When reading this thread remember that “Euromaidan” is a reference to a wave of demonstrations and protest starting Nov 2013 that took place in the Ukraine when the then Russian-leaning President, Yanukovych suspended the signing of the EU-Ukraine Association Agreement
The reference to Putin regretting Lenin’s ceding of independence to various Russian States in 2017 (inc Finland) was interesting given the toppling of the Lenin Statue in Kyiv formed part of that protest.

There was a 2014 agreement on Settlement of Political Crisis in Ukraine
This occurred under the mediation of both the EU and the Russian Federation. Whilst Yanukovych and members of the then opposition signed it and it was witnessed by German, Polish and French Officials for the EU, Vladimir Lukin, representing Russia, refused to sign it.
Shortly after the agreement was signed, Yanukovych and other high government officials fled the country, Yanukovych to Russia.
For those seeking a brief reminder of the context in which this 🇷🇺 Russia 🇺🇦 Ukrainian war is evolving I did a thread recently based on an FT article.
And that is why Putin’s reference yesterday, in his rambling speech to Pervyi Kanal’s 2014 statement

“Ukraine doesn’t exist. This puppet state today, failed state, and the entire responsibility for that currently lies with the United States"

is so chilling.

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More from @fascinatorfun

Feb 22
U.K. Sanctions five Russian banks :- Rossiya, IS Bank, General Bank, Promsvyazbank & the Black Sea Bank AND sanctions would be applied to billionaire oligarchs Gennady Timchenko, Boris Rotenberg & Igor Rotenberg as three "very high net worth individuals".
news.sky.com/story/ukraine-…
“Any assets they hold in the UK will be frozen, the individuals concerned will be banned from travelling here, and we will prohibit all UK individuals and entities from having any dealings with them," Mr Johnson said.”

Aligning with previous US sanctions.
“Mr Timchenko is a major shareholder in Rossiya, while the Rotenbergs are described by the Foreign Office as having close ties to Russian President Vladimir Putin.

Boris Rotenberg is a major shareholder of SMP Bank, while Igor Rotenberg is invested in Russia's transport sector”
Read 5 tweets
Feb 22
Shutting out Russia from SWIFT would not be a surgical strike

“Swift’s full title is The Society for Worldwide Interbank Telecommunication. That highlights the satisfying ostracism involved in expelling Russia. But it also hints at flaws in the tactic.”
ft.com/content/e2e174…
“Firstly, Swift is not a full-blooded payments network. Nor is Swift, as sometimes claimed, a mere messaging system. True, its core utility resides in around 42m encrypted instructions that 11,500 users in 200 countries exchange daily to co-ordinate payments.”
“But these messages embody something grander: mutual trust based on common standards.

Expelling Russia from Swift would not isolate Russia financially, as proponents imply. Nor would it be as futile as opponents imagine.”
Read 20 tweets
Feb 22
Why we should ALL be paying attention to Putin’s Imperialist anti democratic speech

“Now he said out loud that Lenin made an error in 1917 when he let the former Russian territories "go." One of the countries that gained independence from Russia in 1917, by the way, was Finland.
Russia has already breached agreements for non aggression by its incursions into Georgia and the Ukraine. Hardly surprising that other bordering countries, eg Finland and Sweden are reconsidering earlier decisions not to try and join NATO.
When I read the thread I am also reminded how far the U.K. has travelled towards an autocracy ..one persons with absolute power. The steps along the road towards it. Look at Hungary.
Read 5 tweets
Feb 22
Bosnia is still finding bodies from a genocide some leaders claim never happened - The Washington Post washingtonpost.com/world/2022/02/…
“SREBRENICA, Bosnia — The gravestones stretch for nearly a quarter mile — 7,000 Bosnian Muslim men and boys, slaughtered in a matter of days — but the region’s top politician says the coffins are empty.”
“The local mayor has said some of the purported victims are still alive. The commander who led the massacre is portrayed as a hero on posters that periodically appear near the cemetery.”
Read 20 tweets
Feb 21
@mrjamesob at c28 minutes in suggests that Covid is “much much milder than flu’”

Perhaps he would explain how 10k people died of Covid between 17-12-21 - 4-2-22 (Death Cert data) despite SOME measures still in place to reduce infection?

Then there’s the long term consequences
Bear in mind @mrjamesob that Omicron is several times more contagious than flu - especially when the brakes are removed.

You have to look at the IFR in the context of R0.

Catching Flu risk? C once every 7 years.

Covid risk no mitigations twice a year (from Iran data)
Perhaps @chrischirp @SGriffin_Lab @ArisKatzourakis might like to chip in here given I am sure @mrjamesob would like more highly qualified people than me setting him straight here.
Read 5 tweets
Feb 21
The success rate of the @GoodLawProject is quite exceptional.

The number of regular donors and voluntary payments to it (see their published annual accounts) sends a message about the level of support it has from the public.

If you can afford even a small monthly donation 🙏
Here is a link to the donations page.

goodlawproject.fundraise.tech/?code=TwitterO…
Their annual accounts published to offer transparency are also published.

As you know the Government seems to be deliberately running up extraordinarily large costs using OUR money trying to defend the indefensible.

goodlawproject.org/wp-content/upl…
Read 5 tweets

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