course.
The US, UK, and Poland have reached the opposite conclusion, strongly suspecting that the military occupation of the Donbas is the springboard for a full invasion of Ukraine.
Read 35 tweets
Feb 11
We must not murder the recovery: inflation will soon take care of itself.
✍️🏼 AEP
telegraph.co.uk/business/2022/…
Central bankers were too late in 2021 but the worst they could make in 2022 is to swing suddenly from loose money to tight money, sending Western economies clattering into recession. You do not correct one policy error by committing the opposite policy error.
Many voices call for drastic rises in interest rates. Be careful: the monetarists themselves are not making such an argument. They are the new doves. Monetary policy effects require 12-18 months. It is too late to do anything useful about the inflation shock of recent months.
Read 26 tweets
Feb 11
The UK economy is doing a lot better than its implacable critics will admit. With the right policy mix, the UK may even be the G7’s fastest-growing economy again in 2022
✍️🏼 AEP
telegraph.co.uk/business/2022/…
The purist methodology of the ONS overstated the 2020 collapse in GDP and it has overstated the mechanical rebound in 2021 (an explosive growth of 7.5%). France has seen the same distortion. UK is in the middle of the G7 and OECD pack, just shy of its pre-pandemic level of GDP.
Even so, the UK has recovered well ahead of Japan, Germany and Spain, and slightly ahead of Italy. France has done better but discretionary fiscal stimulus is enormous — Macron’s critics allege pre-electoral pump-priming (il crame la caisse) — so the comparison lacks relevance.
Read 18 tweets
Feb 10
Major attacking Boris Johnson is like a goldfish square up to a blue whale. The comparison is embarrassing. Disgraceful, disloyal and anti-democratic, Major and his ilk may succeed in crushing Boris. But only Boris will go down in history.

telegraph.co.uk/opinion/2022/0…
When Major became PM in 1990, he inherited 396 Tory MPs. 7 years later he was left with just 165, and it took three elections for the Tories to get back in, after his calamitous decision to enter the European Exchange Rate Mechanism and to sign the godawful Maastricht agreement.
Compare that with Boris. The Tories got 8.8% in the EU elections. A few months later, with Boris leader, they achieved 44% in the 2019 GE and an 80-seat majority. A turnaround Major could only dream of. Boris has the kind of political charisma that Major can only sit and admire.
Read 9 tweets
Feb 9
By the end of this week, the Met Police will contact via mail more than 50 attendees of the Downing Street events under investigation, asking them to explain their involvement before issuing possible fines.
telegraph.co.uk/politics/2022/…
The questionnaire "has formal legal status and must be answered truthfully". Recipients have 7 days to respond. Police said that they would now review their initial decision not to investigate the 15 Dec 2020 quiz, when London was under Tier 2 restrictions.
The Met Police said on Wednesday night that its officers are still examining 500 documents and 300 images and will be requesting more information from the Cabinet Office.
Read 6 tweets

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