Ben Storrow Profile picture
Feb 23 14 tweets 3 min read
US offshore wind leasing, a brief history.

2015: 2 bidders for 2 leases. Combined winning bids $448,171
2016: 6 bidders, 1 lease. Winning bid $42 million
2018: 11 bidders, 3 leases. Combined bids $405 million.
2022 (so far): 25 bidders, 6 leases. Combined bids of $728 million
One lease, OCS-539, is now valued at $275 million. It still has three bidders.

It has 114,277 developable acres, power capacity of 1,387MW and is 32 miles to New Jersey.

It is the purple lease on this map. Image
Never mind. 20 minutes passed. 539 is now valued at $300 million.

Still two bidders.
You can follow the live results here. (Updated about ever y 20 minutes)

Two other leases (537 and 538) have now each surpassed the previous record of $135 million, and are valued at $164 million and $184 million, respectively.
It is starting to feel possible that this lease sale will eclipse $1 billion.

Lease 537 ($164M) has three bidders, 539 ($300M) has 2 bidders, 541 ($127M) has 5 bidders. 538 ($184M) has one bidder, as does 544 ($22M)
3:30 p.m. update. Closing in on $1 billion
539: $315M, 2 bidders
537: $189M, 2 bidders
538: $184M, 3 bidders
541: $152M, 2 bidders
542: $28M, 2 bidders
544: $22M, 3 bidders.
Here's the thing. People aren't dropping out. At Round 16, BOEM still has 14 bidders. That is the same as Round 1. Rules are one company can bid on one lease per round.
539: $350M, 3 bidders
538: $230M, 2 bidders
537: $214M, 1 bidder
541: $202M, 3 bidders
542: 63M, 3 bidders
544 has one bidder. Price is almost $50 million
4:30 update. Round 17. The culling of the herd has begun. 11 bidders. 3 have dropped out. The six leases have combined bids worth $1.2 billion. 539 has 2 bidders and is at $375 million
4:30 correction. Bad reporter math. We have 13 bidders. Only one has dropped.

4:50 p.m. Still 13 bidders. $1.3 billion in combined bids. Leases 542 and 544 now heating up.

542 is at $135 million with four bidders. 544 has one bidder at $75.
Right now what we're seeing are bidders moving around. Let's take Lease 539. In Round 16, it had 4 bids at price of $350 million. In Round 18, it has one bid at $390 million.

538 ($250M)and 542 ($135M) are where the action is now. Each has 4 bidders.
5:10, Round 19. Lot of movement.

Once again, we have 4 bidders on 539 at $390 million.

542, which had 4 bidders in the previous round, has 1 at $155 million.

Still 13 bidders for 6 leases. No end in sight.

BOEM to decide shortly on when to recess until the a.m.
Graphic representation (forgive the bad photoshop skills) of where we are after Round 19. Image
5:30 update. BOEM say auction will recess at 6 p.m. and resume tomorrow at 9 a.m.

Right now, lease 539 is valued at $410 million. Has one bidder.

We still have 13 bidders for 6 leases. Each lease is now worth at least $100 million.

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More from @bstorrow

Jan 10
U.S. coal retirements hit a seven year low in 2021. They are projected to rebound sharply in 2022.

I wrote about what it means for coal and emissions here. A quick thread with additional details below.

subscriber.politicopro.com/article/eenews…
Here is a snap shot of coal retirements dating back to 2013. It's based on EIA 860 numbers and the monthly updates: eia.gov/electricity/mo…

You'll see US registered 4.6GW of retirements last year. It is actually 4.9 because this is through Oct., and one more plant shut in Dec.
Here the list of plants that retired last year. One 385MW unit at Big Bend in FL is missing, since it was slated to shut down last month.
Read 12 tweets
Nov 2, 2021
Consign coal to history? That's been a COP rally cry.
The truth is... complicated:

- World on track for record coal burn in 2022.
- Asian coal plants average age 13 years.
- Nat gas not as readily available in Asia, as in US.

eenews.net/articles/coal-…
On the other hand. New project pipeline is collapsing. Down 75% since 2015, when Paris was signed. Many countries (India is a prominent example) have scaled back plans for new plants. Building renewables instead.

OECD has retired or plans to retire 56% of coal since 2010
So what's it mean?

“Consigning coal to history at COP is not going to end coal overnight, but it is that sense that coal is on the conveyor belt to the great trash compactor of history. We’ve got to turn the speed of that conveyor belt up" - @chrislittlecott
Read 5 tweets
Jul 22, 2020
What did FirstEnergy Corp know about Larry Householder's illegal campaign operation and when did it know it? My story:

eenews.net/stories/106360…
There is a lot we are still learning about this, but here is some of what we know

- Householder took FirstEnergy's corporate jet to Donald Trump's inauguration
- Juan Cespedes, an FE lobbyist arrested yesterday, is described as a "conduit" between FE & Householder by the feds
And it seems highly likely that FirstEnergy CEO Chuck Jones was in direct contact with Householder.

Why do we know this when neither FE or Jones is named?

The complaint say CEO of Corp A gives the following quote in the Q4 earnings call.
Read 9 tweets
Aug 12, 2019
The Trump administration loathes environmental reviews. But it is requiring a major environmental study to supplement the review of America's first large offshore wind project.

The question: Is it a legit study, or just an attempt to kill the project: eenews.net/climatewire/st…
There are 4.8GW of offshore wind projects planned along the East Coast. The Vineyard Wind study will consider the cumulative impact of at least some of those projects.

BOEM spokesman confirmed it would include Orsted's projects in NY and NJ and Equinor's in NY
Vineyard Wind had benefited, and built its project timeline, around an Aug. 2017 executive order signed by Trump, directing agencies to limit their environmental reviews of major projects to two years.

For VW, that is March 2020. BOEM is no longer committing to that timeline.
Read 5 tweets

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