David Rothkopf Profile picture
Feb 24 4 tweets 1 min read
What we have had confirmed tonight is that the man who controls the world's largest nuclear arsenal is without conscience, without respect for international law, without scruples, without mercy. He also is neither as strong nor as smart as he thinks.
Neither the world nor his neighbors nor his citizens will ever look at him the same way again. Whether they succeed or fail in the short term, the costs in the medium to longer term of this disastrous, reckless and indefensible attack will be immense.
I do not doubt for a moment that this is the beginning of the end of Vladimir Putin.
(I do not for a moment however, wish to minimize how costly that downfall is likely to be.)

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More from @djrothkopf

Feb 25
Common MAGA argument is “Putin didn’t invade Ukraine under Trump. Which means he saw Trump as strong.” Nonsense. Under Trump he didn’t have to invade. Trump was doing more to remove the NATO threat than an invasion could.
Trump sought to draw down the US troop presence in NATO by a lot. Trump had plans to pull out of NATO altogether in term two. Trump regularly attacked NATO allies and sowed dissension.
(See the relations between Trump’s ambassador to Germany and the Germans.) And recall Trump was actually impeached for withholding vital aid from Ukraine.
Read 7 tweets
Feb 25
Enjoyed appearing on @TheBeatWithAri. One of you folks asked me to recap what I named as Putin's 5 big miscalculations. Happy to.
1. He expected the reaction to the invasion would be roughly what it was to Georgia & Crimea. Clearly, the outrage is orders of magnitude worse.
2. He expected NATO to be divided and unable to act. It has been unified and he has actually materially strengthened it.
3. He expected the US to be divided and thus weak. We have not. Biden & team have been strong, effective, smart leaders.
4. He felt Ukraine would be a push-over. Not going to happen. The military has already shown it'll put up a fight. However, even if Russia takes Kiev & ousts the gov't, installing a puppet, there will be a major insurgency & keeping a lid on Ukraine will be v. costly & difficult.
Read 9 tweets
Feb 24
Unilateral sanctions don't work. So the secret is finding what every major ally is willing to go along with. That will never result in a maximalist list. But what it has resulted in, thanks to effective diplomacy & leadership, is a strong set of sanctions.
Putin will say these sanctions will have no effect. It is false bravado. Look at the hit the Russian markets and ruble took today. Putin, his oligarch buddies, and the country will feel the pressure from the steps announced this week.
I've already seen TV talking head critiques along the line of "what about this" or "what about that"--easy pot shots that don't take into consideration the challenges of moving forward a massive and complex alliance. The reality is this was a good response for now.
Read 6 tweets
Feb 24
If Americans did not understand that Putin was an active threat to the international order that the U.S. and our allies have fought so hard to create during the past eight decades, then it is our obligation to ensure they do now.
Ukraine is only distant from the U.S. on a map. It is our neighbor in terms of the threat it is now facing, because that threat could easily and in an instant reach us. It is our neighbor because it is defending our interests and those of our most important alliance all alone.
It is our neighbor because the values it is protecting are our values. It is our neighbor because the enemy it is opposing seeks to weaken it so that he may weaken us and our alliance in the process. Ukrainians who are at risk and dying are therefore not just dying for Ukraine.
Read 6 tweets
Feb 24
Grateful for the opportunity to speak with @JoyAnnReid @McFaul & @JuliaIoffe on @TheReidOut just now. Important discussion. But I want to amplify a point Mike made. Whatever US politics are, tonight our thoughts need to be with the people of Ukraine.
They are awaiting, as you read this, what could be a horrific onslaught. Their lives and those of their loved ones are now at risk, their worlds may be turned upside down, because of the malevolent ambition of one man.
I'm so glad that our administration has stood up for them and for diplomacy and for peace so resolutely, admiring of the tenaciousness and deftness of U.S. and allied diplomacy, pleased at Western resolve to rebuff Putin.
Read 6 tweets
Feb 23
I'm lying awake here tonight because I honestly can't fathom how we have gotten to the point that the leader of the GOP, the last SecState, some of the party's most vocal members & a major US TV network all are actively taking Russia's side in a conflict with America & the West.
Yes, I lived through the 2016 campaign and all four years of Trump placing Putin ahead of our intel community, praising Putin, defending Russian positions. And yet here we are at a moment of great crisis, a threat to the order Americans & allies fought and died for.
And Trump and Fox and the rest are actually praising the man who has threatened the entire international order, who has put tens of millions of innocents at risk. They're defending him. They're spreading his lies. They're betraying our country and our values.
Read 17 tweets

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