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Feb 24 11 tweets 2 min read
#UkraineUnderAttack @RavikanthS_ #RussiaUkraineConflict

John Mearsheimer, a professor of international relations and security at the University of Chicago has for years been cautioning American diplomats to stop pressing for Ukraine in NATO.
He argued that it would be akin to Russia setting up military bases in Canada. Would the USA accept it? We saw how the USA was ready to go to war when the Russians placed missiles in Cuba in 1962.
The mistake the West made was to assume that after the collapse of the Soviet Union, Russia had no great power security concerns. Big mistake!
“After the collapse of the Soviet Union, NATO pushed eastward, bringing into the fold most of the Eastern European nations that had been in the Communist orbit. In 2004, NATO added the former Soviet Baltic republics Estonia, Latvia and Lithuania.
Four years later, it declared its intention to offer membership to Ukraine some day in the distant future -- crossing a red line for Russia.
In interviews and speeches, Putin has previously emphasized his view that Ukraine is part of Russia, culturally, linguistically and politically.
While some of the mostly Russian-speaking population in Ukraine's east feel the same, a more nationalist, Ukrainian-speaking population in the west has historically supported greater integration with Europe.
In early 2014, mass protests in the capital Kyiv known as Euromaidan forced out a Russia-friendly president after he refused to sign an EU association agreement.
Russia responded by annexing the Ukrainian peninsula of Crimea and fomenting a separatist rebellion in Ukraine's east, which seized control of part of the Donbas region.
Despite a ceasefire agreement in 2015, the two sides have not seen a stable peace, and the front line has barely moved since.
Nearly 14,000 people have died in the conflict, and there are 1.5 million people internally displaced in Ukraine, according to the Ukrainian government.”...

edition.cnn.com/2022/02/24/eur…

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More from @GastroOneIndia

Feb 26
#UkraineInvasion @RavikanthS_
PUTIN'S OPTIONS NOW?
With NATO forward troops activated and Russian forces getting closer to NATO borders in the European heartland like Poland and Romania, at what will stage could that lead to pre-emptive defensive moves?
Putin wants a non-aligned Ukraine as a buffer, but occupying all of Ukraine takes that out. Does it serve Russia better to occupy and integrate just the ethnic Russian majority areas and leave the rest of Ukraine as a neutralised buffer?
A long occupation of Ukraine will lead to a guerilla war that will inevitably entail support from across the NATO borders. Putin has to make quick decisions and not get bogged down in Ukraine.
Read 7 tweets
Feb 26
#UkraineRussiaWar @RavikanthS_

PUTIN’S CHESS. CLEARLY HE IS NO GRANDMASTER!
Russia might have good reason for it or even just cause. In this Oped piece in The Hindu Rakesh Sood, a former diplomat and a well regarded one at that, analyses what led to the present situation.
He lays the cards out neatly. But could Putin have handled it better? He didn’t state his objective and grievance clearly and loudly enough. This he made it appear like a bolt out of the blue attack.
Could there have been another way of forcing NATO to halt, and to tell the West that it’s unilateral days and ways are over? No more Iraq or Libya or Syria.
Read 12 tweets
Feb 25
#ChessChamps #Praggnanandhaa @RavikanthS_

THE GREAT INDIAN CHESS HOPE!
Sixteen year old Praggnanandhaa is one of India’s fastest rising chess grandmasters, a country that has no grandmasters till Vishwanathan Anand became its first grandmaster in January 1988.
Since then 72 others have grasped this honor. Pragg belongs to a generation of young Indians who embody the country's growing influence in chess, a sport that has its origins in a two-player Indian board game from the sixth century.
It's no mean feat in a country of 1.3 billion people feverishly obsessed with cricket.

The educational value of the game is why many Indian parents are encouraging their children to play the game.
Read 4 tweets
Feb 25
#UkraineRussiaCrisis @RavikanthS_

RUSSIANS MIGHT BE POOR COMPARED TO EUROPEANS, BUT RUSSIA IS RICH.
Russia’s GDP is smaller than India’s . It’s military budget too.
But it is a very rich country with cash, natural resources, mineral wealth and scientific and technologically advanced capabilities.
Russia’s central bank and private sector have almost $1 trillion of liquid wealth, with a much larger share of this held in U.S. dollars than most people realize, even after the country sold all its Treasuries holdings in 2018, Pozsar wrote.
Read 5 tweets
Feb 25
#UkraineRussiaCrisis @RavikanthS_

WHERE NEXT RUSSIA?’
Today, Putin seeks at the very least a two-tier NATO, in which no allied forces are deployed on former Warsaw Pact territory.
The inevitable negotiations over this and other elements of a new European security “architecture” would be conducted with Russian forces poised all along NATO’s eastern borders and therefore amid real uncertainty about NATO’s ability to resist Putin’s demands.
This takes place, moreover, as China threatens to upend the strategic balance in East Asia, perhaps with an attack of some kind against Taiwan.
Read 5 tweets
Feb 24
#UkraineUnderAttack @ravikanths_

John Mearsheimer, a professor of international relations and security at the University of Chicago has for years been cautioning American diplomats to stop pressing for Ukraine in NATO.
He argued that it would be akin to Russia setting up military bases in Canada. Would the USA accept it? We saw how the USA was ready to go to war when the Russians placed missiles in Cuba in 1962.
The mistake the West made was to assume that after the collapse of the Soviet Union, Russia had no great power security concerns. Big mistake!
Read 10 tweets

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