The easiest job in the world is foreign policy critic. I know because I not only play one on TV...it's what I do. No one gets everything right. No one controls all variables. There are always complications and options that could've, should've been considered.
But as easy as it is to critique and say, "I'm smarter, if only they'd done it my way," it is almost impossibly hard to actually conduct effective foreign policy, especially for a superpower like the U.S. There are so many moving parts.
There are so many institutional hurdles. There are so many political obstacles. There are so many factors and egos and allied interests and variables to contend with. Especially on big, fast-breaking issues of global concern.
It is so mind-bogglingly challenging that it is almost impossible to image. It is also why most U.S. administrations frankly aren't very good at it. Because it's real real hard. And that's what makes the current effort on the part of the Biden team so impressive.
Ignore the inane politically inspired critiques that will follow this thread. Ignore the bots and the commentariat and the whingeing of political opportunists. Consider the 30 countries in NATO, the moving parts, the concerns of the people of Ukraine, the inscrutability...
...of Putin, the scenarios that must be considered, the unknowns (and yes, that whole Rumsfeldian list of known unknowns and unknown unknowns and so-on). And then imagine doing that while managing negotiations with Iran on a nuclear deal.
Add to it the work being done to construct a new security architecture for the Indo-Pacific, to combat the climate crisis, to stop immigration flows from their source, to contain next generation threats like cyber and AI, to shape international economic policy and...
...and to do all that in the midst of a pandemic. Yes, it's the job. But this team is handling it, getting better at it & advancing our national interests with or without the support of many in our country. And, for the record, I for one, after 30 years in this biz, am impressed.
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Unilateral sanctions don't work. So the secret is finding what every major ally is willing to go along with. That will never result in a maximalist list. But what it has resulted in, thanks to effective diplomacy & leadership, is a strong set of sanctions.
Putin will say these sanctions will have no effect. It is false bravado. Look at the hit the Russian markets and ruble took today. Putin, his oligarch buddies, and the country will feel the pressure from the steps announced this week.
I've already seen TV talking head critiques along the line of "what about this" or "what about that"--easy pot shots that don't take into consideration the challenges of moving forward a massive and complex alliance. The reality is this was a good response for now.
If Americans did not understand that Putin was an active threat to the international order that the U.S. and our allies have fought so hard to create during the past eight decades, then it is our obligation to ensure they do now.
Ukraine is only distant from the U.S. on a map. It is our neighbor in terms of the threat it is now facing, because that threat could easily and in an instant reach us. It is our neighbor because it is defending our interests and those of our most important alliance all alone.
It is our neighbor because the values it is protecting are our values. It is our neighbor because the enemy it is opposing seeks to weaken it so that he may weaken us and our alliance in the process. Ukrainians who are at risk and dying are therefore not just dying for Ukraine.
What we have had confirmed tonight is that the man who controls the world's largest nuclear arsenal is without conscience, without respect for international law, without scruples, without mercy. He also is neither as strong nor as smart as he thinks.
Neither the world nor his neighbors nor his citizens will ever look at him the same way again. Whether they succeed or fail in the short term, the costs in the medium to longer term of this disastrous, reckless and indefensible attack will be immense.
I do not doubt for a moment that this is the beginning of the end of Vladimir Putin.
Grateful for the opportunity to speak with @JoyAnnReid@McFaul & @juliaioffe on @thereidout just now. Important discussion. But I want to amplify a point Mike made. Whatever US politics are, tonight our thoughts need to be with the people of Ukraine.
They are awaiting, as you read this, what could be a horrific onslaught. Their lives and those of their loved ones are now at risk, their worlds may be turned upside down, because of the malevolent ambition of one man.
I'm so glad that our administration has stood up for them and for diplomacy and for peace so resolutely, admiring of the tenaciousness and deftness of U.S. and allied diplomacy, pleased at Western resolve to rebuff Putin.
I'm lying awake here tonight because I honestly can't fathom how we have gotten to the point that the leader of the GOP, the last SecState, some of the party's most vocal members & a major US TV network all are actively taking Russia's side in a conflict with America & the West.
Yes, I lived through the 2016 campaign and all four years of Trump placing Putin ahead of our intel community, praising Putin, defending Russian positions. And yet here we are at a moment of great crisis, a threat to the order Americans & allies fought and died for.
And Trump and Fox and the rest are actually praising the man who has threatened the entire international order, who has put tens of millions of innocents at risk. They're defending him. They're spreading his lies. They're betraying our country and our values.
A rebuttal to the idea that the West contributed to the current crisis by supporting NATO expansion. 1.) It is naive. It accepts Putin's false rationale for his action. He obliterated this argument when he made his real argument: That Ukraine does not exist & is part of Russia.
2.) Putin's argument that the historical boundaries of the Russian empire or Soviet Union should fall under Moscow's control only underscores how important it was that former Soviet states were able to join NATO and gain its protections.
The reason Ukraine was targeted was because it was not a member of NATO not because it was. It was vulnerable and Putin, a predator, sought and seeks to take advantage of that.